COVID-19: Excess Mortality and Mass Vaccination in Europe … and Some Unpleasant Facts

In all age groups below 75 years, more people have died in 2021 than in the previous year. The reason for this is not the virus.

 

An Essay (with 5 Tables and 3 Graphs) by Michael Pröbsting, International Secretary of the Revolutionary Communist International Tendency (RCIT), 18 December 2021, www.thecommunists.net

 

 

Note of the Editorial Board: The following essay contains three figures. For technical reasons these can only be viewed in the pdf version which can be downloaded below.

 

 

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Contents

 

 

 

Introduction

 

Excess mortality in Germany and Europe in 2021

 

Is excess mortality in 2021 caused by COVID?

 

What could be the causes of such a significant increase of excess mortality?

 

Devastating mental consequences – particularly for youth

 

Excurse: A note on state-monopoly capitalist health policy

 

What are the effects of the state-monopoly capitalist vaccination campaign?

 

Why should young and middle-aged people be forced to get a jab?!

 

A comparison with past examples of mandatory vaccination is misplaced

 

Excurse: The COVID Counterrevolution’s slogan “trust the science” is the modern version of America’s maxim “In God we trust

 

Concluding Theses

 

 


Introduction

 

 

 

The RCIT has emphasized since the beginning of the pandemic in early 2020 that the policy of capitalist governments all over the world is not focused on public health but rather on serving the political and economic interests of the ruling class. Behind the disguise of combatting the pandemic, the governments’ policy is mainly directed to expand the power of the state apparatus and to increase the profits of the monopolies. [1]

 

We have called this policy the COVID Counterrevolution as it represents a historic offensive of the ruling class to enhance its control of the masses in a period of deep economic crisis and popular unrest. It is characterized by a shift from (limited) bourgeois democracy towards chauvinist state bonapartism – resulting in the creation of a totalitarian new Leviathan of which Thomas Hobbes could not have dreamed! [2]

 

When we say that public health is not the primary consideration in the COVID policy of the ruling class, we do not mean that the issue of health does not play a prominent role. It certainly does. But this policy represents a specific, capitalist approach to health. Health is viewed as an extraordinary business opportunity for the pharma and biotech corporations. [3] It is viewed in combination with instruments of control and surveillance of people. [4]

 

However, in this essay we will not deal with the political and economic aspects of the COVID Counterrevolution – something which we have elaborated in many other RCIT documents. At this place, we will rather focus on the effects of the official pandemic policy – based on the pillars of Lockdowns, Health Pass and mass / compulsory vaccination – for public health. We will look at the development of excess mortality in Europe in the last 6-12 months and what have been the effects of the mass vaccination campaigns orchestrated by the governments and Big Pharma. This is a very understudied issue. In fact, it is characteristic for the hypocrisy of the bourgeois governments and their submissive barkers among the media, the “experts”, etc. that they ignore this question. But let us go in media res.

 

 

 

Excess mortality in Germany and Europe in 2021

 

 

 

Before we present the figures relevant for our subject, we want to point out that all tables and graphs in this essay have been taken from official agencies responsible for publishing relevant statistical material. As these institutions are strictly controlled by the capitalist state, there is no reason to believe that they would publish manipulated figures in order to undermine the prestige of the governments’ pandemic policy.

 

Since some time, we see a substantial increase of excess mortality in Europe among all age groups below 75 years. This trend started in early 2021 respectively, for the youth, in summer. In some countries we even see an increase of the total number in deaths. This development is not related to the so-called “second wave” of the virus which ended in spring 2021. This becomes evident if we take the figure for mortality from calendar week 16 (which began in mid-April) to week 47 (the end of November; the latest available data) and compare these with the figures for the same period in 2020.

 

In Germany, for example, the total number of deaths increased by +4.4% in the period of calendar week 16 and 47. This increase is not because of more deaths among the old age groups (as it was the case in 2020). It is rather caused by an increasing number of deaths in younger age groups. Mortality increased in this period in the age group of 0-50 years by +4.7%. This figure is even higher if we take only the age group of 0-30 years (+5.85%). (See Table 1 as well as Graph 1 in the Appendix)

 

 

 

Table 1. Total Number of Deaths in Germany between Calendar Week 16 and 47 in 2020 and 2021 [5]

 

Total 2020                                           Total 2021                                           Increase 2020 to 2021

 

564,649                                                589,666                                                +4.4%

 

0-50 Years 2020                                 0-50 Years 2021                                 Increase 2020 to 2021

 

17,599                                                   18,423                                                  +4.7%

 

0-30 Years 2020                                 0-30 Years 2021                                 Increase 2020 to 2021

 

4,356                                                     4,611                                                     +5.85%

 

 

 

We see several similar trends in the whole of Europe. Again, we have taken the period since calendar week 16 so that the figures are not influenced by mortality caused by the “second wave” in spring. In contrast to Germany, excess mortality for the whole population in Europe declined compared with the same period in 2020 – the “year of Corona” (-8.4%). However, this decline is exclusively caused by the reduction of mortality among the age group above 75 years (which, as known, has been hardest affected by the pandemic). All other age groups have experienced a substantial increase in mortality. Excess mortality increased for those between 15 and 44 years by +82.1% and for those between 45-64 years by +67.9%. The only difference is that for the age group 0-14 years the increase in mortality started later – in calendar week 37. (See Table 2 as well as Graph 2 in the Appendix)

 

 

 

Table 2. Excess Mortality in Europe between Calendar Week 16 and 47 in 2020 and 2021 [6]

 

Total 2020                                           Total 2021                                           Increase 2020 to 2021

 

7,120,295                                             6,522,888                                             -8.4%

 

15-44 Years 2020                               15-44 Years 2021                               Increase 2020 to 2021

 

58,049                                                  105,705                                                +82.1%

 

45-64 Years 2020                               45-64 Years 2021                               Increase 2020 to 2021

 

541,752                                                909,575                                                +67.9%

 

 

 

Is excess mortality in 2021 caused by COVID?

 

 

 

At a first glance, this development is surprising. 2020 was the “Year of Corona”. No vaccination was in circulation. In contrast, such vaccination exists in 2021 and has been widely applied. In fact, Western Europe is the continent with the highest share of population vaccinated. Furthermore, it is the also richest continent in the world in which a better health service exists than in other regions. Nevertheless, it has also the highest number of Corona deaths! It is, to quote the Head of the World Health Organization’s Europe region, Hans Kluge, the “epicenter” of the global pandemic.

 

The European region is now the “epicenter” of the global pandemic and is on a trajectory to see another half a million deaths this winter, the head of the World Health Organization’s Europe region warned Thursday. Last week, Europe and Central Asia reported nearly 1.8 million new cases of COVID-19, accounting for 59 percent of all cases globally, Hans Kluge said during a press conference. And the region recorded 24,000 deaths, accounting for 48 percent of deaths globally, he said. Cumulatively, there are now more reported cases — 78 million — in the European region than in South East Asia, the Eastern Mediterranean, the Western Pacific and Africa combined.[7]

 

But we will discuss the issue of vaccination later. At this point we want to deal with the question if the increase of mortality among younger age groups has been caused by COVID. The answer is a definite No.

 

If one looks at Graph 1 showing the development of mortality in Germany (see Appendix), one can see the increasing gap between the line for 2021 and the one for 2020. At the bottom of the graph, one can also see the development of the number of people who died because of COVID. Again, one can compare the development for this year with the year before. There is hardly any difference. (If one goes to the website which shows the graph [the link is in the footnote to the graph] one can see the exact figures for COVID death for each week by moving the mouse cursor directly on the lines.).

 

This fact is also evident when one takes into account the extremely small share of people below the age of 50 or 60 years among the COVID deaths. In Germany, for example, the share of those between 0 and 49 years among the COVID deaths in 2021 is only 1,45%. If we include the next age group – i.e. those between 50 and 59 years – this share rises to the still very small number of 5,13%. In contrast, those 70 years and older constitute the large junk of all COVID deaths – 85,45%. (See Table 3)

 

Germany is no exception. If we take the figures for Sweden, we see exactly the same picture. The share of those between 0 and 49 years makes only 1,44% of all COVID deaths in 2020-21. If we add those between 50 and 59 years, this share still constitutes only 4,03%. In contrast, again, those in the age group of 70 years and older make the large majority of all COVID deaths – 85,88%. (See Table 4)

 

 

 

Table 3. Number of Coronavirus (COVID-19) Deaths in Germany in 2021, by Age [8]

 

Age Group                                           Number of Deaths                              Share

 

0-9 Years                                             21                                                          0.02%

 

10-19 Years                                         20                                                          0.02%

 

20-29 Years                                         112                                                        0.11%

 

30-39 Years                                         352                                                        0.34%

 

40-49 Years                                         998                                                        0.96%

 

50-59 Years                                         3,825                                                     3.68%

 

60-69 Years                                         9,783                                                     9.42%

 

70-79 Years                                         21,480                                                  20.68%

 

80-89 Years                                         45,772                                                  44.06%

 

90 Years and Older                          21,516                                                   20.71

 

Total                                                     103,879                                                100%

 

Share of 70 Years and Older                                                                            85,45%

 

Share of 0-49 Years                                                                                           1,45%

 

Share of 0-59 Years                                                                                           5,13%

 

 

 

Table 4. Number of Coronavirus (COVID-19) Deaths in Sweden in 2020 and 2021, by Age [9]

 

Age Group                                           Number of Deaths                              Share

 

0-9 Years                                             9                                                             0.06%

 

10-19 Years                                         5                                                             0.03%

 

20-29 Years                                         26                                                          0.17%

 

30-39 Years                                         48                                                          0.32%

 

40-49 Years                                         126                                                        0.83%

 

50-59 Years                                         394                                                        2.59%

 

60-69 Years                                         1,083                                                     7.12%

 

70-79 Years                                         3,417                                                     22.45%

 

80-89 Years                                         6,179                                                     40.59%

 

90 Years and Older                          3,933                                                     25.84

 

Total                                                     15,221                                                  100%

 

Share of 70 Years and Older                                                                            85,88%

 

Share of 0-49 Years                                                                                           1,44%

 

Share of 0-59 Years                                                                                           4,03%

 

 

 

Finally, we shall also quote the German Statistical Federal Agency (DESTATIS) which commented the increase in mortality in 2021 with the cautious words: “The official number of COVID deaths can explain this development only partly.[10]

 

In summary, we can safely conclude that at the increase of mortality among those below the age of 60 or 70 years has not been caused by COVID. There must be other factors which caused this worrying development.

 

 

 

What could be the causes of such a significant increase of excess mortality?

 

 

 

So, if COVID is not the main reason for the increase of mortality among younger age groups, what else could have caused this development? Unfortunately, we can only identify several likely causes since no serious studies exist about this issue. Such a lack of attention is not very surprising. [11] Despite the fact that COVID represents only a small proportion of all death, the total focus of official politics, media, as well as of scientific research is on the SARS-CoV-2 virus. The reason for this is obvious: COVID can be exploited for gigantic business projects, for creating fear among the population as well as for justification of the expansion of the police and surveillance state apparatus. Other and more widespread diseases like cancer, diabetes, Tuberculosis in India, Cholera in Nigeria, [12] etc. are not useful for such political and economic interests (at least until now).

 

Nevertheless, we think that we can name a few factors which might help to understand the increasing mortality among younger age groups. Before doing so, allow us to mention a curious reason which has been named by the above-mentioned German DESTATIS. In a press release this agency refers to the heat wave in the summer as a possible factor. [13] While it is true that it was hot in summer in Europe, one can not fail to note that heat is dangerous for elder people but – under normal circumstances – not for people below the age of 50 years!

 

So, what could explain the increasing mortality among age groups below 75 years? First, there has been a dramatic decline of visits to doctors and hospitals by people with other, non-COVID illnesses. According to DESTATIS there were 2.5 million (or -13.1%) less hospital treatments in Germany in 2020. Likewise, there have been 690,000 (or -9,7 %) less surgeries in hospitals. [14]

 

Such a development has not been limited to Germany. The new “State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021” remarks: “In all European countries, measures to boost care capacity for COVID-19 patients were accompanied by a slowdown or temporary suspension of non-urgent, non-COVID-19 hospital care. Outpatient activity followed a similar trend.[15]

 

It is difficult to overestimate the dramatic consequences of such a collapse in public health! One indication for this shameful development is the fact that many cases of cancer will have not been diagnosed in time. “Across Europe, estimates have been developed indicating up to one million potentially undiagnosed cancer cases due to the disruption of health systems from COVID-19. [16] As it is well known, cancer can be treated with a good chance of success if it is detected in an early stage. If it is only detected later, prospects are much worse.

 

Hence, we see how the capitalist pandemic policy created a catastrophe with devastating long-term consequences. The governments failed to expand the public health sector so that both – COVID as well as non-COVID cases – could have been treated in time. Until today they have refused to build additional hospital capacities, to improve the working conditions for an overloaded personal, to increase the wages, to recruit additional doctors and nurses and to invest in the training of new ones. Nothing of this was done!

 

Instead, the capitalist governments even reduced capacities in public health. In Germany, for example, there are 4,000 fewer intensive care beds available today than a year ago! [17] So, in the midst of the pandemic, the public health sector has been even reduced! Similar developments have taken place in many other European countries.

 

To all this, one must add the enormous public fear which the governments and media intentionally provoked. As we reported in an article last year, the Austrian Chancellor said in March 2020, in an internal meeting with advisers, that the population “does not take the danger of the virus seriously enough”. The Chancellor then stated, according to the minutes: “Kurz makes clear that the people should be afraid of being infected respectively should be afraid that their parents or grandparents could die.” A few days later Kurz said in a public speech: We will have soon a situation in Austria where everyone will know somebody who has died because of the Corona Virus.[18] The same methods of scaremongering have been deployed in nearly all other countries. It is therefore hardly surprising that many people have been afraid of going to a doctor or to a hospital!

 

 

 

Devastating mental consequences – particularly for youth

 

 

 

There are also additional factors which certainly will have played a role in the increase of mortality and will continue to do so in the future. One of these is the horrible consequence of the capitalist pandemic policy for mental health. This issue is particularly relevant for youth. Despite the fact that this age group has hardly anything to fear from the virus, the governments have imposed a policy which massively violates their rights and their conditions for development.

 

A recently published study by the United Nations Children’s Fund reports: “As well as the Life in Lockdown report, a number of other studies have surveyed research from around the world. One of the most widely reported is a meta-study in JAMA Pediatrics, released in August 2021, that pulled together results from 29 studies worldwide, covering around 80,000 children and adolescents under 18.102 According to the study, rates of clinically significant generalized depression and anxiety doubled over the course of the pandemic, with one in four youth experiencing depression and one in five anxiety.[19]

 

Another study reports: “The prevalence of anxiety and depression in early 2020 was double or more the level observed in previous years in a number of countries, including Belgium, France, the United Kingdom and the United States (…) In Japan, 31% of 2029 yearolds were experiencing symptoms of depression, compared to 18% of older adults, based on survey responses from July 2020.[20]

 

And an EU study reports: “COVID--19 particularly affected the mental health of young people. In Belgium, around 30% of those aged 18-29 had symptoms of depression in April 2020 –– a rate about three times higher than in 2018. The situation further deteriorated from the second wave of the pandemic: nearly 40% reported symptoms of depression in March 2021.“ [21]

 

According to a survey from the American Psychological Association, more than seven in 10 among young adults (aged 18 to 23 years) said that they experienced common symptoms of depression. [22]

 

While it is impossible to make calculation about the consequences of such a deterioration of mental health for mortality rates, it is obvious that the Lockdown policy must have strong effects, likely in the short-term and definitely in the long-term!

 

There is no reason for optimism concerning this troublesome development. One must expect that mental health of people will deteriorate even more once the governments have established the “Health Pass” system. This means a tightly woven comprehensive system of control and restriction of all aspects of life. Most likely it will be combined with regular mandatory vaccination as well as repeated Lockdowns.

 

Such a development is completely cynical. As we emphasized repeatedly, the SARS-CoV-2 virus is indeed dangerous for people of high age as well as those with pre-existing diseases. However, for other age groups it represents only a limited danger. Various scientific studies have demonstrated that the infection fatality rate of COVID is about 0,15%.  [23] According to a recently published global study – covering 14 countries – the median infection fatality rate for those below the age of 50 years is extremely low. (See Table 5)

 

 

 

Table 5: Median Infection Fatality Rate by Age Groups, 0-69 Years [24]

 

Age Group                                           Median Infection Fatality Rate

 

0-19 years                                           0,0027%

 

20-29 years                                         0,014%

 

30-39 years                                         0,031%

 

40-49 years                                         0,082%

 

50-59 years                                         0,27%

 

60-69 years                                         0,59%

 

 

 

Let us finally also draw attention to a statistic published recently by the EU and the OECD. According to this study, life expectancy at birth in the EU decreased from 81.3 to 80.6 years in 2020, i.e. by 0.86%. However, the same graph also shows that in 2015 life expectancy at birth had also declined: from 80.8 to 80.5 years, i.e. by 0,38%. The reason for this development was that Europe experienced a severe influenza season in winter 2014/15. Hence, while we see a worse deterioration of life expectancy in 2020 than in 2015, it can hardly be called such an apocalyptic and unprecedented turn which could have justified putting the whole society under a never-ending state of emergency! (See Graph 3 in the Appendix)

 

In summary, we can confidently conclude that the effects of the capitalist pandemic policy – characterized by a state-orchestrated campaign of public fear, repeated Lockdowns, introduction of a “Health Pass” system and mass vaccination – have devastating consequences for the popular masses and, in particular, for younger people. This policy has most likely played a decisive role in the increasing mortality rates among the mass of the population in Europe in 2021.

 

 

 

Excurse: A note on state-monopoly capitalist health policy

 

 

 

As the focus of this essay is the development of mortality and its relation to the official pandemic policy, we will not dwell on the political background of this development. Let us only briefly note at this point the current mass vaccination campaign by governments is a key feature of a historic transformation which is taking place in the present period – from the (limited) bourgeois-democratic form to a chauvinist-bonapartist, more totalitarian form of capitalism.

 

In our book on the COVID Counterrevolution, published in April 2020, we referred to Lenin’s analysis of state-monopoly capitalism and explained: “While the course of the 20th century demonstrated that the concrete relationship of state and monopolies can and actually does change depending on global and national developments, the close collaboration and interweaving of capitalist state and monopolies has remained a key characteristic of this system. This is even more the case in periods like the current one when capitalism is in a state of deep crisis and decay.[25]

 

The last one and a half years have fully confirmed this assessment. On the economic level we see capitalist governments – from China to the U.S. – implementing unprecedented Keynesian spending programs financed by new public debts. In the field of health policy, we also see an unprecedented development as the same governments turn to a state-regulated policy of “Health Pass” and to mass or compulsory vaccination.

 

Hence, we can speak about a state-monopoly capitalist health policy which closely combines the business interests of monopolies (pharma, IT, etc.) with the political interests of the ruling class of expanding the chauvinist-bonapartism state apparatus. It is certainly no exaggeration to characterize the current huge effort of COVID Counterrevolution as one of the largest state-monopoly capitalist project in modern history – at least since the period of fascism and World War II.

 

We have repeatedly pointed out that it is astonishing how the opportunistic left completely ignores this development. For them, health policy is something which hovers above the class society and its contradictions. If the ruling class – all around the world – imposes austerity policy resulting in increasing social inequality, these leftists find no difficulty in identifying and denouncing such developments. The same is the case when it comes to the economic policy of privatization or the militaristic policy of armament. Despite the fact that all ruling classes on the globe are following such a policy, the left (rightly) opposes it.

 

But when it comes to health policy, the opportunistic left stops thinking in class terms. It denies that the COVID policy with its Lockdowns, Health Pass and mass vaccination is driven by the political and economic interests of the monopoly bourgeoise. No, according to these naïve simpletons, the health policy in times of a pandemic is motivated by … the need to protect the society! It must be the case because “everybody” says so and all governments in the world are following this policy – this is the rational for the opportunist left (consciously or unconsciously)!

 

Of course, Marxists know that such a policy of capitulation does not happen for the first time. Already before, reformist and centrist forces did join the ideological circus of the ruling class in times of crisis. In 1914, they all supported their imperialist fatherland by referring to the “danger for their people”. The same in 1939-45 when they rallied behind the Western imperialist powers in their war against Nazi-Germany. From one day to the other, “democracy” and “fatherland” had become class-neutral categories. Today, it is the same with the combat against the pandemic!

 

 

 

What are the effects of the state-monopoly capitalist vaccination campaign?

 

 

 

Let us now discuss the effects of the state-directed vaccination campaign. Here too, we can see that capitalist governments and their institutions as well as the monopolies are orchestrating a wave of studies which shall proof the effectiveness of the currently available vaccines.

 

Of course, we are not in a position to judge on all these studies. However, one must take into account the extremely politicized character of the COVID policy from the very first minute – in contrast to past pandemics like the so-called “Asian Flu” in 1957-58 or the so-called “Hong Kong Flu” in 1968-69 which have also cost millions of lives. Hence, the starting point for socialists, in fact for any thinking person, has to be skepticism and mistrust against all these commissioned “scientific” studies. This does not mean that they are necessarily wrong or a fraud. A number of these might be even correct or at least partly correct. But approaching them with naïve believe as the ruling class wants us to do, is utter idiocy and can only result in criminal disorientation of the working class and the oppressed. No, one should be cautious about the value of such studies confirming the narrative of governments’ policy. Various often cited studies have already proven to be fake and had to be retracted.

 

John Ioannidis, a renown medical scientist and Stanford University professor and one of the few top-ranking scientists who has managed to withstand the pressure of the ruling class, has pointed to this problematic development. In a recently published article, he explains the massive lowering of scientific standards in the course of the COVID pandemic – “to fuel political warfare that has nothing in common with scientific methodology.” He provides examples showing that “each and everyone” has published something on this issue.

 

He notes, not without irony: “The pandemic led seemingly overnight to a scary new form of scientific universalism. Everyone did COVID-19 science or commented on it. By August 2021, 330,000 scientific papers were published on COVID-19, involving roughly a million different authors. An analysis showed that scientists from every single one of the 174 disciplines that comprise what we know as science has published on COVID-19. By the end of 2020, only automobile engineering didn’t have scientists publishing on COVID-19. By early 2021, the automobile engineers had their say, too.[26]

 

Such suspicion is even more justified if we remember what these scientists did already “proof” in the past two years. First, they did “proof” that Lockdowns are useful and necessary – despite the fact that such an instrument had never been applied before against pandemics. Not only this: such a public health policy had also never been advocated by any scientist before the beginning of the COVID Counterrevolution in spring 2020! As a matter of fact, as Prof. Ioannidis and others demonstrated, Lockdowns have hardly any effect. [27] Even the countries with the most draconic Lockdown policy (like China and Australia) could not eradicate the virus and have been forced to repeat again and again putting millions of people under curfew.

 

Then, the “scientists” in the payroll of the capitalist state and corporations denounced Sweden – one of the few countries which refused to impose Lockdowns. Just remember the myriads of scientists who published “studies” showing how devastating Sweden’s’ pandemic policy supposedly is! As a matter of fact, Sweden has come much better through the pandemic than most other countries in Europe. [28] Today, these critical “experts“ have become silent on this issue and one or the other of them is forced to admit that this Nordic country did “not so bad”.

 

Then, the governments and their media and scientists claimed that the vaccines are highly effective, that they would stop the transmission of the virus and that they would make you safe, i.e. that vaccinated people would not die or get hospitalized. It was this claim which the governments in Europe have used to justify the Apartheid-like discrimination of people who have not been vaccinated. Of course, as we did explain, the real reason for the discrimination of healthy but unvaccinated people has nothing to do with science but was purely political motivated. The goal has been to force people to get a jab so that they supposedly “get back their freedom”.

 

Again, the capitalist governments got a number of “experts” subscribing to their policy and lending it “scientific” credentials. But, once more, they have been proven wrong. A study published in The Lancet has shown that secondary attack rates among household contacts exposed to fully vaccinated index cases was similar to household contacts exposed to unvaccinated index cases (25% for vaccinated vs 23% for unvaccinated). [29]

 

Another study, published by a large team of scientists of the U.S. CDC, basically arrived at the conclusion that there is no significant difference in the transmission of the virus between people vaccinated and unvaccinated. “[C]linicians and public health practitioners should consider vaccinated persons who become infected with SARS-CoV-2 to be no less infectious than unvaccinated persons.[30]

 

Meanwhile, some governments – like those in Portugal and Italy – are indirectly forced to admit this fact as they introduce mandatory testing for foreigners visiting their country, even if they are fully vaccinated. [31]

 

Governments and their scientists also said that vaccinations would allow people to face no longer any lockdowns or other restrictions. Well, you known what happened with this claim!

 

There are numerous studies which claim that vaccinations are effective. However, there exist also an increasing number of studies and reports which show that the share of vaccinated people is high among those infected.

 

This has pushed many supporters of the vaccination campaign to emphasize that while this might be the case, the jabs are effective insofar as the share of vaccinated people is lower among those hospitalized or dead. However, here again, there are more and more reports which contradict this claim.

 

In response, the supporters of the vaccination campaign argue that the reason for such a development is because a new variant of the virus (“Delta”) has emerged against which the vaccine does not work. From this, they conclude that a “third booster” shall be necessary and currently the governments work hard to force people to get vaccinated once more.

 

However, as everyone knows, meanwhile another variant of the virus has emerged (“Omicron”) and experts warn already that the existing booster might not work against it. [32] The solution? Get another booster!

 

Well, it is obvious what this is boiling down to. Every few months another variant of the virus emerges and, hence, people should be forced to get another jab. It does not need much imagination to understand that such a vaccination policy is extraordinary profitable for the pharma corporations! Likewise, it is clear that the governments are highly interested to implement such a policy. First, they are closely connected with the pharma corporations and have long-term and highly profitable contracts with them. And, secondly, they can politically utilize the need for regularly boosts as a pretext for implementing and expanding a comprehensive health control system (“Health Pass”). [33]These political reasons alone have been sufficient for the RCIT to oppose the policy of Health Pass and mass vaccination since the very beginning.

 

 

 

Why should young and middle-aged people be forced to get a jab?!

 

 

 

However, we repeat that the focus of this essay is not the political and economic background of the mass vaccination campaign but its consequences for public health. As we did already say, we are not in a position to make a concrete and scientific assessment about the effectiveness of the currently available vaccines. However, this does not mean that one can not draw any conclusions.

 

First, is it well-known that vaccines – like medicine in general – does not equally affect all groups of the population. Feminists have pointed out this fact for long as pharma corporations have usually designed drugs with a focus on men and their biological specifics. Likewise, there are different effects of drugs on different age groups, races and social classes (where people often have different health conditions due to different living conditions). Hence, for example, it is possible that the new COVID vaccines have a positive effect for old people but not for young and middle-aged people.

 

This is particularly relevant for the issue of the side effects of these vaccines. It could be the case that the positive effects outweigh the negative side-effects in the case of old people but not in the case of young and middle-aged people.

 

To put it in stronger terms: It seems absurd to us – simply from a public health point of view – to push or even force the mass of the population (i.e. the young and middle-aged people who still have many years and decades to live) to get vaccinated if they are not under any particular danger by the virus!

 

All this is even more true if we take into account that the vaccines – even if they have a certain positive impact for old people – are not particularly effective. If every new mutation of the virus makes the vaccine ineffective, it can't be very good. And if the consequence of this is that people must get vaccinated every few months, we can definitely speak about a disastrous development from a public health point of view!

 

Let’s be clear: never in modern history did vaccinations campaigns exist where the vaccines got ineffective after such a short time and where people had to get a shot repeatedly every few months! It is self-evident that this can not have healthy effects for the human body! “At best” it is like taking a drug against pain many times. The first time it works but then the body gets used and the drug gets less and less effective. And in the end, such a procedure has long-term bad effects for the person.

 

Add to all these considerations the well-known fact that the current vaccines have been developed in profit-driven haste and are not tested for long-term side-effects. Why should people take all these risks and against their will?!

 

 

 

A comparison with past examples of mandatory vaccination is misplaced

 

 

 

For these reasons we strongly reject the argument of supporters of the capitalist pandemic policy who justify mandatory vaccination by referring to similar examples in the past (e.g. against smallpox or Tuberculosis). First, these are well-known and particularly dangerous diseases who often threaten the lives of children and youth. Secondly, the vaccines against such diseases had been tested and it was proven that the advantages outweigh any potential detriments.

 

And, thirdly, the mandatory vaccination campaign against SARS-CoV-2 is very clearly driven by political and economic interests, not by health considerations. Never before has a health policy been so directly linked to the business interests of a few pharma corporations, never before was that part of a political project of replacing (limited) bourgeois democracy with a semi-totalitarian regime.

 

This is particularly evident given the draconic response of the capitalist governments against criticism coming from scientists, doctors and health workers. Prof. Ioanidis and many other scientists who signed the famous Great Barrington declaration have been slandered by the supporters of the capitalist pandemic policy. [34] As we are writing these lines, Austria’s public news network reports that 200 doctors who have published an open letter criticizing mRNA vaccinations – a courageous action given the massive pressure they are facing – have been threatened by the state health authorities with a ban from their profession! [35] Similar developments are taking place in many other countries.

 

Furthermore, it is well-known that – despite huge pressure from authorities – large sectors of health workers are opposed to mandatory vaccination. In Ontario and Quebec, two provinces in Canada, thousands of health workers protested against mandatory vaccination and finally forced the authorities to back down. [36] Likewise, many health workers protested in France and about 3,000 of them have been suspended. [37] Similar protests have taken place in Greece and many other countries. [38] In Austria, about 30% of the 130,000 health workers are still not vaccinated, according to official estimations – despite massive pressure from the authorities. [39] Most importantly, just a few weeks ago the health workers in Martinique and Guadeloupe – together with the popular masses – launched a general strike and an uprising against, among others, mandatory vaccination for health workers. [40]

 

The very fact that many health workers – i.e. people with a lot of experience in medical issues – are opposing mandatory vaccination, and all this despite massive pressure from the capitalist state, reflects the fact that such a draconic measure has no scientific basis.

 

In summary, we see that the current vaccination campaign is a gigantic project orchestrated by the capitalist state – hand in hand with Big Pharma, media and the whole bourgeois establishment. At the same time, this attack has provoked mass protests all over the world. There can be no doubt that this issue is a fundamentally political issue, a key question of the global class struggle today. It can not be compared by any standards with examples of mandatory vaccination in the past.

 

 

 

Excurse: The COVID Counterrevolution’s slogan “trust the science” is the modern version of America’s maxim “In God we trust

 

 

 

The barkers of the COVID Counterrevolution like to proclaim against their critics that one should “trust the science”. We certainly trust science, but we don’t trust those scientists who are on the payroll of the capitalist state and Big Pharma! In fact, the official banner of the COVID Counterrevolution – “trust the science” – is nothing but the modern equivalent of America’s maxim “In God we trust”.

 

Marxists reject both the old as well as the new ideological leitmotif of the ruling class! The way how science is applied, which interests it serves, on which issues scientists are researching, etc. – all this does not exist independently of the classes which dominate in the society. More concretely, all this is closely linked with the question if scientists research at the behest of a corporation, if the university where they are employed is financially dependent on donations from corporations, if the state authorities put pressure on scientists on public institutions and, let’s not forget this, if a given scientist is interested in making career and “adapts” his or her results for such a purpose.

 

It is unworthy for a Marxists to forget all these basic truths. Particularly in times like today, we need to remind ourselves that the large majority of scientists – like intellectuals in general – work for the interests of the ruling elite in their country. This has always been the case – in countries ruled by fascist forces, in a bourgeois democratic system as well as under Stalinism.

 

The task of socialists is not, and never can be, to “trust the scientists” in the payroll of the capitalist state and corporations. It is rather to free science and the scientific community from the shackles of state-monopoly capitalism. Science must be free from power and profit!

 

It is only in a socialist society without classes where science can prosper and where scientists will work free from the interests of a small powerful minority. It is only under such conditions that science will truly serve the people!

 

 

 

Concluding Theses

 

 

 

1.            In the present essay we have shown that mortality figures in Europe for people below the age of 60, 70 years have increased in 2021 compared with 2020 – the “Year of Corona”. This has not been caused mainly by the COVID as this virus is only of negligible danger for age groups up to 50, 60 years.

 

2.            Furthermore, we have demonstrated that the official pandemic policy – characterized by a state-orchestrated campaign of public fear, repeated Lockdowns, introduction of a “Health Pass” system and mass vaccination – has devastating consequences for the popular masses, in particular for younger people. Hence, the RCIT calls this policy the COVID Counterrevolution.

 

3.            This policy has resulted in the fact that many illnesses have remained undetected or untreated. For example, according to official estimations there are up to one million potentially undiagnosed cancer cases in Europe. In addition, mental diseases – in particular among young people – have dramatically increased. This development is scandalous since young people are not under serious danger by the virus but are facing now long-term damages resulting from the consequences of the capitalist COVID policy.

 

4.            The current official COVID policy can be characterized as a state-monopoly capitalist health policy which closely combines the business interests of monopolies (pharma, IT, etc.) with the political interests of the ruling class of expanding the chauvinist-bonapartism state apparatus. We think that it constitutes the largest state-monopoly capitalist project in modern history – at least since the period of fascism and World War II.

 

5.            The opportunist left has shown incapable to understand the character of this reactionary policy since the very beginning. As a result, they capitulate to this policy and act as its “critical” supporters – similar to the reformists during World War I and II who defended the imperialist “fatherland”.

 

6.            The current mass vaccination campaign is mainly driven by political and economic interests, not by considerations of public health. Governments and corporations have orchestrated a series of studies which shall show the effectiveness of vaccinations. It is difficult to make an exact judgement on this issue as there exist also various other studies which show a high share of vaccinated people among those hospitalized or dead.

 

7-            The RCIT opposes the campaign for mass vaccination – and even more so for compulsory vaccination – first of all for political reasons. This campaign is a crucial part of an anti-democratic offensive of the ruling class (“Health Pass” system).

 

8.            There are various indications which show that the policy of vaccination is not particularly effective. People vaccinated can transmit the virus to a similar degree like unvaccinated people. There is also a sizable number of vaccinated people dying from the virus. Even more so, the vaccination loses its protection after a few months. Every new mutation of the virus makes the existing vaccination ineffective. As a result, the number of infections as well as hospitalization and deaths are rising again. The answer of the ruling class – mandatory vaccination for all with boosters every few months – is an extremely dangerous policy, both from a democratic as well as a public health point of view.

 

9.            Criticism from the supporters of the official pandemic policy who say one should “trust the science” must be strongly rejected. In fact, this motto is nothing but the modern equivalent of America’s maxim “In God we trust”. While socialists consider progress of science as essential for humanity’s future, they must remain critical towards the research of scientists who are in the payroll of the capitalist state and the corporations.

 

10.          The task of Marxists is rather to free science and the scientific community from the shackles of state-monopoly capitalism. Science must be free from power and profit! Only in a socialist society without classes, science can prosper, and scientists can work free from the interests of a small powerful minority.

 

 

 

 


Appendix

 

 

 

Graph 1. Weekly Deaths in Germany 2016-2021 (incl. COVID Deaths) [41]

 

 

 

 

Graph 2. Excess Mortality in Europe by Age Groups in 2019, 2020 and 2021 [42]

 

 

 

Graph 3: Life Expectancy at Birth in the EU, 2009-2020 [43]

 

 

 

 

 



[1] The RCIT has analyzed the COVID-19 counterrevolution extensively since its beginning. Starting from 2 February 2020 we have published about 100 pamphlets, essays, articles and statements plus a book which are all compiled at a special sub-page on our website: https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/collection-of-articles-on-the-2019-corona-virus/. In particular we refer readers to two RCIT Manifestos: COVID-19: A Cover for a Major Global Counterrevolutionary Offensive. We are at a turning point in the world situation as the ruling classes provoke a war-like atmosphere in order to legitimize the build-up of chauvinist state-bonapartist regimes, 21 March 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-a-cover-for-a-major-global-counterrevolutionary-offensive/; “Green Pass” & Compulsory Vaccinations: A New Stage in the COVID Counterrevolution. Down with the chauvinist-bonapartist police & surveillance state – defend democratic rights! No to health policy in the service of the capitalist monopolies – expand the public health sector under workers and popular control! 29 July 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/green-pass-compulsory-vaccinations-a-new-stage-in-the-covid-counterrevolution/; In addition, we draw attention to our book by Michael Pröbsting: The COVID-19 Global Counterrevolution: What It Is and How to Fight It. A Marxist analysis and strategy for the revolutionary struggle, RCIT Books, April 2020, Chapter V, https://www.thecommunists.net/theory/the-covid-19-global-counterrevolution/. See also our very first article on this issue by Almedina Gunić: Coronavirus: "I am not a Virus"... but WE will be the Cure! The chauvinist campaign behind the “Wuhan Coronavirus” hysteria and the revolutionary answer, 2 February 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/wuhan-virus/. Almedina Gunić and Michael Pröbsting: On Some Ideological Features of the COVID Counterrevolution. Comments on an interesting interview with a German liberal historian, 14 November 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/on-some-ideological-features-of-the-covid-counterrevolution/; See also a number of Spanish-language articles of our Argentinean comrades: Juan Giglio: La izquierda de la "Big Pharma", dejó de defender las libertades, 1.10.2021, https://convergenciadecombate.blogspot.com/2021/10/la-izquierda-de-la-big-pharma-dejo-de.html; Juan Giglio: ¿Por qué la izquierda no cuestiona las políticas de la OMS? 8.9.2021, https://convergenciadecombate.blogspot.com/2021/09/por-que-la-izquierda-no-cuestiona-las.html

[2] For a more detailed elaboration of this issue see e.g. the above-mentioned book by Michael Pröbsting: The COVID-19 Global Counterrevolution: What It Is and How to Fight It. (Chapter II)

[3] See on this e.g Michael Pröbsting: Mass Vaccination Can Make You Rich… at least if you own a pharmaceutical corporation! 22 June 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/mass-vaccination-can-make-you-rich/; see by the same author: COVID-19: “A Market of up to 23 Billion US-Dollar”. The big corporations in the pharmaceutical industry expect gigantic profits by the vaccine business, 12 February 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-a-market-of-up-to-23-billion-us-dollar/; see also by the same author: COVID-19: An Opportunity Too Good to Be Missed by the Lords of Wealth and Money (Part 1). An “official” confirmation of the Marxist analysis that the ruling class utilizes the pandemic for expanding the bonapartist state, 18 January 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-an-opportunity-to-good-to-be-missed-by-the-lords-of-wealth-and-money-part-1/; COVID-19: An Opportunity Too Good to Be Missed by the Lords of Wealth and Money (Part 2). A few examples of how the monopoly capitalists rob the workers under the cover of the anti-democratic Lockdown policy, 11 February 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-an-opportunity-too-good-to-be-missed-by-the-lords-of-wealth-and-money-part-2/; COVID-19: That Was A Damn Good Year … for the Billionaires in West and East who massively gained from the anti-democratic Lockdown policy, 5 January 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-that-was-a-damn-good-year-for-the-billionaires-in-west-and-east/

[4] See on this e.g. Michael Pröbsting: The Police and Surveillance State in the Post-Lockdown Phase. A global review of the ruling class’s plans of expanding the bonapartist state machinery amidst the COVID-19 crisis, 21 May 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/police-and-surveillance-state-in-post-lockdown-phase/

[5] Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis): Sonderauswertung Sterbefälle. Fallzahlen nach Tagen, Wochen, Monaten, Altersgruppen, Geschlecht und Bundesländern für Deutschland 2016 - 2021, published on 7.12.2021, pp. 30-32. The numbers in this tables are listed separately for each week. The calculation of the sum is ours.

[6] EuroMomo: Graphs and maps, Exel file for the graphs on excess mortality, https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/ (accessed on 14.12.2021) The numbers in this tables are listed separately for each week. The calculation of the sum is ours.

[7] Helen Collis: WHO: Europe region ‘epicenter’ of coronavirus pandemic, 4 November 2021, https://www.politico.eu/article/who-europe-region-epicenter-of-coronavirus-pandemic/

[8] Number of coronavirus (COVID-19) deaths in Germany in 2021, by gender and age, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1105512/coronavirus-covid-19-deaths-by-gender-germany/ (accessed on 15.12.2021)

[9] Folkhälsomyndigheten: Antal fall av covid-19 i Sverige, https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/09f821667ce64bf7be6f9f87457ed9aa (accessed on 15.12.2021)

[10] DESTATIS: Sterbefälle und Lebenserwartung Sonderauswertung zu Sterbefallzahlen der Jahre 2020/2021, 7. December 2021, https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Gesellschaft-Umwelt/Bevoelkerung/Sterbefaelle-Lebenserwartung/sterbefallzahlen.html

[11] There exists a few articles which also discuss this issue: Gerd Roettig: Politisierte Statistik, https://www.heise.de/tp/features/Politisierte-Statistik-6292579.html?wt_mc=nl.red.telepolis.telepolis-nl.2021-12-11.link.link; Susan Bonath: Wachsende Übersterblichkeit nun auch bei Jüngeren: An Corona kann das nicht liegen, 12 December 2021, https://de.rt.com/meinung/128273-wachsende-uebersterblichkeit-nun-auch-bei-juengeren/

[12] See on this e.g. RSV: Cholera not Omicron should be the major concern for Public Health in Nigeria! 6th December, 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/africa-and-middle-east/cholera-not-omicron-should-be-the-major-concern-for-public-health-in-nigeria/

[13] DESTATIS: Sterbefälle und Lebenserwartung Sonderauswertung zu Sterbefallzahlen der Jahre 2020/2021

[14] DESTATIS: Corona-Pandemie führt zu Übersterblichkeit in Deutschland, Pressemitteilung Nr. 563 vom 9. Dezember 2021, https://www.destatis.de/DE/Presse/Pressemitteilungen/2021/12/PD21_563_12.html

[15] State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10 December 2021, p. 12

[16] State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10 December 2021, p. 13

[17] Deutsche Welle: Germany's ICU medics expect COVID surge before Christmas, 01.12.2021. https://www.dw.com/en/germanys-icu-medics-expect-covid-surge-before-christmas/a-59985778

[18] See on this, with the references for the quotes: Michael Pröbsting: COVID-19 Crisis: Internal Document Reveals Austrian Government Plan to Spread Fear, 28 April 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/europe/covid-19-crisis-internal-document-reveals-austrian-government-plan-to-spread-fear/#_edn1

[19] United Nations Children’s Fund: The State of the World’s Children 2021: On My Mind – Promoting, protecting and caring for children’s mental health, UNICEF, New York, October 2021, p. 102

[20] OECD: Health at a Glance 2021: OECD Indicators, OECD Publishing, Paris 2021, https://doi.org/10.1787/ae3016b9-en, p. 55 and 57

[21] State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10 December 2021, p. 15

[22] More than 7 in 10 Gen-Zers report symptoms of depression during pandemic, survey finds, 21 October 2020, https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/21/survey-more-than-7-in-10-gen-zers-report-depression-during-pandemic.html

[23] See e.g. John P. A. Ioannidis: Reconciling estimates of global spread and infection fatality rates of COVID-19: An overview of systematic evaluations, in: European Journal of Clinical Investigation, May 2021, Vol. 51(5), doi: 10.1111/eci.13554

[24] Cathrine Axfors, John P.A. Ioannidis: Infection fatality rate of COVID-19 in community-dwelling populations with emphasis on the elderly: An overview, 13 July 2021, https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.08.21260210v1.full

[25] See the above-mentioned book by Michael Pröbsting: The COVID-19 Global Counterrevolution: What It Is and How to Fight It, p. 43

[26] John P.A. Ioannidis: How the Pandemic Is Changing the Norms of Science. Imperatives like skepticism and disinterestedness are being junked to fuel political warfare that has nothing in common with scientific methodology, September 09, 2021, https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/science/articles/pandemic-science

[27] John Ioannidis et al: Assessing Mandatory Stay-At-Home and Business Closure Effects on the Spread of COVID-19, in: European Journal of Clinical Investigation, April 2021, Vol. 51(4), doi:10.1111/ECI.13484

[28] See on this e.g. Michael Pröbsting: COVID-19: Sweden's Total Mortality in 2020. Once again, the figures demonstrate that this is a serious but not unprecedented pandemic, 23 January 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-sweden-s-total-mortality-in-2020-compared-with-past-years/; by the same author: COVID-19: A Comparison of Historical Data. An analysis of the COVID-19 death figures and those of past pandemics and climate disasters based on data from the World Bank, 19 January 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-a-comparison-of-historical-data/

[29] Anika Singanayagam, Seran Hakki, Jake Dunning and others: Community transmission and viral load kinetics of the SARS-CoV-2 delta (B.1.617.2) variant in vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals in the UK: a prospective, longitudinal, cohort study, The Lancet, 28 October 2021, https://doi.org/10.1016/ S1473-3099(21)00648-4

[30] Phillip P. Salvatore and others: Transmission potential of vaccinated and unvaccinated persons infected with the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in a federal prison, July—August 2021, medRxiv 2021.11.12.21265796; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.11.12.21265796

[32] See e.g. RCIT: “Omicron”: A Pretext for Exacerbated Attacks of the COVID Counterrevolution. Down with chauvinist travel bans against Southern African countries! No to Lockdowns and compulsory vaccination! 1 December 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/omicron-is-pretext-for-another-attack-of-covid-counterrevolution/

[33] On our analysis of the “Health Pass” and the strategy against it see the above-mentioned RCIT Manifesto: “Green Pass” & Compulsory Vaccinations: A New Stage in the COVID Counterrevolution

[34] See on this e.g. Michael Pröbsting: COVID-19: The Great Barrington Declaration is indeed Great! Numerous medical scientists protest against the reactionary lockdown policy, 11 October 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-the-great-barrington-declaration-is-indeed-great/

[35] ORF: ÖGK droht mit Berufsverbot, 16.12. 2021, https://orf.at/stories/3240427/

[36] See e.g. Jessica Patton: Ontario will not mandate COVID-19 vaccines for hospital workers, Global News, 3 November 2021, https://globalnews.ca/news/8347039/ontario-covid-mandatory-vaccine-hospital-workers/

[37] French hospital worker on hunger strike over vaccine mandate, 16 September 2021, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/9/16/french-hospital-worker-on-hunger-strike-over-vaccine-mandate

[38] Elena Becatoros: Greek health care workers protest against mandatory vaccines, 26.8.2021, https://apnews.com/article/europe-business-health-coronavirus-pandemic-62c084d0fa59fa730bf8f54632d2097e

[39] ORF: Drei von zehn Pflegepersonen sind ungeimpft, 16.12.2021, https://orf.at/stories/3240425/

[40] See on this e.g. Michael Pröbsting: Martinique & Guadeloupe: A First Victory against the COVID Counterrevolution! Popular uprisings forces the French government to delay the implementation of compulsory vaccination and to offer talks about autonomy, 28 November 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/latin-america/martinique-guadeloupe-popular-uprising-against-the-covid-counterrevolution/#anker_1; by the same author: Martinique & Guadeloupe: General Strike and Popular Uprising against the COVID Counterrevolution! This is the road which the mass protests in Europe should take! 26 November 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/latin-america/martinique-guadeloupe-popular-uprising-against-the-covid-counterrevolution/

[42] EuroMomo: Graphs and maps, https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/ (accessed on 14.12.2021)

[43] State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10 December 2021, p. 7

 

COVID-19: Exceso de mortalidad y vacunación masiva en Europa... y algunos hechos desagradables

En todos los grupos de edad menores de 75 años, han muerto más personas en 2021 que en el año anterior. La razón de esto no es el virus.

 

Un ensayo (con 5 tablas y 3 gráficos) de Michael Pröbsting, secretario internacional de la Tendencia Internacional Comunista Revolucionaria (RCIT), 18 de diciembre de 2021, www.thecommunists.net

 

 

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Excess Mortality and Mass Vaccination in
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Nota del Comité Editorial: El siguiente ensayo contiene tres figuras. Por razones técnicas, estos solo se pueden ver en la versión pdf que se puede descargar a continuación.

 

 

 

Contenido

 

 

 

Introducción

 

Exceso de mortalidad en Alemania y Europa en 2021

 

¿El exceso de mortalidad en 2021 es causado por COVID?

 

¿Cuáles podrían ser las causas de un aumento tan significativo del exceso de mortalidad?

 

Consecuencias mentales devastadoras, especialmente para los jóvenes

 

Excurse: una nota sobre la política de salud capitalista monopolista estatal

 

¿Cuáles son los efectos de la campaña de vacunación del capitalista monopolista estatal?

 

¿Por qué se debería obligar a las personas jóvenes y de mediana edad a recibir una vacuna?

 

Una comparación con ejemplos anteriores de vacunación obligatoria está fuera de lugar

 

Excursión: el lema de la contrarrevolución del COVID "confía en la ciencia" es la versión moderna de la máxima estadounidense "En Dios confiamos"

 

Tesis finales

 


* * * * *

 

 

Introducción

 

 

 

La CCRI ha enfatizado desde el comienzo de la pandemia a principios de 2020 que la política de los gobiernos capitalistas en todo el mundo no se centra en la salud pública sino en servir a los intereses políticos y económicos de la clase dominante. Detrás del disfraz de combatir la pandemia, la política de los gobiernos se dirige principalmente a expandir el poder del aparato estatal y aumentar las ganancias de los monopolios. [1]

 

Hemos llamado a esta política la Contrarrevolución del COVID, ya que representa una ofensiva histórica de la clase dominante para mejorar su control sobre las masas en un período de profunda crisis económica y malestar popular. Se caracteriza por un cambio desde la democracia burguesa (limitada) hacia el bonapartismo de Estado chovinista, ¡lo que resulta en la creación de un nuevo Leviatán totalitario con el que Thomas Hobbes no podría haber soñado! [2]

 

Cuando decimos que la salud pública no es la consideración principal en la política del COVID de la clase dominante, no queremos decir que el tema de la salud no juegue un papel importante. Ciertamente lo hace. Pero esta política representa un enfoque capitalista específico de la salud. La salud se considera una oportunidad comercial extraordinaria para las corporaciones farmacéuticas y biotecnológicas. [3] Se ve en combinación con instrumentos de control y vigilancia de personas. [4]

 

Sin embargo, en este ensayo no nos ocuparemos de los aspectos políticos y económicos de la Contrarrevolución del COVID, algo que hemos elaborado en muchos otros documentos de la CCRI. En este lugar, nos centraremos más bien en los efectos de la política oficial contra la pandemia, basada en los pilares de los confinamientos, pases sanitarios y vacunación masiva/obligatoria, para la salud pública. Analizaremos el desarrollo del exceso de mortalidad en Europa en los últimos 6-12 meses y cuáles han sido los efectos de las campañas de vacunación masiva orquestadas por los gobiernos y las grandes farmacéuticas. Este es un tema muy poco estudiado. De hecho, es característico de la hipocresía de los gobiernos burgueses y sus sumisos pregoneros entre los medios, los “expertos”, etc. que ignoren esta cuestión. Pero vayamos al punto.

 

 

 

Exceso de mortalidad en Alemania y Europa en 2021

 

 

 

Antes de presentar las cifras relevantes para nuestro tema, queremos señalar que todas las tablas y gráficos de este ensayo han sido tomados de organismos oficiales responsables de la publicación de material estadístico relevante. Como estas instituciones están estrictamente controladas por el estado capitalista, no hay razón para creer que publicarían datos manipulados para socavar el prestigio de la política pandémica de los gobiernos.

 

Desde hace algún tiempo, vemos un aumento sustancial del exceso de mortalidad en Europa entre todos los grupos de edad menores de 75 años. Esta tendencia se inició a principios de 2021 respectivamente, para los jóvenes, en verano. En algunos países incluso vemos un aumento del número total de muertes. Este desarrollo no está relacionado con la llamada "segunda ola" del virus que terminó en la primavera de 2021. Esto se hace evidente si tomamos la cifra de mortalidad desde la semana 16 (que comenzó a mediados de abril) hasta la semana 47 (a finales de noviembre; los últimos datos disponibles) y los comparamos con las cifras del mismo período en 2020.

 

En Alemania, por ejemplo, el número total de muertes aumentó un + 4,4% en el período de la semana natural 16 y 47. Este aumento no se debe a más muertes entre los grupos de edad avanzada (como fue el caso en 2020). Más bien se debe a un número creciente de muertes en grupos de edad más jóvenes. La mortalidad aumentó en este período en el grupo de edad de 0 a 50 años en un + 4,7%. Esta cifra es aún mayor si tomamos solo el grupo de edad de 0 a 30 años (+ 5,85%). (Ver Tabla 1 y Gráfico 1 en el Apéndice)

 

 

 

Tabla 1. Número total de defunciones en Alemania entre la semana 16 y 47 del calendario en 2020 y 2021 [5]

 

Total 2020                           Total 2021                           Incremento 2020 a 2021

 

564,649                                589,666                                + 4.4%

 

0-50 años 2020                   0-50 años 2021                   Incremento 2020 a 2021

 

17.599                                   18.423                                  + 4,7%

 

0-30 años 2020                   0-30 años 2021                   Incremento 2020 a 2021

 

4.356                                     4.611                                     + 5,85%

 

 

 

Vemos varias tendencias similares en toda Europa. Nuevamente, hemos tomado el período desde la semana 16 del calendario para que las cifras no se vean influenciadas por la mortalidad causada por la "segunda ola" en la primavera. A diferencia de Alemania, el exceso de mortalidad para toda la población en Europa disminuyó en comparación con el mismo período en 2020, el “año del Coronavirus” (-8,4%). Sin embargo, este descenso se debe exclusivamente a la reducción de la mortalidad entre el grupo de edad superior a los 75 años (que, como se sabe, ha sido el más afectado por la pandemia). Todos los demás grupos de edad han experimentado un aumento sustancial en la mortalidad. El exceso de mortalidad aumentó en un + 82,1% para los que tenían entre 15 y 44 años y en un + 67,9% para los que tenían entre 45 y 64 años. La única diferencia es que para el grupo de edad de 0 a 14 años, el aumento de la mortalidad comenzó más tarde, en la semana 37 del calendario (consulte la Tabla 2 y el Gráfico 2 en el Apéndice).

 

 

 

Tabla 2. Exceso de mortalidad en Europa entre la semana natural 16 y 47 en 2020 y 2021 [6]

 

Total 2020                           Total 2021                           Incremento 2020 a 2021

 

7.120.295                             6.522.888                             -8,4%

 

15-44 años 2020                 15-44 años                            2021 Incremento 2020 a 2021

 

58.049                                   105.705                                +82,1%

 

45-64 años 2020                 45-64 años 2021                 Incremento 2020 a 2021

 

541.752                                909.575                                +67,9%

 

 

 

¿El exceso de mortalidad en 2021 es causado por COVID?

 

 

 

A primera vista, este desarrollo es sorprendente. 2020 fue el “año del Coronavirus”. No había vacunación en circulación. Por el contrario, dicha vacunación existe en 2021 y se ha aplicado ampliamente. De hecho, Europa Occidental es el continente con la mayor proporción de población vacunada. Además, es el continente más rico del mundo en el que existe un mejor servicio de salud que en otras regiones. Sin embargo, ¡también tiene el mayor número de muertes por Coronavirus! Es, para citar al Jefe de la región europea de la Organización Mundial de la Salud, Hans Kluge, el “epicentro” de la pandemia mundial.

 

La región europea es ahora el“ epicentro ”de la pandemia global y está en camino de ver otro medio millón de muertes este invierno, advirtió el jueves el jefe de la región europea de la Organización Mundial de la Salud. La semana pasada, Europa y Asia Central informaron casi 1,8 millones de nuevos casos de COVID-19, lo que representa el 59 por ciento de todos los casos a nivel mundial, dijo Hans Kluge durante una conferencia de prensa. Y la región registró 24.000 muertes, lo que representa el 48 por ciento de las muertes a nivel mundial, dijo. En conjunto, ahora hay más casos notificados (78 millones) en la región europea que en el sudeste asiático, el Mediterráneo oriental, el Pacífico occidental y África juntos.” [7]

 

Pero discutiremos el tema de la vacunación más adelante. Llegados a este punto queremos abordar la cuestión de si el aumento de la mortalidad entre los grupos de edad más jóvenes ha sido provocado por COVID. La respuesta es un No definitivo.

 

Si se observa el Gráfico 1 que muestra la evolución de la mortalidad en Alemania (véase el Apéndice), se puede ver la brecha creciente entre la línea para 2021 y la de 2020. En la parte inferior del gráfico, también se puede ver el desarrollo de la número de personas que murieron a causa de COVID. Una vez más, se puede comparar el desarrollo de este año con el del año anterior. Apenas hay diferencia. (Si uno va al sitio web que muestra el gráfico [el enlace está en la nota al pie del gráfico], puede ver las cifras exactas de muerte por COVID para cada semana moviendo el cursor del mouse directamente sobre las líneas).

 

Este hecho también es evidente cuando se tiene en cuenta la proporción extremadamente pequeña de personas menores de 50 o 60 años entre las muertes por COVID. En Alemania, por ejemplo, la proporción de personas entre 0 y 49 años entre las muertes por COVID en 2021 es solo del 1,45%. Si incluimos el siguiente grupo de edad, es decir, aquellos entre 50 y 59 años, esta proporción se eleva al todavía muy pequeño número del 5,13%. Por el contrario, los mayores de 70 años constituyen la gran masa de todas las muertes por COVID: 85,45%. (Ver tabla 3)

 

Alemania no es una excepción. Si tomamos las cifras de Suecia, vemos exactamente la misma imagen. La proporción de personas entre 0 y 49 años representa solo el 1,44% de todas las muertes por COVID en 2020-21. Si sumamos los que tienen entre 50 y 59 años, esta participación todavía constituye solo el 4,03%. En contraste, nuevamente, aquellos en el grupo de edad de 70 años o más representan la gran mayoría de todas las muertes por COVID: 85,88%. (Ver tabla 4)

 

 

 

Tabla 3. Número de muertes por coronavirus (COVID-19) en Alemania en 2021, por edad [8]

 

Grupo de edad                     Número de muertes                            Porcentaje

 

0-9 años                               21                                                          0,02%

 

10-19 años                           20                                                          0,02%

 

20-29 años                           112                                                        0,11%

 

30-39 años                           352                                                        0,34%

 

40-49 años                           998                                                        0,96%

 

50-59 años                           3.825                                                    3,68%

 

60-69 años                           9.783                                                    9,42%

 

70-79 años                           21.480                                                  20,68%

 

80-89 años                           45,772                                                  44.06%

 

90 años y más                    21.516                                                  20,71

 

Total                                     103.879                                                100%

 

Proporción de 70 años o más                                                           85,45%

 

Cuota de 0-49 años                                                                            1,45%

 

Cuota de 0-59 años                                                                            5,13%

 

 

 

Tabla 4. Número de muertes por coronavirus (COVID-19) en Suecia en 2020 y 2021, por edad [9]

 

Grupo de edad                     Número de muertes                            Porcentaje

 

0-9 años                               9                                                            0,06%

 

10-19 años                           5                                                             0,03%

 

20-29 años                           26                                                          0,17%

 

30-39 años                           48                                                          0,32%

 

40-49 años                           126                                                        0,83%

 

50-59 años                           394                                                        2,59%

 

60-69 años                           1.083                                                    7,12%

 

70-79 años                           3.417                                                    22,45%

 

80-89 años                           6.179                                                    40,59%

 

90 años y más                    3.933                                                    25,84%

 

Total                                     15.221                                                  100%

 

Proporción de 70 años o más                                                           85,88%

 

Proporción de 0-49 años                                                                   1,44%

 

Proporción de 0-59 años                                                                   4,03%

 

 

 

Finalmente, también citaremos a la Agencia Federal Alemana de Estadística (DESTATIS) que comentó el aumento de la mortalidad en 2021 con las palabras cautelosas: “El número oficial de muertes por COVID puede explicar este desarrollo sólo en parte." [10]

 

En resumen, podemos concluir con seguridad que el aumento de la mortalidad entre los menores de 60 o 70 años no ha sido causado por COVID. Debe haber otros factores que causaron este preocupante desarrollo.

 

 

 

¿Cuáles podrían ser las causas de un aumento tan significativo del exceso de mortalidad?

 

 

 

Entonces, si el COVID no es la razón principal del aumento de la mortalidad entre los grupos de edad más jóvenes, ¿qué más podría haber causado este desarrollo? Desafortunadamente, sólo podemos identificar varias causas probables ya que no existen estudios serios sobre este tema. Tal falta de atención no es muy sorprendente. [11] A pesar del hecho de que COVID representa solo una pequeña proporción de todas las muertes, el enfoque total de la política oficial, los medios de comunicación y la investigación científica está en el virus SARS-CoV-2. La razón de esto es obvia: el COVID puede ser explotado para gigantescos proyectos empresariales, tanto para generar miedo entre la población como para justificar la expansión del aparato estatal policial y de vigilancia. Otras enfermedades más extendidas como el cáncer, la diabetes, la tuberculosis en la India, el cólera en Nigeria, [12] etc. no son útiles para tales intereses políticos y económicos (al menos hasta ahora).

 

No obstante, creemos que podemos nombrar algunos factores que podrían ayudar a comprender el aumento de la mortalidad entre los grupos de edad más jóvenes. Antes de hacerlo, permítanos mencionar una curiosa razón que ha sido nombrada por el mencionado DESTATIS alemán. En un comunicado de prensa esta agencia se refiere a la ola de calor del verano como un posible factor. [13] Si bien es cierto que hacía calor en verano en Europa, no se puede dejar de notar que el calor es peligroso para las personas mayores pero, en circunstancias normales, ¡no para las personas menores de 50 años!

 

Entonces, ¿qué podría explicar el aumento de la mortalidad entre los grupos de edad menores de 75 años? Primero, ha habido una disminución dramática de las visitas a médicos y hospitales por parte de personas con otras enfermedades no relacionadas a COVID. Según DESTATIS, hubo 2,5 millones (o -13,1%) menos de tratamientos hospitalarios en Alemania en 2020. Asimismo, ha habido 690.000 (o -9,7%) menos cirugías en hospitales. [14]

 

Tal desarrollo no se ha limitado a Alemania. El nuevo “Estado de la salud en la UE: Informe complementario 2021” remarca: “En todos los países europeos, las medidas para impulsar la capacidad de atención de los pacientes con COVID-19 fueron acompañadas de una ralentización o suspensión temporal de los no urgentes, no COVID-19 atención hospitalaria. La actividad ambulatoria siguió una tendencia similar.” [15]

 

¡Es difícil sobreestimar las dramáticas consecuencias de tal colapso en la salud pública! Un indicio de este vergonzoso desarrollo es el hecho de que muchos casos de cáncer no se han diagnosticado a tiempo. “En toda Europa, se han desarrollado estimaciones que indican hasta un millón de casos de cáncer potencialmente no diagnosticados debido a la interrupción de los sistemas de salud por COVID-19.” [16] Como es bien sabido, el cáncer se puede tratar con buenas posibilidades de éxito si se detecta en una etapa temprana. Si solo se detecta más tarde, las perspectivas son mucho peores.

 

Por lo tanto, vemos cómo la política capitalista pandémica creó una catástrofe con devastadoras consecuencias a largo plazo. Los gobiernos no lograron expandir el sector de la salud pública para que tanto los casos COVID como los no COVID pudieran haber sido tratados a tiempo. Hasta el día de hoy se han negado a desarrollar capacidades hospitalarias adicionales, mejorar las condiciones de trabajo de un personal sobrecargado, aumentar los salarios, contratar médicos y enfermeros adicionales e invertir en la formación de nuevos. ¡Nada de esto se hizo!

 

En cambio, los gobiernos capitalistas incluso redujeron las capacidades en salud pública. En Alemania, por ejemplo, ¡hay 4.000 camas de cuidados intensivos menos disponibles hoy que hace un año! [17] Entonces, en medio de la pandemia, ¡el sector de la salud pública incluso se ha reducido! Se han producido desarrollos similares en muchos otros países europeos.

 

A todo esto hay que añadir el enorme miedo público que intencionalmente provocaron los gobiernos y los medios de comunicación. Como informamos en un artículo el año pasado, la canciller austriaca dijo en marzo de 2020, en una reunión interna con asesores, que la población “no se toma lo suficientemente en serio el peligro del virus". El Canciller luego declaró, de acuerdo con el acta: “Kurz deja en claro que la gente debe tener miedo de infectarse, respectivamente, debe tener miedo de que sus padres o abuelos puedan morir". Unos días después, Kurz dijo en un discurso público: “Pronto tendremos una situación en Austria donde todos conocerán a alguien que ha muerto a causa del CoronaVirus.” [18] Los mismos métodos de alarmismo se han implementado en casi todos los demás países. Por tanto, no es de extrañar que muchas personas hayan tenido miedo de ir al médico o al hospital.

 

 

 

Consecuencias mentales devastadoras, especialmente para los jóvenes

 

 

 

También hay factores adicionales que sin duda habrán influido en el aumento de la mortalidad y seguirán haciéndolo en el futuro. Uno de ellos es la horrible consecuencia de la política capitalista de la pandemia para la salud mental. Este tema es particularmente relevante para los jóvenes. A pesar de que este grupo de edad apenas tiene que temer del virus, los gobiernos han impuesto una política que viola masivamente sus derechos y sus condiciones de desarrollo.

 

Un estudio publicado recientemente por el Fondo de las Naciones Unidas para la Infancia informa: “Además del informe Life in Lockdown, varios otros estudios han examinado investigaciones de todo el mundo. Uno de los más ampliamente informados es un metaestudio en JAMA Pediatrics, publicado en agosto de 2021, que reunió los resultados de 29 estudios en todo el mundo, que abarcaron alrededor de 80.000 niños y adolescentes menores de 18 años.102 Según el estudio, las tasas de depresión y ansiedad generalizadas clínicamente significativas se duplicó durante el transcurso de la pandemia, con uno de cada cuatro jóvenes experimentando depresión y uno de cada cinco ansiedad.” [19]

 

Otro estudio informa: “La prevalencia de ansiedad y depresión a principios de 2020 era el doble o más del nivel observado en años anteriores en varios países, incluidos Bélgica, Francia, Reino Unido y Estados Unidos (…) En Japón, 31% de 20 - 29 años - edad estaban experimentando los síntomas de la depresión, en comparación con el 18% de los adultos mayores, basado en las respuestas de la encuesta a partir de julio de 2020.” [20]

 

Y un estudio de la UE informa: “COVID-19 afectó particularmente la salud mental de los jóvenes. En Bélgica, alrededor del 30% de las personas de entre 18 y 29 años tenían síntomas de depresión en abril de 2020, una tasa aproximadamente tres veces mayor que en 2018. La situación se deterioró aún más desde la segunda ola de la pandemia: casi el 40% informó síntomas de depresión en marzo de 2021”. [21]

 

Según una encuesta de la Asociación Estadounidense de Psicología , más de siete de cada 10 entre los adultos jóvenes (de 18 a 23 años) dijeron que experimentaron síntomas comunes de depresión. [22]

 

Si bien es imposible calcular las consecuencias de tal deterioro de la salud mental para las tasas de mortalidad, es obvio que la política de encierro debe tener efectos fuertes, probablemente a corto plazo y definitivamente a largo plazo.

 

No hay razón para el optimismo con respecto a este desarrollo problemático. Es de esperar que la salud mental de las personas se deteriore aún más una vez que los gobiernos hayan establecido el sistema de "Pase Sanitario". Esto significa un sistema integral de control y restricción de todos los aspectos de la vida. Lo más probable es que se combine con la vacunación obligatoria regular, así como con confinamientod repetidos.

 

Tal desarrollo es completamente cínico. Como enfatizamos repetidamente, el virus SARS-CoV-2 es realmente peligroso para las personas de edad avanzada, así como para las que padecen enfermedades preexistentes. Sin embargo, para otros grupos de edad representa solo un peligro limitado. Varios estudios científicos han demostrado que la tasa de mortalidad por infección de COVID es de aproximadamente 0,15%. [23] Según un estudio mundial publicado recientemente, que abarca 14 países, la tasa media de mortalidad por infección para los menores de 50 años es extremadamente baja. (Ver Tabla 5)

 

 

 

Tabla 5: Tasa mediana de mortalidad por infecciones por grupos de edad, 0-69 años [24]

 

Grupo de edad                     Tasa mediana de mortalidad por infección

 

0-19 años                             0,0027%

 

20-29 años                           0,014%

 

30-39 años                           0,031%

 

40-49 años                           0,082%

 

50-59 años                           0,27%

 

60-69 años                           0,59%

 

 

 

Por último, también llamemos la atención sobre una estadística publicada recientemente por la UE y la OCDE. Según este estudio, la esperanza de vida al nacer en la UE descendió de 81,3 a 80,6 años en 2020, es decir, un 0,86%. Sin embargo, el mismo gráfico también muestra que en 2015 la esperanza de vida al nacer también había disminuido: de 80,8 a 80,5 años, es decir, un 0,38%. La razón de este desarrollo fue que Europa experimentó una temporada de influenza severa en el invierno de 2014 a 2015. Por lo tanto, si bien vemos un peor deterioro de la esperanza de vida en 2020 que en 2015, ¡difícilmente se puede llamar un giro tan apocalíptico y sin precedentes que podría haber justificado poner a toda la sociedad en un estado de emergencia sin fin! (Ver Gráfico 3 en el Apéndice)

 

En resumen, podemos concluir con seguridad que los efectos de la política capitalista pandémica: caracterizada por una campaña de miedo público orquestada por el estado, cierres repetidos, introducción de un sistema de “pase de salud” y vacunación masiva, tienen consecuencias devastadoras para las masas populares y, en particular, para los jóvenes. Es muy probable que esta política haya desempeñado un papel decisivo en el aumento de las tasas de mortalidad entre la masa de la población europea en 2021.

 

 

 

Excursión: una nota sobre la política de salud capitalista monopolista estatal

 

 

 

Dado que el enfoque de este ensayo es el desarrollo de la mortalidad y su relación con la política oficial contra la pandemia, no nos detendremos en el trasfondo político de este desarrollo. Observemos brevemente en este punto que la actual campaña de vacunación masiva por parte de los gobiernos es una característica clave de una transformación histórica que está teniendo lugar en el período actual: de la forma democrático-burguesa (limitada) a una forma chovinista-bonapartista, más totalitaria del capitalismo.

 

En nuestro libro sobre la contrarrevolución COVID, publicado en abril de 2020, nos referimos al análisis de Lenin sobre el capitalismo monopolista de estado y explicamos: “Si bien el curso del siglo XX demostró que la relación concreta entre el estado y los monopolios puede cambiar y de hecho cambia dependiendo de los desarrollos globales y nacionales, la estrecha colaboración y el entrelazamiento del estado capitalista y los monopolios han seguido siendo una característica clave de este sistema. Este es aún más el caso en períodos como el actual, cuando el capitalismo se encuentra en un estado de profunda crisis y decadencia.” [25]

 

El último año y medio ha confirmado plenamente esta evaluación. En el nivel económico, vemos gobiernos capitalistas, desde China hasta Estados Unidos, implementando programas de gasto keynesianos sin precedentes financiados por nuevas deudas públicas. En el campo de la política de salud, también vemos un desarrollo sin precedentes ya que los mismos gobiernos recurren a una política regulada por el estado de “Pase Sanitario” y a la vacunación masiva u obligatoria.

 

Por tanto, podemos hablar de una política de salud capitalista monopolista estatal que combina estrechamente los intereses comerciales de los monopolios (farmacéutica, informática, etc.) con los intereses políticos de la clase dominante de expandir el aparato estatal de bonapartismo chovinista. Ciertamente no es exagerado caracterizar el enorme esfuerzo actual de la contrarrevolución del COVID como uno de los proyectos capitalistas monopolistas estatales más grandes de la historia moderna, al menos desde el período del fascismo y la Segunda Guerra Mundial.

 

Hemos señalado repetidamente que es asombroso cómo la izquierda oportunista ignora por completo este desarrollo. Para ellos, la política sanitaria es algo que se cierne sobre la sociedad de clases y sus contradicciones. Si la clase dominante -en todo el mundo- impone una política de austeridad que resulta en una creciente desigualdad social, estos izquierdistas no encuentran dificultad en identificar y denunciar tales desarrollos. Lo mismo ocurre con la política económica de privatización o la política militarista de armamento. A pesar de que todas las clases dominantes del mundo están siguiendo esa política, la izquierda (con razón) se opone.

 

Pero cuando se trata de política sanitaria, la izquierda oportunista deja de pensar en términos de clase. Niega que la política de COVID con sus encierros, pases de salud y vacunación masiva esté impulsada por los intereses políticos y económicos de la burguesía monopolista. No, según estos ingenuos simplones, la política de salud en tiempos de pandemia está motivada por… ¡La necesidad de proteger a la sociedad! Debe ser el caso porque “todo el mundo” lo dice y todos los gobiernos del mundo están siguiendo esta política - ¡esta es la lógica para la izquierda oportunista (consciente o inconscientemente)!

 

Por supuesto, los marxistas saben que tal política de capitulación no ocurre por primera vez. Ya antes, las fuerzas reformistas y centristas se unieron al circo ideológico de la clase dominante en tiempos de crisis. En 1914, todos apoyaron a su patria imperialista refiriéndose al “peligro para su pueblo”. Lo mismo en 1939-45 cuando se unieron detrás de las potencias imperialistas occidentales en su guerra contra la Alemania nazi. De un día para otro, "democracia" y "patria" se habían convertido en categorías de clase neutra. ¡Hoy pasa lo mismo con el combate a la pandemia!

 

 

 

¿Cuáles son los efectos del ¿Campaña de vacunación capitalista monopolista estatal?

 

 

 

Analicemos ahora los efectos de la campaña de vacunación dirigida por el estado. Aquí también, podemos ver que los gobiernos capitalistas y sus instituciones, así como los monopolios, están orquestando una ola de estudios que pondrán a prueba la efectividad de las vacunas actualmente disponibles.

 

Por supuesto, no estamos en condiciones de juzgar todos estos estudios. Sin embargo, se debe tener en cuenta el carácter extremadamente politizado de la política de COVID desde el primer minuto, en contraste con pandemias pasadas como la llamada "gripe asiática" en 1957-58 o la llamada "gripe de Hong Kong" en 1968-69 que también han costado millones de vidas. Por tanto, el punto de partida para los socialistas, de hecho para cualquier persona pensante, tiene que ser el escepticismo y la desconfianza hacia todos estos estudios "científicos" encargados. Esto no significa que estén necesariamente equivocados o sean un fraude. Algunos de estos pueden ser incluso correctos o al menos parcialmente correctos. Pero acercarse a ellos con una creencia ingenua, como la clase dominante quiere que hagamos, es una completa idiotez y solo puede resultar en una desorientación criminal de la clase trabajadora y los oprimidos. No, hay que tener cuidado con el valor de estos estudios que confirman la narrativa de la política de los gobiernos. Varios estudios citados con frecuencia ya han demostrado ser falsos y tuvieron que ser retirados.

 

John Ioannidis, un científico médico de renombre y profesor de la Universidad de Stanford y uno de los pocos científicos de alto rango que ha logrado resistir la presión de la clase dominante, ha señalado este desarrollo problemático. En un artículo publicado recientemente, explica la reducción masiva de los estándares científicos en el curso de la pandemia de COVID, "para alimentar una guerra política que no tiene nada en común con la metodología científica". Proporciona ejemplos que muestran que "todos y cada uno" han publicado algo sobre este tema.

 

Señala, no sin ironía: “La pandemia condujo aparentemente de la noche a la mañana a una nueva y aterradora forma de universalismo científico. Todos hicieron ciencia sobre COVID-19 o comentaron sobre ella. En agosto de 2021, se publicaron 330.000 artículos científicos sobre COVID-19, en los que participaron aproximadamente un millón de autores diferentes. Un análisis mostró que científicos de cada una de las 174 disciplinas que componen lo que conocemos como ciencia han publicado sobre COVID-19. A fines de 2020, solo la ingeniería automotriz no tenía científicos que publicaran sobre COVID-19. A principios de 2021, los ingenieros de automóviles también tenían algo que decir. ” [26]

 

Tal sospecha está aún más justificada si recordamos lo que estos científicos ya hicieron "probar" en los últimos dos años. En primer lugar, "probaron" que los confinamientos son útiles y necesarios, a pesar de que nunca antes se había aplicado un instrumento de este tipo contra las pandemias. No solo esto: ¡tal política de salud pública nunca había sido defendida por ningún científico antes del comienzo de la Contrarrevolución del COVID en la primavera de 2020! De hecho, como demostraron el profesor Ioannidis y otros, los confinamientos apenas tienen efecto. [27] Incluso los países con la política de encierro más drástica (como China y Australia) no pudieron erradicar el virus y se han visto obligados a repetir una y otra vez poniendo a millones de personas bajo toque de queda.

 

Entonces, los "científicos" en la nómina del estado capitalista y las corporaciones denunciaron a Suecia, uno de los pocos países que se negó a imponer cierres. ¡Solo recuerde la miríada de científicos que publicaron “estudios” que muestran cuán devastadora supuestamente es la política antipandémica de Suecia! De hecho, Suecia ha superado la pandemia mucho mejor que la mayoría de los demás países de Europa. [28] Hoy, estos “expertos” críticos se han quedado callados sobre este tema y uno u otro de ellos se ve obligado a admitir que este país nórdico “no lo hizo tan mal”.

 

Luego, los gobiernos y sus medios de comunicación y científicos afirmaron que las vacunas son altamente efectivas, que frenarían la transmisión del virus y que te pondrían a salvo, es decir, que las personas vacunadas no morirían ni serían hospitalizadas. Fue esta afirmación la que los gobiernos de Europa han utilizado para justificar la discriminación similar al apartheid de las personas que no han sido vacunadas. Por supuesto, como explicamos, la verdadera razón de la discriminación de personas sanas pero no vacunadas no tiene nada que ver con la ciencia, sino que fue una motivación puramente política. El objetivo ha sido obligar a la gente a recibir una inyección para que supuestamente “recuperen su libertad”.

 

Una vez más, los gobiernos capitalistas consiguieron que una serie de "expertos" se suscribieran a su política y le prestaran credenciales "científicas". Pero, una vez más, se ha demostrado que están equivocados. Un estudio publicado en The Lancet ha demostrado que las tasas de ataques secundarios entre los contactos domésticos expuestos a casos índice completamente vacunados fueron similares a los de los contactos domésticos expuestos a casos índice no vacunados (25% para los vacunados frente al 23% para los no vacunados). [29]

 

Otro estudio, publicado por un gran equipo de científicos de los CDC de EE. UU., básicamente llegó a la conclusión de que no existe una diferencia significativa en la transmisión del virus entre personas vacunadas y no vacunadas. “Los clínicos y los profesionales de la salud pública deben considerar que las personas vacunadas que se infectan con el SARS-CoV-2 no son menos infecciosas que las personas no vacunadas." [30]

 

Mientras tanto, algunos gobiernos, como los de Portugal e Italia, se ven obligados indirectamente a admitir este hecho, ya que introducen pruebas obligatorias para los extranjeros que visitan su país, incluso si están completamente vacunados. [31]

 

Los gobiernos y sus científicos también dijeron que las vacunas permitirían a las personas no enfrentar más confinamientos u otras restricciones. Bueno, ¡ya sabías lo que pasó con esta afirmación!

 

Existen numerosos estudios que afirman que las vacunas son efectivas. Sin embargo, también existe un número creciente de estudios e informes que muestran que la proporción de personas vacunadas es alta entre los infectados.

 

Esto ha llevado a muchos partidarios de la campaña de vacunación a enfatizar que, si bien este podría ser el caso, los golpes son efectivos en la medida en que la proporción de personas vacunadas es menor entre los hospitalizados o muertos. Sin embargo, aquí nuevamente, hay cada vez más informes que contradicen esta afirmación.

 

En respuesta, los partidarios de la campaña de vacunación argumentan que la razón de tal desarrollo es porque ha surgido una nueva variante del virus (“Delta”) contra la cual la vacuna no funciona. De esto concluyen que será necesario un “tercer refuerzo” y actualmente los gobiernos trabajan duro para obligar a las personas a vacunarse una vez más.

 

Sin embargo, como todo el mundo sabe, mientras tanto ha surgido otra variante del virus (" ñOmicron") y los expertos ya advierten que el refuerzo existente podría no funcionar en su contra. [32] ¿La solución? ¡Conseguir otro refuerzo!

 

Bueno, es obvio a qué se reduce esto. Cada pocos meses surge otra variante del virus y, por lo tanto, las personas deberían verse obligadas a recibir otro pinchazo. ¡No se necesita mucha imaginación para comprender que una política de vacunación de este tipo es extraordinariamente rentable para las corporaciones farmacéuticas! Asimismo, es evidente que los gobiernos están muy interesados en implementar dicha política. En primer lugar, están estrechamente relacionadas con las corporaciones farmacéuticas y tienen contratos a largo plazo y muy rentables con ellas. Y, en segundo lugar, pueden utilizar políticamente la necesidad de impulsos regulares como pretexto para implementar y expandir un sistema integral de control de la salud (“Pase Sanitario”). [33] Estas razones políticas por sí solas han sido suficientes para que la CCRI se oponga a la política de Pase Sanitario y vacunación masiva desde sus inicios.

 

 

 

¿Por qué se debería obligar a las personas jóvenes y de mediana edad a recibir una vacuna?

 

 

 

Sin embargo, repetimos que el enfoque de este ensayo no es el trasfondo político y económico de la campaña de vacunación masiva, sino sus consecuencias para la salud pública. Como ya dijimos, no estamos en condiciones de hacer una valoración científica y concreta sobre la eficacia de las vacunas actualmente disponibles. Sin embargo, esto no significa que no se puedan sacar conclusiones.

 

En primer lugar, ¿es bien sabido que las vacunas, como la medicina en general, no afectan por igual a todos los grupos de la población? Las feministas han señalado este hecho durante mucho tiempo, ya que las corporaciones farmacéuticas generalmente han diseñado medicamentos con un enfoque en los hombres y sus características biológicas. Asimismo, existen diferentes efectos de las drogas en diferentes grupos de edad, razas y clases sociales (donde las personas a menudo tienen diferentes condiciones de salud debido a diferentes condiciones de vida). Así, por ejemplo, es posible que las nuevas vacunas contra el COVID tengan un efecto positivo para las personas mayores pero no para las personas jóvenes y de mediana edad.

 

Esto es particularmente relevante para el tema de los efectos secundarios de estas vacunas. Podría darse el caso de que los efectos positivos superen los efectos secundarios negativos en el caso de las personas mayores, pero no en el caso de las personas jóvenes y de mediana edad.

 

Para decirlo en términos más fuertes: nos parece absurdo, simplemente desde el punto de vista de la salud pública, presionar o incluso forzar a la masa de la población (es decir, a las personas jóvenes y de mediana edad que todavía tienen muchos años y décadas de vida) a vacunarse si no están bajo ningún peligro particular por el virus.

 

Todo esto es aún más cierto si tenemos en cuenta que las vacunas, aunque tengan un cierto impacto positivo en las personas mayores, no son especialmente eficaces. Si cada nueva mutación del virus hace que la vacuna sea ineficaz, no puede ser muy buena. Y si la consecuencia de esto es que las personas deben vacunarse cada pocos meses, ¡definitivamente podemos hablar de un desarrollo desastroso desde el punto de vista de la salud pública!

 

Seamos claros: ¡nunca en la historia moderna existieron campañas de vacunación en las que las vacunas se volvieran ineficaces después de tan poco tiempo y donde las personas tuvieran que vacunarse repetidamente cada pocos meses! ¡Es evidente que esto no puede tener efectos saludables para el cuerpo humano! “En el mejor de los casos” es como tomar un medicamento contra el dolor muchas veces. La primera vez funciona, pero luego el cuerpo se acostumbra y el fármaco se vuelve cada vez menos eficaz. Y al final, tal procedimiento tiene efectos negativos a largo plazo para la persona.

 

Agregue a todas estas consideraciones el hecho bien conocido de que las vacunas actuales se han desarrollado con prisa impulsada por las ganancias y no se prueban para detectar efectos secundarios a largo plazo. ¿Por qué la gente debería correr todos estos riesgos y en contra de su voluntad?

 

 

 

Una comparación con ejemplos anteriores de vacunación obligatoria está fuera de lugar

 

 

 

Por estas razones, rechazamos enérgicamente el argumento de los partidarios de la política de la pandemia capitalista que justifican la vacunación obligatoria refiriéndose a ejemplos similares en el pasado (por ejemplo, contra la viruela o la tuberculosis). En primer lugar, se trata de enfermedades bien conocidas y particularmente peligrosas que a menudo amenazan la vida de niños y jóvenes. En segundo lugar, se han probado las vacunas contra esas enfermedades y se ha demostrado que las ventajas superan los posibles perjuicios.

 

Y, en tercer lugar, la campaña de vacunación obligatoria contra el SARS-CoV-2 está claramente impulsada por intereses políticos y económicos, no por consideraciones de salud. Nunca antes una política de salud había estado tan directamente vinculada a los intereses comerciales de unas pocas corporaciones farmacéuticas, nunca antes había sido parte de un proyecto político de sustitución de la democracia burguesa (limitada) por un régimen semi-totalitario.

 

Esto es particularmente evidente dada la respuesta draconiana de los gobiernos capitalistas contra las críticas provenientes de científicos, médicos y trabajadores de la salud. El profesor Ioanidis y muchos otros científicos que firmaron la famosa declaración de Great Barrington han sido calumniados por los partidarios de la política de pandemia capitalista. [34] Mientras escribimos estas líneas, la red de noticias públicas de Austria informa que 200 médicos que han publicado una carta abierta criticando las vacunas de ARNm, una acción valiente dada la presión masiva a la que se enfrentan, han sido amenazados por las autoridades sanitarias estatales con una prohibición de su profesión! [35] Se están produciendo desarrollos similares en muchos otros países.

 

Además, es bien sabido que, a pesar de la enorme presión de las autoridades, grandes sectores de trabajadores de la salud se oponen a la vacunación obligatoria. En Ontario y Quebec, dos provincias de Canadá, miles de trabajadores de la salud protestaron contra la vacunación obligatoria y finalmente obligaron a las autoridades a dar marcha atrás. [36] Asimismo, muchos trabajadores sanitarios protestaron en Francia y unos 3.000 de ellos han sido suspendidos. [37] Se han producido protestas similares en Grecia y muchos otros países. [38] En Austria, alrededor del 30% de los 130.000 trabajadores sanitarios todavía no están vacunados, según estimaciones oficiales, a pesar de la enorme presión de las autoridades. [39] Más importante aún, hace apenas unas semanas los trabajadores de la salud en Martinica y Guadalupe, junto con las masas populares, lanzaron una huelga general y un levantamiento contra, entre otras cosas, la vacunación obligatoria para los trabajadores de la salud. [40]

 

El hecho mismo de que muchos trabajadores de la salud, es decir, personas con mucha experiencia en temas médicos, se opongan a la vacunación obligatoria, y todo esto a pesar de la presión masiva del estado capitalista, refleja el hecho de que una medida tan drástica no tiene base científica.

 

En resumen, vemos que la actual campaña de vacunación es un proyecto gigantesco orquestado por el estado capitalista, de la mano de las grandes farmacéuticas, los medios de comunicación y todo el establishment burgués. Al mismo tiempo, este ataque ha provocado protestas masivas en todo el mundo. No cabe duda de que esta cuestión es fundamentalmente política, una cuestión clave de la lucha de clases mundial actual. No se puede comparar con ningún estándar con ejemplos de vacunación obligatoria en el pasado.

 

 

 

Excursión: el lema de la contrarrevolución de COVID "confía en la ciencia" es la versión moderna de la máxima estadounidense "En Dios confiamos"

 

 

 

A los ladrones de la Contrarrevolución del COVID le gusta proclamar contra sus críticos que se debe “confiar en la ciencia”. Ciertamente confiamos en la ciencia, ¡pero no confiamos en los científicos que están en la nómina del estado capitalista y las grandes farmacéuticas! De hecho, la bandera oficial de la Contrarrevolución del COVID - "confía en la ciencia" - no es más que el equivalente moderno de la máxima estadounidense "En Dios confiamos".

 

¡Los marxistas rechazan tanto el viejo como el nuevo leitmotiv ideológico de la clase dominante! La forma en que se aplica la ciencia, a qué intereses sirve, sobre qué temas están investigando los científicos, etc., todo esto no existe independientemente de las clases que dominan en la sociedad. Más concretamente, todo esto está estrechamente relacionado con la cuestión de si los científicos investigan a instancias de una corporación, si la universidad donde trabajan depende financieramente de donaciones de corporaciones, si las autoridades estatales presionan a los científicos sobre las instituciones públicas y, vamos No olvidemos esto, si un determinado científico está interesado en hacer carrera y “adapta” sus resultados para tal fin.

 

Es indigno que un marxista olvide todas estas verdades básicas. Particularmente en tiempos como el de hoy, debemos recordarnos que la gran mayoría de los científicos, como los intelectuales en general, trabajan por los intereses de la élite gobernante en su país. Este ha sido siempre el caso, en países gobernados por fuerzas fascistas, en un sistema democrático burgués, así como bajo el estalinismo.

 

La tarea de los socialistas no es, y nunca podrá ser, “confiar en los científicos” en la nómina del estado capitalista y las corporaciones. Se trata más bien de liberar a la ciencia y la comunidad científica de las cadenas del capitalismo monopolista estatal. ¡La ciencia debe estar libre de poder y ganancias!

 

Es solo en una sociedad socialista sin clases donde la ciencia puede prosperar y donde los científicos trabajarán libres de los intereses de una pequeña minoría poderosa. ¡Solo bajo tales condiciones la ciencia realmente servirá a la gente!

 

 

 

Tesis finales

 

1.            En el presente ensayo hemos demostrado que las cifras de mortalidad en Europa para las personas menores de 60, 70 años han aumentado en 2021 en comparación con 2020, el “Año del Coronavirus”. Esto no ha sido causado principalmente por el COVID, ya que este virus tiene un peligro insignificante para los grupos de edad de hasta 50, 60 años.

 

2.            Además, hemos demostrado que la política oficial contra la pandemia, caracterizada por una campaña de miedo público orquestada por el estado, cierres repetidos, introducción de un sistema de "pase de salud" y vacunación masiva, tiene consecuencias devastadoras para las masas populares, en particular para personas más jóvenes. Por lo tanto, el RCIT llama a esta política la Contrarrevolución COVID.

 

3.            Esta política ha tenido como resultado el hecho de que muchas enfermedades no han sido detectadas o tratadas. Por ejemplo, según estimaciones oficiales, hay hasta un millón de casos de cáncer potencialmente no diagnosticados en Europa. Además, las enfermedades mentales, en particular entre los jóvenes, han aumentado drásticamente. Este hecho es escandaloso, ya que los jóvenes no corren un grave peligro por el virus, pero ahora enfrentan daños a largo plazo como resultado de las consecuencias de la política capitalista de COVID.

 

4.            La actual política oficial de COVID se puede caracterizar como una política de salud capitalista de monopolio estatal que combina estrechamente los intereses comerciales de los monopolios (farmacéutica, informática, etc.) con los intereses políticos de la clase dominante de expandir el aparato de bonapartismo chovinista estatal. Creemos que constituye el proyecto capitalista monopolista estatal más grande de la historia moderna, al menos desde el período del fascismo y la Segunda Guerra Mundial.

 

5.            La izquierda oportunista se ha mostrado incapaz de comprender el carácter de esta política reaccionaria desde sus inicios. Como resultado, capitulan ante esta política y actúan como sus partidarios "críticos", similar a los reformistas durante la Primera y Segunda Guerra Mundial que defendieron la "patria" imperialista.

 

6.            La actual campaña de vacunación masiva está impulsada principalmente por intereses políticos y económicos, no por consideraciones de salud pública. Los gobiernos y las corporaciones han orquestado una serie de estudios que mostrarán la efectividad de las vacunas. Es difícil emitir un juicio exacto sobre este tema, ya que existen también otros estudios que muestran una alta proporción de personas vacunadas entre los hospitalizados o fallecidos.

 

7-            La CCRI se opone a la campaña de vacunación masiva -y más aún a la vacunación obligatoria- ante todo por motivos políticos. Esta campaña es una parte crucial de una ofensiva antidemocrática de la clase dominante (sistema de "Pase Sanitario").

 

8.            Hay varios indicios que muestran que la política de vacunación no es particularmente eficaz. Las personas vacunadas pueden transmitir el virus en un grado similar al de las personas no vacunadas. También hay un número considerable de personas vacunadas que mueren a causa del virus. Más aún, la vacuna pierde su protección a los pocos meses. Cada nueva mutación del virus hace que la vacuna existente sea ineficaz. Como resultado, el número de infecciones, así como de hospitalizaciones y muertes está aumentando nuevamente. La respuesta de la clase dominante -vacunación obligatoria para todos con refuerzos cada pocos meses- es una política extremadamente peligrosa, tanto desde el punto de vista democrático como de salud pública.

 

9.            Las críticas de los partidarios de la política oficial contra la pandemia que dicen que se debe "confiar en la ciencia" deben ser rechazadas enérgicamente. De hecho, este lema no es más que el equivalente moderno de la máxima estadounidense "En Dios confiamos". Si bien los socialistas consideran que el progreso de la ciencia es esencial para el futuro de la humanidad, deben seguir siendo críticos con la investigación de los científicos que están en la nómina del estado capitalista y las corporaciones.

 

10.          La tarea de los marxistas es más bien liberar a la ciencia y la comunidad científica de las cadenas del capitalismo monopolista estatal. ¡La ciencia debe estar libre de poder y ganancias! Solo en una sociedad socialista sin clases, la ciencia puede prosperar y los científicos pueden trabajar libres de los intereses de una pequeña minoría poderosa.

 

 

 

Apéndice

 

 

 

Gráfico 1. Muertes semanales en Alemania 2016-2021 (incluidas muertes por COVID) [41]

 

 

 

 

 

Gráfico 2. Exceso de mortalidad en Europa por grupos de edad en 2019, 2020 y 2021 [42]

 

 

 

 

 

Gráfico 3: Esperanza de vida al nacer en la UE, 2009-2020 [43]

 

 

 

 


[1] La CCRI ha analizado ampliamente la contrarrevolución del COVID-19 desde sus inicios. A partir del 2 de febrero de 2020, hemos publicado alrededor de 100 folletos, ensayos, artículos y declaraciones, además de un libro, todos recopilados en una subpágina especial de nuestro sitio web: https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/collection-of-articles-on-the-2019-corona-virus/. En particular, remitimos a los lectores a dos Manifiestos de la CCRI: COVID-19: Una cubierta para una gran ofensiva contrarrevolucionaria global. Nos encontramos en un punto de inflexión en la situación mundial, ya que las clases dominantes provocan una atmósfera de guerra para legitimar la formación de regímenes bonapartistas de Estado chovinistas, 21 de marzo de 2020,https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-a-cover-for-a-major-global-counterrevolutionary-offensive/ ; “Green Pass” y vacunas obligatorias: una nueva etapa en la contrarrevolución del COVID. Abajo la policía chovinista-bonapartista y el estado de vigilancia: ¡defiendan los derechos democráticos! No a la política de salud al servicio de los monopolios capitalistas: ¡expanda el sector de la salud pública bajo el control obrero y popular! 29 de julio de 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/green-pass-compulsory-vaccinations-a-new-stage-in-the-covid-counterrevolution/; Además, llamamos la atención sobre nuestro libro de Michael Pröbsting: La contrarrevolución global del COVID-19: qué es y cómo combatirla. Un análisis y una estrategia marxistas para la lucha revolucionaria, RCIT Books, abril de 2020, Capítulo V, https://www.thecommunists.net/theory/the-covid-19-global-counterrevolution/ . Vea también nuestro primer artículo sobre este tema de Almedina Gunić: Coronavirus: "No soy un virus"... ¡pero NOSOTROS seremos la cura! La campaña chovinista detrás de la histeria del “coronavirus de Wuhan” y la respuesta revolucionaria, 2 de febrero de 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/wuhan-virus/. Almedina Gunić y Michael Pröbsting: sobre algunas características ideológicas de la contrarrevolución del COVID. Comentarios sobre una interesante entrevista con un historiador liberal alemán, 14 de noviembre de 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/on-some-ideological-features-of-the-covid-counterrevolution/; Ver también varios artículos en español de nuestros camaradas argentinos: Juan Giglio: La izquierda de la "Big Pharma", dejó de defender las libertades, 1.10.2021, https://convergenciadecombate.blogspot.com/2021/10/la-izquierda-de-la-big-pharma-dejo-de.html ; Juan Giglio: ¿Por qué la izquierda no cuestiona las políticas de la OMS? 8.9.2021, https://convergenciadecombate.blogspot.com/2021/09/por-que-la-izquierda-no-cuestiona-las.html

 

[2] Para una elaboración más detallada de este tema, consulte, por ejemplo, el libro mencionado anteriormente de Michael Pröbsting: La contrarrevolución global de COVID-19: qué es y cómo combatirla. (Capítulo II)

 

[3] Ver sobre esto, p. Ej. en Michael Pröbsting: Mass Vaccination Can Make You Rich… at least if you own a pharmaceutical corporation! 22 June 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/mass-vaccination-can-make-you-rich/; ver por el mismo autor: COVID-19: “A Market of up to 23 Billion US-Dollar”. The big corporations in the pharmaceutical industry expect gigantic profits by the vaccine business, 12 February 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-a-market-of-up-to-23-billion-us-dollar/; ver por el mismo autor: COVID-19: An Opportunity Too Good to Be Missed by the Lords of Wealth and Money (Part 1). An “official” confirmation of the Marxist analysis that the ruling class utilizes the pandemic for expanding the bonapartist state, 18 January 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-an-opportunity-to-good-to-be-missed-by-the-lords-of-wealth-and-money-part-1/; COVID-19: An Opportunity Too Good to Be Missed by the Lords of Wealth and Money (Part 2). A few examples of how the monopoly capitalists rob the workers under the cover of the anti-democratic Lockdown policy, 11 February 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-an-opportunity-too-good-to-be-missed-by-the-lords-of-wealth-and-money-part-2/; COVID-19: That Was A Damn Good Year … for the Billionaires in West and East who massively gained from the anti-democratic Lockdown policy, 5 January 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-that-was-a-damn-good-year-for-the-billionaires-in-west-and-east/

 

[4] Ver, por ej. Michael Pröbsting: The Police and Surveillance State in the Post-Lockdown Phase. A global review of the ruling class’s plans of expanding the bonapartist state machinery amidst the COVID-19 crisis, 21 May 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/police-and-surveillance-state-in-post-lockdown-phase/

 

[5] Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis): Sonderauswertung Sterbefälle. Fallzahlen nach Tagen, Wochen, Monaten, Altersgruppen, Geschlecht und Bundesländern für Deutschland 2016 - 2021, published on 7.12.2021, pp. 30-32. The numbers in this tables are listed separately for each week. El cálculo de la suma fue elaborado por nosotros.

 

[6] EuroMomo: Graphs and maps, Exel file for the graphs on excess mortality, https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/ (accessed on 14.12.2021). Los números en estas tablas se listan separadamente por cada semana. El cálculo de la suma fue elaborado por nosotros.

 

[7] Helen Collis: WHO: Europe region ‘epicenter’ of coronavirus pandemic, 4 November 2021, https://www.politico.eu/article/who-europe-region-epicenter-of-coronavirus-pandemic/

 

[8] Number of coronavirus (COVID-19) deaths in Germany in 2021, by gender and age, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1105512/coronavirus-covid-19-deaths-by-gender-germany/ (accessed on 15.12.2021)

 

[9] Folkhälsomyndigheten: Antal fall av covid-19 i Sverige, https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/09f821667ce64bf7be6f9f87457ed9aa (accessed on 15.12.2021)

 

[10] DESTATIS: Sterbefälle und Lebenserwartung Sonderauswertung zu Sterbefallzahlen der Jahre 2020/2021, 7. December 2021, https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Gesellschaft-Umwelt/Bevoelkerung/Sterbefaelle-Lebenserwartung/sterbefallzahlen.html

 

[11] Existen algunos artículos que también tratan este tema: Gerd Roettig: Politisierte Statistik, https://www.heise.de/tp/features/Politisierte-Statistik-6292579.html?wt_mc=nl.red.telepolis.telepolis-nl.2021-12-11.link.link; Susan Bonath: Wachsende Übersterblichkeit nun auch bei Jüngeren: An Corona kann das nicht liegen, 12 December 2021, https://de.rt.com/meinung/128273-wachsende-uebersterblichkeit-nun-auch-bei-juengeren/

 

[12] Ver sobre esto, por ej. RSV: Cholera not Omicron should be the major concern for Public Health in Nigeria! 6th December, 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/africa-and-middle-east/cholera-not-omicron-should-be-the-major-concern-for-public-health-in-nigeria/

 

[13] DESTATIS: Sterbefälle und Lebenserwartung Sonderauswertung zu Sterbefallzahlen der Jahre 2020/2021

 

[14] DESTATIS: Corona-Pandemie führt zu Übersterblichkeit in Deutschland, Pressemitteilung Nr. 563 vom 9. Dezember 2021, https://www.destatis.de/DE/Presse/Pressemitteilungen/2021/12/PD21_563_12.html

 

[15] State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10 December 2021, p. 12

 

[16] State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10 December 2021, p. 13

 

[17] Deutsche Welle: Germany's ICU medics expect COVID surge before Christmas, 01.12.2021. https://www.dw.com/en/germanys-icu-medics-expect-covid-surge-before-christmas/a-59985778

 

[18] Véase más adelante, con las referencias de las citas: Michael Pröbsting: COVID-19 Crisis: Internal Document Reveals Austrian Government Plan to Spread Fear, 28 April 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/europe/covid-19-crisis-internal-document-reveals-austrian-government-plan-to-spread-fear/#_edn1

 

[19] United Nations Children’s Fund: The State of the World’s Children 2021: On My Mind – Promoting, protecting and caring for children’s mental health, UNICEF, New York, October 2021, p. 102

 

[20] OECD: Health at a Glance 2021: OECD Indicators, OECD Publishing, Paris 2021, https://doi.org/10.1787/ae3016b9-en, p. 55 and 57

 

[21] State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10 December 2021, p. 15

 

[22] More than 7 in 10 Gen-Zers report symptoms of depression during pandemic, survey finds, 21 October 2020, https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/21/survey-more-than-7-in-10-gen-zers-report-depression-during-pandemic.html

 

[23] Vease, p. John P. A. Ioannidis: Reconciling estimates of global spread and infection fatality rates of COVID-19: An overview of systematic evaluations, in: European Journal of Clinical Investigation, May 2021, Vol. 51(5), doi: 10.1111/eci.13554

 

[24] Cathrine Axfors, John P.A. Ioannidis: Infection fatality rate of COVID-19 in community-dwelling populations with emphasis on the elderly: An overview, 13 July 2021, https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.08.21260210v1.full

 

[25] Véase el libro mencionado anteriormente por Michael Pröbsting: La contrarrevolución del COVID-19. Qué es y cómo combatirla. p. 43

 

[26] John P.A. Ioannidis: How the Pandemic Is Changing the Norms of Science. Imperatives like skepticism and disinterestedness are being junked to fuel political warfare that has nothing in common with scientific methodology, September 09, 2021, https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/science/articles/pandemic-science

 

[27] John Ioannidis et al: Assessing Mandatory Stay-At-Home and Business Closure Effects on the Spread of COVID-19, in: European Journal of Clinical Investigation, April 2021, Vol. 51(4), doi:10.1111/ECI.13484

 

[28] Ver, p. Michael Pröbsting: COVID-19: Sweden's Total Mortality in 2020. Once again, the figures demonstrate that this is a serious but not unprecedented pandemic, 23 January 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-sweden-s-total-mortality-in-2020-compared-with-past-years/; por el mismo autor: COVID-19: A Comparison of Historical Data. An analysis of the COVID-19 death figures and those of past pandemics and climate disasters based on data from the World Bank, 19 January 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-a-comparison-of-historical-data/

 

[29] Anika Singanayagam, Seran Hakki, Jake Dunning and others: Community transmission and viral load kinetics of the SARS-CoV-2 delta (B.1.617.2) variant in vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals in the UK: a prospective, longitudinal, cohort study, The Lancet, 28 October 2021, https://doi.org/10.1016/ S1473-3099(21)00648-4

 

[30] Phillip P. Salvatore and others: Transmission potential of vaccinated and unvaccinated persons infected with the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in a federal prison, July—August 2021, medRxiv 2021.11.12.21265796; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.11.12.21265796

 

[31] Ralf Streck: Die 2G-Linie aus Brüssel zerbröselt, 16. Dezember 2021, https://www.heise.de/tp/features/Die-2G-Linie-aus-Bruessel-zerbroeselt-6296913.html?wt_mc=nl.red.telepolis.telepolis-nl.2021-12-16.link.link

 

[32] Ver, p. RCIT: “Omicron”: A Pretext for Exacerbated Attacks of the COVID Counterrevolution. Down with chauvinist travel bans against Southern African countries! No to Lockdowns and compulsory vaccination! 1 December 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/omicron-is-pretext-for-another-attack-of-covid-counterrevolution/

 

[33] Sobre nuestro análisis del "Pase de salud" y la estrategia en su contra, ver el Manifiesto del RCIT mencionado anteriormente: "Pase verde" y vacunas obligatorias: una nueva etapa en la contrarrevolución del COVID

 

[34] Ver, p. Michael Pröbsting: COVID-19: The Great Barrington Declaration is indeed Great! Numerous medical scientists protest against the reactionary lockdown policy, 11 October 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-the-great-barrington-declaration-is-indeed-great/

 

[35] ORF: ÖGK droht mit Berufsverbot, 16.12. 2021, https://orf.at/stories/3240427/

 

[36] Ver, p. Jessica Patton: Ontario will not mandate COVID-19 vaccines for hospital workers, Global News, 3 November 2021, https://globalnews.ca/news/8347039/ontario-covid-mandatory-vaccine-hospital-workers/

 

[37] French hospital worker on hunger strike over vaccine mandate, 16 September 2021, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/9/16/french-hospital-worker-on-hunger-strike-over-vaccine-mandate

 

[38] Elena Becatoros: Greek health care workers protest against mandatory vaccines, 26.8.2021, https://apnews.com/article/europe-business-health-coronavirus-pandemic-62c084d0fa59fa730bf8f54632d2097e

 

[39] ORF: Drei von zehn Pflegepersonen sind ungeimpft, 16.12.2021, https://orf.at/stories/3240425/

 

[40] Véase sobre esto, por ejemplo, Michael Pröbsting: Martinica y Guadalupe: ¡Una primera victoria contra la contrarrevolución de COVID! Los levantamientos populares obligan al gobierno francés a retrasar la implementación de la vacunación obligatoria y a ofrecer charlas sobre autonomía, 28 de noviembre de 2021,https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/latin-america/martinique-guadeloupe-popular-uprising-against- la-contrarrevolución-covid/#anker_1; del mismo autor: Martinica y Guadalupe: ¡Huelga general y levantamiento popular contra la Contrarrevolución del COVID! ¡Este es el camino que deben tomar las protestas masivas en Europa! 26 de noviembre de 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/latin-america/martinique-guadeloupe-popular-uprising-against-the-covid-counterrevolution

 

[41] Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis): https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Querschnitt/Corona/_Grafik/_Interaktiv/woechentliche-sterbefallzahlen-jahre.html?nn=209016 (consultado en 16.12.2021)

 

[42] EuroMomo: Graphs and maps,https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/(consultado el 14.12.2021)

 

[43] State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10 December 2021, p. 7

 

 

 

COVID-19: Übersterblichkeit und Massenimpfung in Europa … und einige unangenehme Tatsachen

In allen Altersgruppen unter 75 Jahren sind 2021 mehr Menschen gestorben als im Jahr davor. Der Grund dafür ist nicht das Virus

 

Ein Essay (mit 5 Tabellen und 3 Graphiken) von Michael Pröbsting, Internationales Sekretariat der Revolutionär-Kommunistischen Internationalen Tendenz (RCIT), 18. Dezember 2021, www.thecommunists.net

 

[Übersetzung: Eva Kumar]

 

 

 

Hinweis des Herausgebers: Der folgende Essay enthält 3 Graphiken. Aus technischen Gründen können diese nur in der unten verlinkten PDF-Version wiedergegeben werden.

 

Download
Excess Mortality and Mass Vaccination in
Adobe Acrobat Document 895.2 KB

 

 

 

 

Inhalt

 

 

 

Einleitung

 

Übersterblichkeit in Deutschland und Europa 2021

 

Wird die Übersterblichkeit im Jahr 2021 durch COVID verursacht?

 

Was könnten die Ursachen eines derart signifikanten Anstiegs der Sterblichkeit sein?

 

Verheerende psychische Folgen – vor allem für die Jugend

 

Exkurs: Ein Beitrag zur staatsmonopolistisch-kapitalistischen Gesundheitspolitik

 

Was sind die Auswirkungen der staatsmonopolistisch-kapitalistischen Impfkampagne?

 

Warum will man junge und Personen mittleren Alters zur Impfung zwingen?

 

Der Vergleich mit Beispielen zur Impfpflicht aus der Vergangenheit ist unangebracht

 

Exkurs: Der Slogan der COVID-Konterrevolution „Vertrau der Wissenschaft“ ist die moderne Version von Amerikas Maxime „In God we trust“

 

Zusammenfassende Thesen


Einleitung

 

 

 

Die RCIT hat seit dem Beginn der Pandemie im Frühling 2020 dargelegt, dass die kapitalistischen Regierungen überall auf der Welt das Augenmerk nicht auf die allgemeine Gesundheit richten, sondern auf die politischen und wirtschaftlichen Interessen der herrschenden Klasse. Unter dem Vorwand der Pandemiebekämpfung richtet sich das Interesse der Regierungspolitik vor allem auf die Ausweitung der Machtbefugnisse des Staatsapparats und auf die Steigerung der Gewinne der Monopole. [1]

 

Wir haben diese Politik COVID-Konterrevolution genannt in dem Sinne als sie eine historische Offensive der herrschenden Klasse darstellt, deren Zweck darin besteht, in einer Zeit tiefer ökonomischer Krise und von Volksaufständen die Kontrolle über die Massen zu steigern und zu intensivieren. Sie ist gekennzeichnet durch eine Wende weg von (begrenzter) bürgerlicher Demokratie hin zu chauvinistischem Staatsbonapartismus. Dies führt zu der Erschaffung eines neuen Leviathan von dem Thomas Hobbes nicht einmal träumen konnte! [2]

 

Wenn wir erklären, dass allgemeine Gesundheit nicht das Hauptziel der COVID-Politik der herrschenden Klasse ist, meinen wir damit keineswegs, dass das Thema Gesundheit nicht eine wichtige Rolle spielt. Das ist zweifellos der Fall. Aber diese Politik stellt einen spezifisch kapitalistischen Zugang zu Gesundheit dar. Gesundheit wird als besonders gute Geschäftsgelegenheit für die pharmazeutischen und biotechnischen Unternehmen betrachtet. [3] Und sie wird in Zusammenhang mit Instrumenten der Kontrolle und der Überwachung der Bevölkerung gesehen. [4]

 

Jedenfalls wollen wir in diesem Essay nicht die politischen und ökonomischen Aspekte der COVID-Konterrevolution behandeln – diese Aspekte haben wir bereits in zahlreichen anderen RCIT-Dokumenten ausgeführt. An dieser Stelle Mal wollen wir uns vielmehr auf die Auswirkungen der offiziellen Pandemie-Politik auf die öffentliche Gesundheit konzentrieren – basierend auf den Säulen der Lockdowns, des Gesundheitspasses und der Massen- bzw. Zwangsimpfung. Wir werden unseren Blick auf die Entwicklung der Übersterblichkeit in Europa während der letzten 6–12 Monate richten sowie auf die Auswirkungen der Massenimpfungs-Kampagnen, die von den Regierungen und Big Pharma gesteuert worden sind. Dies ist ein sehr wenig erforschter Gegenstand. Tatsächlich zeigt dies deutlich die Scheinheiligkeit der bürgerlichen Regierungen und ihrer gehorsamen Marktschreier in den Medien, den „Experten“, usw., die diese Frage schlichtweg ignorieren. Aber gehen wir in medias res.

 

 

 

Übersterblichkeit in Deutschland und Europa 2021

 

 

 

Bevor wir die für unsere Thema relevanten Statistiken anführen, wollen wir betonen, dass alle Tabellen und Graphiken in diesem Essay aus offiziellen Quellen stammen, die dafür Fragen zuständig sind. Da diese Institutionen streng vom kapitalistischen Staat kontrolliert werden, gibt es keinen Grund anzunehmen, dass sie manipulierte Zahlen veröffentlichen würden, um das Ansehen der Pandemiepolitik der Regierungen zu untergraben.

 

Seit einiger Zeit verzeichnen wir einen merklichen Anstieg der Übersterblichkeit in allen Altersgruppen unter 75 Jahren in Europa. Dieser Trend begann sich zu Beginn des Jahres 2021 abzuzeichnen, bzw. – im Falle der Jugend – ab Sommer. In einigen Ländern sehen wir sogar einen Anstieg der Gesamtzahl von Sterbefällen. Diese Entwicklung steht nicht im Zusammenhang mit der „zweiten Welle“ des Virus, die im Frühjahr 2021 endete. Wir sehen diese Auffälligkeit, wenn wir die Tabelle für Sterblichkeit ab der Kalenderwoche 16 (die Mitte April begann) bis zu Woche 47 (Ende November; letzte verfügbare Daten) ansehen und diese mit der Tabelle für dieselbe Periode von 2020 vergleichen.

 

In Deutschland z.B. stieg die Gesamtzahl der Sterbefälle in der Periode Kalenderwoche 16 bis 47 um +4,4%. Dieser Anstieg ist aber nicht auf mehr Sterbefälle in den hohen Altersgruppen zurückzuführen (wie es im Jahr 2020 der Fall war). Er ist vielmehr verursacht durch einen Anstieg der Toten in jüngeren Altersgruppen. Die Sterblichkeit stieg in dieser Periode für die Altersgruppe von 0 bis 50 Jahren um +4,7%. Diese Zahlen werden noch höher, wenn wir nur die Altersgruppe der 0-30-Jährigen nehmen (+5,85%). (Siehe Tabelle 1 ebenso wie Graphik 1 im Anhang).

 

 

 

Tabelle 1. Gesamtanzahl von Sterbefällen in Deutschland zwischen Kalenderwoche 16 und 47 der Jahre 2020 and 2021 [5]

 

Gesamt 2020                                       Gesamt 2021                                       Anstieg 2020 bis 2021

 

564,649                                                589,666                                                +4.4%

 

0-50 Jahre 2020                                  0-50 Jahre 2021                                  Anstieg 2020 bis 2021

 

17,599                                                   18,423                                                  +4.7%

 

0-30 Jahre 2020                                  0-30 Jahre 2021                                  Anstieg 2020 bis 2021

 

4,356                                                     4,611                                                     +5.85%

 

 

 

Wir sehen einige ähnliche Trends in ganz Europa. Wieder haben wir die Periode seit Kalenderwoche 16 genommen, so dass die Darstellung nicht von der Sterblichkeit der „2. Welle“ im Frühling beeinflusst wurde. Im Gegensatz zu Deutschland sank die Sterblichkeit der Gesamtbevölkerung Europas verglichen mit der desselben Zeitraums im Jahr 2020 – dem „Jahr von Corona“ (-8,4%). Allerdings ist dieser Rückgang allein auf die Reduktion der Sterblichkeit in der Altersgruppe der über 75-jährigen zurückzuführen (also jene, die bekanntlich am meisten von der Pandemie betroffenen sind). Alle anderen Altersgruppen haben einen dramatischen Anstieg der Sterblichkeit erfahren. Die Übersterblichkeit stieg in der Gruppe zwischen 16 und 44 Jahren um 82,1% und für die zwischen 45 und 64 Jahren um 67,9%. Im Unterschied dazu stieg die Sterblichkeit für die Altersgruppe der 0–14-jährigen erst ab Kalenderwoche 37 an. (Siehe Tabelle 2 ebenso wie Graphik 2 im Anhang).

 

 

 

Tabelle 2. Übersterblichkeit in Europa zwischen Kalenderwoche 16 und 47 in den Jahren 2020 und 2021 [6]

 

Gesamt 2020                                       Gesamt 2021                                       Anstieg 2020 bis 2021

 

7,120,295                                             6,522,888                                             -8.4%

 

15-44 Jahre 2020                                15-44 Jahre 2021                                 Anstieg 2020 bis 2021

 

58,049                                                   105,705                                                +82.1%

 

45-64 Jahre 2020                                 45-64 Jahre 2021                                 Anstieg 2020 bis 2021

 

541,752                                                909,575                                                +67.9%

 

 

 

Wird die Übersterblichkeit im Jahr 2021 durch COVID verursacht?

 

 

 

Auf den ersten Blick ist diese Entwicklung überraschend. 2020 war das „Jahr von Corona“. Es gab keine Impfungen. Im Gegenteil, eine entsprechende Impfkampagne gibt es erst seit 2021 und sie ist weit verbreitet. Tatsächlich ist Westeuropa der Kontinent mit dem höchsten Anteil an geimpfter Bevölkerung. Weiters ist es auch der reichste Kontinent der Welt, der auch über ein besseres Gesundheitssystem verfügt als andere Regionen. Trotzdem hat Europa auch die höchste Anzahl von Corona-Toten! Es ist – mit den Worten des Regionaldirektors der World Health Organization Europe, Hans Kluge – das „Epizentrum“ der globalen Pandemie.

 

“Die europäische Region ist nun das “Epizentrum” der globalen Pandemie und ist auf dem Weg eine weitere halbe Million von Toten in diesem Winter zu sehen, warnte der Direktor von World Health Organization Europe am Dienstag. Letzte Woche meldeten Europa und Zentralasien fast 1,8 Millionen neue Fälle von COVID-19, was 59 Prozent aller Fälle weltweit darstellt, sagte Hans Kluge während einer Pressekonferenz. Und die Region meldete 24.000 Tote, die 48 Prozent der globalen Sterbefälle ausmachen, berichtete er. Alles zusammen sind das mehr gemeldete Fälle – 78 Millionen – in der europäischen Region als in Südost-Asien, dem östlichen Mittelmeerraum, dem Westlichem Pazifik und Afrika zusammen. [7]

 

Aber wir werden die Frage der Impfung später erörtern. An dieser Stelle wollen wir uns mit der Frage beschäftigen, ob der Anstieg der Sterblichkeit unter den jüngeren Altersgruppen von COVID verursacht worden ist. Die Antwort ist ein klares Nein. Wenn wir uns Graphik 1 ansehen, die die Entwicklung der Sterblichkeit in Deutschland zeigt (siehe Anhang), erkennt man den wachsenden Abstand zwischen der Zeile für 2021 und der für 2020. Am unteren Ende der Tabelle sieht man auch die Entwicklung der Anzahl der Todesfälle derer, die an COVID starben. Wieder kann man die Zahlen für dieses und vergangenes Jahr vergleichen. Hier sieht man fast keinen Unterschied. (Wenn man zur Website geht, die diese Graphik anzeigt [Link in der Fußnote zur Graphik] kann man die exakten Zahlen der COVID-Toten für jede Woche sehen, indem man den Cursor direkt auf die Zeilen legt).

 

Diese Tatsache ist auch offensichtlich, wenn man den extrem kleinen Anteil der Menschen zwischen 50 und 60 Jahren unter den COVID-Toten in Betracht zieht. In Deutschland z.B. beträgt der Anteil der 0-49-jährigen an den COVID-Toten für 2021 nur 1,45%. Wenn wir die nächste Altersgruppe einbeziehen – das sind diejenigen zwischen 50 und 59 Jahren – wächst der Anteil auf die noch immer niedrige Zahl von 5,13%. Im Vergleich dazu beträgt der Anteil von COVID-Sterbefällen bei denen über 70 Jahren und älter 85,45%. (siehe Tabelle 3)

 

Deutschland ist keine Ausnahme. Wenn wir die Zahlen von Schweden nehmen, sehen wir genau dasselbe Bild. Der Anteil der 0–49-jährigen macht 2020-21 nur 1,44% aller COVID Toten aus. Wenn wir die Gruppe von 50 bis 59 Jahren hinzufügen. beträgt der Anteil immer noch bloß 4,03%. Im Vergleich dazu macht die Gruppe der 70 und mehr -jährigen den Großteil aller COVID-Toten aus, nämlich 85,88% (siehe Tabelle 4).

 

 

 

Tabelle 3. Anzahl der Coronavirus (COVID-19) Toten in Deutschland in 2021, nach Altersgruppe [8]

 

Altersgruppe                                                        Anzahl der Toten                                 Anteil

 

0-9 Jahre                                                              21                                                           0.02%

 

10-19 Jahre                                                          20                                                           0.02%

 

20-29 Jahre                                                          112                                                        0.11%

 

30-39 Jahre                                                          352                                                        0.34%

 

40-49 Jahre                                                          998                                                        0.96%

 

50-59 Jahre                                                          3,825                                                     3.68%

 

60-69 Jahre                                                          9,783                                                     9.42%

 

70-79 Jahre                                                          21,480                                                   20.68%

 

80-89 Jahre                                                          45,772                                                   44.06%

 

90 Jahre und mehr                                           21,516                                                   20.71

 

Gesamt                                                               103,879                                                100%

 

Anteil der 70-Jährigen und älter                                                                                     85,45%

 

Anteil der 0-49-Jährigen                                                                                                   1,45%

 

Anteil der 0-59-Jährigen                                                                                                  5,13%

 

 

 

Tabelle 4. Anzahl der Coronavirus (COVID-19) Toten in Schweden 2020 und 2021, nach Alter [9]

 

Altersgruppe                                                        Anzahl der Toten                                Anteil

 

0-9 Jahre                                                              9                                                             0.06%

 

10-19 Jahre                                                          5                                                             0.03%

 

20-29 Jahre                                                          26                                                           0.17%

 

30-39 Jahre                                                          48                                                           0.32%

 

40-49 Jahre                                                          126                                                        0.83%

 

50-59 Jahre                                                          394                                                        2.59%

 

60-69 Jahre                                                          1,083                                                     7.12%

 

70-79 Jahre                                                          3,417                                                     22.45%

 

80-89 Jahre                                                         6,179                                                     40.59%

 

90 Jahre and älter                                             3,933                                                     25.84

 

Gesamt                                                              15,221                                                   100%

 

Anteil der Gruppe 70 Jahre und älter                                                                             85,88%

 

Anteil von 0-49 Jahre                                                                                                        1,44%

 

Anteil von 0-59 Jahre                                                                                                       4,03%

 

 

 

Zuletzt zitieren wir noch das deutsche Statistische Bundesamt (DESTATIS), das den Anstieg der Sterblichkeit von 2021 mit den vorsichtigen Worten kommentierte: „Die offizielle Anzahl der COVID Toten kann diese Entwicklung nur teilweise erklären.“ [10]

 

Zusammenfassen können wir mit Sicherheit sagen, dass der Anstieg der Sterblichkeit bei denen unter dem Alter von 60 oder 70 Jahren nicht von COVID verursacht wurde. Es muss andere Faktoren geben, die diese besorgniserregende Entwicklung verursacht haben.

 

 

 

Was könnten die Ursachen eines derart signifikanten Anstiegs der Sterblichkeit sein?

 

 

 

Wenn also COVID nicht der Hauptgrund für den Anstieg der Sterblichkeit in den jüngeren Altersgruppen ist, was könnte dann diese Entwicklung verursacht haben? Leider können wir nur einige wahrscheinliche Gründe anführen, da es zu dieser Frage keine ernsthaften Untersuchungen gibt. Ein solcher Mangel an Interesse ist nicht überraschend. [11] Abgesehen von der Tatsache, dass COVID nur einen kleinen Anteil aller Todesursachen darstellt, wird der ganze Fokus der offiziellen Politik, der Medien, ebenso wie der wissenschaftlichen Forschung auf das SARS-CoV-2 Virus gerichtet. Der Grund dafür ist offensichtlich: COVID kann für gigantische Geschäftsprojekte benutzt werden, es kann Angst in der Bevölkerung aufrechterhalten und es dient als Rechtfertigung für den Ausbau des staatlichen Polizei- und Überwachungsapparats. Andere weit verbreitete Krankheiten wie Krebs, Diabetes, Tuberkulose in Indien, Cholera in Nigeria, [12] usw. sind hingegen nicht so nützlich für politische und ökonomische Interessen (zumindest bisher).

 

Trotzdem glauben wir einige Hinweise geben zu können, die vielleicht helfen die steigende Sterblichkeit in jüngeren Altersgruppen zu erklären. Aber bevor wir beginnen, erlauben wir uns einen seltsamen Grund zu erwähnen, der vom oben erwähnten deutschen DESTATIS angegeben wurde. In einer Presseaussendung dieser Behörde bezieht sie sich auf die Hitzewelle im Sommer als einen möglichen Grund. [13] Es war im Sommer tatsächlich heiß in Europa, aber normalerweise ist Hitze für ältere Personen gefährlich, aber doch nicht für Menschen unter 50 Jahren!

 

Also wie könnte die ansteigende Sterblichkeit von Menschen unter 75 Jahren erklärt werden? Man weiß, dass es von Menschen, die an anderen Krankheiten außer COVID litten, einen dramatischen Rückgang an Arzt- und Krankenhaus-Besuchen gab. Nach DESTATIS gab es 2020 um 2,5 Millionen (oder -13,1%) weniger Spitalsbehandlungen in Deutschland. Ebenso fanden 690.000 (oder -9,7%) weniger Operationen in Krankenhäusern statt. [14]

 

Diese Entwicklung beschränkt sich nicht nur auf Deutschland. Der neue “State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021” stellt fest: “In allen europäischen Ländern waren Maßnahmen für die verstärkte Pflege von COVID-19 Patienten begleitet von einem Rückgang oder einem zeitweisen Aussetzen anderer nicht dringender Spitalspflege. Die Sorge für ambulante Patienten folgte demselben Trend.“ [15]

 

Man kann die dramatischen Konsequenzen eines solchen Zusammenbruchs des öffentlichen Gesundheitssystems nicht genug betonen! Ein Faktor dieser beschämenden Entwicklung ist, dass viele Fälle von Krebs in dieser Zeit nicht diagnostiziert werden konnten. „Schätzungen haben ergeben, dass es in ganz Europa - wegen der durch COVID-19 gestörten Gesundheitssysteme – bis zu einer Million nicht diagnostizierten Fällen von Karzinom gekommen ist. [16] Wie hinlänglich bekannt, haben Krebsbehandlungen eine gute Aussicht auf Erfolg, wenn der Krebs in einem frühen Stadium entdeckt wird. Je später er festgestellt wird, desto schlechter die Aussichten.

 

Somit sehen wir, welche katastrophalen Auswirkungen mit Langzeitfolgen die kapitalistische Pandemie-Politik in Gang gesetzt hat. Die Regierungen scheiterten am Ausbau eines Gesundheitssystems, in dem beide – COVID ebenso wie nicht-COVID Fälle – rechtzeitig behandelt werden konnten. Bis heute weigern sie sich zusätzliche Spital-Kapazitäten zu schaffen, die Arbeitsbedingungen eines überlasteten Personals zu verbessern, die Löhne zu erhöhen, zusätzliche Ärzte und Pflegepersonal zu gewinnen und in die Ausbildung zu investieren. Nichts davon ist geschehen.

 

Stattdessen haben die kapitalistischen Regierungen sogar Kapazitäten des öffentlichen Gesundheitssystems reduziert. In Deutschland zum Beispiel stehen heute 4000 weniger Intensivbetten zur Verfügung als noch vor einem Jahr. [17] Also inmitten der Pandemie wurde der öffentliche Gesundheitssektor noch reduziert! Ähnliche Vorgänge haben in vielen anderen europäischen Ländern stattgefunden.

 

Zu all dem muss man noch hinzufügen, wie Regierungen und Medien durchgehend und absichtlich enorme Angst in der Öffentlichkeit schüren. Wie wir in einem Artikel letztes Jahr berichteten, sagte der österreichische Kanzler im März 2020 in einem internen Meeting mit Beratern, dass „die Bevölkerung die Gefahr des Virus nicht ernst genug nimmt“. Weiters: „Kurz macht klar, dass die Leute Angst vor einer Infektion haben müssen, bzw. den Tod ihrer Eltern oder Großeltern befürchten müssen.“ Einige Tage später sagte Kurz in einer öffentlichen Ansprache: „Wir werden in Österreich bald eine Situation haben, wo jeder jemanden kennt, der am Corona Virus gestorben sein wird.“ [18]

 

Dieselben Methoden der Panikmache wurden in nahezu allen anderen Ländern praktiziert. Daher ist es kaum überraschend, dass die Menschen Angst davor haben, Ärzte oder ein Krankenhaus aufzusuchen!

 

 

 

Verheerende psychische Folgen – vor allem für die Jugend

 

 

 

Es kommen noch weitere Faktoren dazu, die beim Anstieg der Sterblichkeit wahrscheinlich eine Rolle gespielt haben und sich auch in Zukunft fortsetzen. Einer davon ist die schlimme Folge der kapitalistischen Pandemie-Politik für die mentale Gesundheit. Dieser Aspekt ist besonders relevant für die Jugendlichen. Ohne Rücksicht darauf, dass diese Altersgruppe kaum etwas vom Virus zu befürchten hat, haben die Regierungen eine Politik in Gang gesetzt, die ihre Rechte und ihre Entwicklungschancen gewaltsam massiv beschränkt.

 

Eine kürzlich veröffentlichte Studie des United Nations Children’s Fund berichtet: „Ebenso wie der ‚Life in Lockdown‘ Bericht haben eine Anzahl von Studien die Situation von Kindern auf der ganzen Welt untersucht. Eine der meist verbreiteten ist die Meta-Studie in JAMA Pediatrics von August 2021, die die Ergebnisse von 29 Studien weltweit - mit 80.000 Kindern und Jugendlichen unter 18 – zusammenfasst. Gemäß der Studie haben sich die Fälle von klinisch signifikanter allgemeiner Depression und Angststörung während des Verlaufs der Pandemie verdoppelt, sodass einer von vier Jugendlichen an Depression leidet und einer von fünf an Angststörung. [19]

 

Eine andere Studie berichtet: ”Die Verbreitung von Angst und Depression in verschiedenen Ländern einschließlich Belgien, Frankreich, dem Vereinigten Königreich und den Vereinigten Staaten (…) war im Frühjahr 2020 doppelt so hoch oder noch höher als in früheren Jahren. In Japan zeigten – laut Studien von Juli 2020 – 31% der 20-29-jährigen Anzeichen von Depression, im Vergleich zu 18% der älteren Erwachsenen.“ [20]

 

Und einer EU-Studie zufolge: „COVID-19 wirkt sich besonders auf die mentale Gesundheit von jungen Menschen aus. In Belgien hatten im April 2020 um die 30% der 18-29-jährigen Symptome einer Depression – ein Anteil, der dreimal so hoch liegt wie 2018. Die Situation verschlechterte sich weiterhin in der zweiten Welle der Pandemie: nahezu 40% hatten im März 2021 Symptome einer Depression.“ [21]

 

Nach einer Umfrage der American Psychological Association berichten sieben von zehn jungen Erwachsenen (im Alter von 18 bis 23 Jahren), dass sie allgemeine Symptome einer Depression erfahren hätten. [22]

 

Während es unmöglich ist, Berechnungen zu den Folgen einer solchen Verschlechterung der mentalen Gesundheit auf die Sterblichkeit anzustellen, ist es offensichtlich, dass die Lockdown-Politik solche Auswirkungen haben muss - offenbar auf kurze Sicht und definitiv auch in langfristig!

 

Es gibt keinen Grund für Optimismus bezüglich dieser besorgniserregenden Entwicklung. Man muss eine weitere Verschlechterung der mentalen Gesundheit der Menschen befürchten, sobald die Regierungen das System „Gesundheitspass“ einrichten, das ja ein engmaschiges umfassendes System von Kontrolle und Einschränkung aller Aspekte des Lebens bedeutet. Sehr wahrscheinlich wird es verbunden mit regelmäßiger verpflichtender Impfung und mit wiederholten Lockdowns.

 

Eine derartige Entwicklung ist zutiefst zynisch. Wie wir wiederholt festgestellt haben, ist das SARS-CoV-2 Virus tatsächlich für Menschen hohen Alters und/oder mit Vorerkrankungen gefährlich. Für andere Altersgruppen stellt es nur hingegen nur begrenzt eine große Gefahr dar. Zahlreiche wissenschaftliche Studien haben eine tödliche Infektionsgefahr von COVID mit um die 0,15% angegeben. [23]

 

Nach einer vor kurzem veröffentlichten Studie, die 14 Länder umfasst, ist die mittlere Fallsterblichkeit für diejenigen unter 50 Jahren extrem niedrig. (Siehe Tabelle 5)

 

 

 

Tabelle 5: Mittlere Fallsterblichkeit nach Altersgruppen, 0-69 Jahre [24]

 

Altersgruppe                                        Mittlere Fallsterblichkeit

 

0-19 Jahre                                            0,0027%

 

20-29 Jahre                                          0,014%

 

30-39 Jahre                                          0,031%

 

40-49 Jahre                                          0,082%

 

50-59 Jahre                                          0,27%

 

60-69 Jahre                                          0,59%

 

 

 

Richten wir abschließend auch die Aufmerksamkeit auf eine Statistik, die kürzlich von EU und OECD veröffentlicht wurde. Nach dieser Studie verringerte sich die Lebenserwartung bei Geburt im Jahr 2020 in der EU von 81,3 auf 80,6 Jahre d.i. um 0,86%. Allerdings zeigt dieselbe Graphik auch, dass sich 2015 die Lebenserwartung zum Zeitpunkt der Geburt auch verringert hatte: von 80,8 auf 80,5 Jahre, d.i. um 0,38%. Der Grund dafür war damals, dass Europa im Winter 2014/15 unter einer starken Grippewelle litt. Daher - während wir eine noch schlimmere Minderung der Lebenserwartung im Jahr 2020 sehen als 2015 – kann es sich nun wohl kaum um eine derartig apokalyptische und nie dagewesene Veränderung handeln, die gerechtfertigt hätte, dass die ganze Gesellschaft in einen nie endenden Ausnahme-Zustand versetzt wurde! (Siehe Graphik 3 im Anhang)

 

Zusammenfassend können wir eindeutig feststellen, dass die kapitalistische Pandemie-Politik – gekennzeichnet durch eine staatlich orchestrierte Kampagne von allgemeiner Angst, wiederholter Lockdowns, Einführung eines „Gesundheitspass“ Systems und Massenimpfung – dramatische Folgewirkungen für die Gesamtbevölkerung haben, insbesondere für jüngere Menschen. Diese Politik hat sehr wahrscheinlich eine entscheidende Rolle für die 2021 ansteigende Sterblichkeitsrate der Bevölkerung Europas gespielt.

 

 

 

Exkurs: Ein Beitrag zur staatsmonopolistisch-kapitalistischen Gesundheitspolitik

 

 

 

Da der Fokus dieses Essays auf dem Anstieg der Sterblichkeit und deren Wechselwirkung zur offiziellen Pandemiepolitik liegt, werden wir nicht auf dem politischen Hintergrund dieser Entwicklung herumreiten. Wir merken nur kurz an, dass die laufende Massenimpfungs-Kampagne der Regierungen eine Schlüsselrolle spielt für die historische Transformation, die momentan stattfindet – von der (begrenzt) bürgerlich-demokratischen Form hin zu einer chauvinistisch-bonapartistischen, weit totalitäreren Form des Kapitalismus.

 

In unserem Buch über die COVID-Konterrevolution, veröffentlicht im April 2020, bezogen wir uns auf Lenins Analyse des staatsmonopolistischen Kapitalismus, und erklärten: „Im Verlauf des 20. Jahrhunderts hat sich gezeigt, dass die konkrete Beziehung zwischen Staat und Monopolen sich ändern kann und es aktuell auch tut, in Abhängigkeit von weltweiten und nationalen Entwicklungen, während die enge Zusammenarbeit und das Verwobensein von kapitalistischem Staat und Monopolen weiterhin ein typisches Charakteristikum dieses Systems darstellt. Das zeigt sich sogar noch deutlicher in Perioden von tiefer Krise und des Niedergangs des Kapitalismus.“ [25]

 

Die letzten eineinhalb Jahre haben diese Einschätzung voll und ganz bestätigt. Auf der wirtschaftlichen Ebene sehen wir wie kapitalistischen Regierungen – von China bis zu den USA – beispiellose keynesianische Hilfsprogramme beschließen, die durch neue Staatsschulden finanziert werden. Auf dem Gebiet der Gesundheitspolitik sehen wir auch eine vorher nie dagewesene Entwicklung, da dieselben Regierungen mittels „Gesundheitspass“ und Massen- bzw. Zwangsimpfung eine staatlich-regulierende Politik durchführen.

 

Somit können wir von einer staatsmonopolistisch-kapitalistischen Gesundheitspolitik sprechen, die die Geschäftsinteressen der Monopole (Pharma, IT, usw.) mit den politischen Interessen der herrschenden Klasse an einem expandierenden chauvinistisch-bonapartistischem Staatsapparat eng verbindet. Es ist sicher nicht übertrieben, die momentan stattfindende große Anstrengung der COVID-Konterrevolution als eines der größten staatsmonopolistisch-kapitalistischen Projekte der modernen Geschichte zu bezeichnen – zumindest seit der Periode des Faschismus und des 2. Weltkriegs.

 

Wir haben immer wieder ausgeführt, wie erstaunlich es ist, dass die opportunistische Linke diese Entwicklung komplett ignoriert. Für sie ist Gesundheitspolitik etwas, das über der Klassengesellschaft und ihren Widersprüchen steht. Wenn die herrschende Klasse – auf der ganzen Welt – eine brutale Sparpolitik durchführt, die zu wachsender sozialer Ungleichheit führt, fällt es den Linken nicht schwer, diese Entwicklungen wahrzunehmen und sich dagegen auszusprechen. Dasselbe wenn es um die Wirtschaftspolitik der Privatisierung oder die militärische Politik der Aufrüstung geht. Ungeachtet der Tatsache, dass diese Politik von allen herrschenden Klassen der Welt verfolgt wird, lehnt die Linke diese (zurecht) ab.

 

Aber sobald es um Gesundheitspolitik geht, hört die opportunistische Linke auf, in Klassenbegriffen zu denken. Sie leugnet, dass die COVID-Politik mit ihren Lockdowns, Gesundheitspässen und Massenimpfungen von den politischen und wirtschaftlichen Interessen der Monopolbourgeoisie angetrieben wird. Nein, diesen naiven Einfaltspinseln zufolge ist die Gesundheitspolitik in Zeiten der Pandemie begründet durch … das Bedürfnis, die Gesellschaft zu schützen! Das muss auch so sein, denn „jeder“ sagt das und alle Regierungen in der Welt folgen dieser Politik – so simpel erklärt sich die opportunistische Linke (bewusst oder unbewusst) diese Entwicklung!

 

Marxistinnen und Marxisten wissen, dass eine derartige Kapitulations-Politik nicht zum ersten Mal stattfindet. Schon früher beteiligten sich reformistische und zentristische Kräfte am ideologischen Zirkus der herrschenden Kreise in Zeiten der Krise. 1914 unterstützten sie alle ihr imperialistisches Vaterland wegen der “Gefahr für das Heimatvolk“. Dasselbe 1939-45 als sie sich im Krieg gegen Nazi-Deutschland hinter die westlichen imperialistischen Mächten stellten. Von einem Tag zum anderen wurden „Demokratie“ und „Vaterland“ klassenneutrale Begriffe. Heute ist es dasselbe mit dem Kampf gegen die Pandemie!

 

 

 

Was sind die Auswirkungen der staatsmonopolistisch-kapitalistischen Impfkampagne?

 

 

 

Schauen wir uns nun die Auswirkungen der staatsgelenkten Impfkampagne an. Wieder sehen wir die kapitalistischen Regierungen und ihre Institutionen zusammen mit den Monopolen gemeinsam ein Meer von Studien präsentieren, die alle die Wirksamkeit der zur Zeit verfügbaren Impfstoffe beweisen.

 

Natürlich sind wir nicht in der Position, alle diese Studien zu beurteilen. Aber man muss den von der ersten Minute an extrem politisierten Charakter der COVID-Politik berücksichtigen – im Gegensatz zu den vergangenen Pandemien, wie der sogenannten „Asiatischen Grippe“ 1957-58 oder der sogenannten „Hongkong Grippe“ 1968-69, die auch Millionen von Todesfällen verursachten. Insofern wäre die Ausgangsposition für Sozialisten und eigentlich für jede denkende Person Skepsis und Misstrauen gegenüber allen diesen beglaubigten „wissenschaftlichen“ Studien. Das bedeutet nicht unbedingt, dass sie falsch oder betrügerisch sein müssen. Eine Anzahl davon könnte sich als richtig oder zumindest teilweise richtig herausstellen. Aber sich ihnen in naivem Glauben anzunähern, wie es von der herrschenden Klasse gefordert wird, ist absoluter Schwachsinn und kann nur auf eine absichtliche kriminelle Desorientierung der arbeitenden und unterdrückten Volksmassen hinzielen. Nein, man sollte vorsichtig sein gegenüber dem Wert solcher Studien, die das Narrativ der Regierungspolitik stützen. Eine Reihe oft zitierte Studien haben sich als falsch erwiesen und mussten widerrufen werden.

 

John Ioannidis, ein bekannter Medizinwissenschaftler und Professor der Universität Stanford und einer der wenigen höchstrangigen Wissenschaftler, die es fertiggebracht haben, dem Druck der herrschenden Kreise zu widerstehen, hat auf diese problematische Entwicklung hingewiesen. In einem vor kurzem erschienenen Artikel beschreibt er den gewaltigen Niedergang von wissenschaftlichen Standards im Lauf der COVID-Pandemie – „um politische Propaganda zu befeuern, was aber nichts mit wissenschaftlicher Methodologie zu tun hat“. Er zeigt Beispiele, die zeigen, dass „alle und jeder“ etwas zu diesem Gegenstand veröffentlicht hat.

 

Er merkt, nicht ohne Ironie, an: ”Die Pandemie hat anscheinend über Nacht zu einer furchteinflößenden neuen Form von wissenschaftlichem Universalismus geführt. Jeder betreibt COVID-19 Wissenschaft oder kommentiert sie. Mit August 2021 sind 330,000 wissenschaftliche Papiere zu COVID-19 erschienen, von gut einer Million verschiedener Autoren verfasst. Eine Analyse zeigte, dass Wissenschaftler von jeder einzelner der 174 Disziplinen, etwas zu COVID-19 veröffentlicht haben. Ende 2020 haben lediglich Wissenschaftler der Fahrzeugtechnik darauf verzichtet zu COVID-19 zu veröffentlichen. Zu Anfang 2021 hatten auch die Fahrzeugtechniker ihre Meinung geäußert.“ [26]

 

Der Verdacht ist umso mehr gerechtfertigt, wenn wir uns erinnern, was alles diese Wissenschaftler in den letzten 2 Jahren „bewiesen“ haben. Zuerst haben sie „bewiesen“, dass Lockdowns nützlich und notwendig sind – ungeachtet dessen, dass dieses Instrument noch nie in vorherigen Pandemien eingesetzt worden war. Nicht nur das: eine derartige Gesundheitspolitik wurde noch nie von einem Wissenschaftler vor Beginn der COVID-Konterrevolution im Frühling 2020 vertreten! Mehr noch, wie Prof. Ioannidis und andere gezeigt haben, haben Lockdowns kaum einen Effekt. [27] Sogar die Länder mit der restriktivsten Lockdown Politik (wie China und Australien) konnten das Virus nicht loswerden und stellten wieder und wieder Millionen von Menschen unter Hausarrest.

 

Dann denunzierten die “Wissenschaftler” auf den Gehaltslisten der kapitalistischen Staaten und Konzerne Schweden – eines der wenigen Länder, die den Einsatz von Lockdowns verweigerten. Erinnern wir uns daran, wie Myriaden von Wissenschaftlern „Studien“ publizierten, die zeigen sollten, wie verheerend Schwedens Pandemiepolitik sich erweisen würde! Tatsächlich aber ist Schweden viel besser durch die Pandemie gekommen als die meisten anderen Länder in Europa. [28] Heute sind diese kritischen Experten zu diesem Thema verstummt und der eine oder andere muss wohl oder übel zugeben, dass dieses nordische Land es „nicht so schlecht“ gemacht hat.

 

Dann behaupteten die Regierungen und ihre Medien und Wissenschaftler, dass die Impfungen hoch wirksam seien, die Übertragung des Virus stoppte und dass geimpfte Menschen nicht daran sterben würden bzw. nicht hospitalisiert werden müssten. Es waren diese Behauptungen, die die Regierungen in Europa aufgestellt haben, um die Apartheid-ähnlichen Diskriminierungen gegen Menschen, die nicht geimpft sind, zu rechtfertigen. Selbstredend hat die Diskriminierung von gesunden aber ungeimpften Menschen nichts mit Wissenschaft zu tun, sondern ist ganz und gar politisch motiviert. Das Ziel ist, Menschen zu zwingen, „sich den Stich zu holen“, damit sie „ihre Freiheit zurückbekommen“.

 

Und wieder haben die kapitalistischen Regierungen eine Anzahl von „Experten“ in Stellung gebracht, die ihre Politik unterschrieben und ihr „wissenschaftliche Glaubwürdigkeit“ verliehen. Aber wieder einmal hat sie sich als falsch erwiesen. Eine Studie in The Lancet hat gezeigt, dass die Anzahl von Ansteckungsraten innerhalb von gemeinsamen Haushalten bei geimpften und ungeimpften Menschen ähnlich hoch war (25% bei geimpften und 23% bei ungeimpften). [29]

 

Eine andere Studie – veröffentlicht von einem großen Team von Wissenschaftlern des U.S. CDC – kam zur Erkenntnis, dass es keinen wesentlichen Unterschied bei der Übertragung des Virus machte, ob geimpft oder ungeimpft. „Ärzte und Pflegepersonal sollten berücksichtigen, dass geimpfte Personen, die mit SARS-CoV-2 infiziert sind genau so ansteckend sind wie ungeimpfte Personen.“ [30]

 

Inzwischen sind einige Regierungen – wie die von Portugal und Italien – indirekt gezwungen das zuzugeben, indem sie Eintrittstests für alle Einreisenden verlangen, auch wenn diese voll geimpft sind. [31]

 

Regierungen und ihre Wissenschaftler haben auch behauptet, dass Impfungen weitere Lockdowns und andere Restriktionen verhindern würden – naja, man weiß, was diese Behauptungen wert waren!

 

Es gibt zahlreiche Studien, die angeben, dass Impfungen wirksam seien. Andrerseits gibt es eine wachsende Anzahl von Studien und Berichten, die zeigen, dass die Übertragungsrate bei Geimpften hoch ist.

 

Das führte wieder zu Behauptungen durch Unterstützer der Impfkampagnen, dass der Anteil der Geimpften in Spitälern und an Todesfällen geringer sei – tatsächlich aber gibt es mehr und mehr Berichte, die dem widersprechen.

 

Dagegen halten wieder die Unterstützer der Impfkampagnen, dass die Impfungen gegen die im Sommer 2021 neu aufgetretene „Delta“-Mutation des Virus wirkungslos seien und verlangen deshalb eine dritte „Booster“-Impfung dagegen. Sofort tun die Regierungen alles, um die Menschen neuerlich zur Impfung zu drängen.

 

Wie bekannt tauchte nun eine weitere Mutation des Virus auf (“Omicron“) und natürlich warnen Experten nun davor, dass dagegen nur eine vierte „Booster“-Impfung nützen kann. [32]

 

Nun, es ist offensichtlich, worauf das alles hinausläuft. Alle paar Monate entsteht eine neue Virusvariante und deshalb müssen die Leute jedes Mal zu einer weiteren Impfung gezwungen werden. Es braucht keine große Vorstellungskraft zu erkennen, dass eine solche Impfpolitik für die großen Pharma-Firmen äußerst profitabel ist. Ebenso ist es klar, dass die Regierungen sehr an der Durchführung einer solchen Politik interessiert sind. Erstens sind sie eng mit den Pharmafirmen verbunden und haben langfristige und hoch profitable Verträge mit ihnen. Und zweitens können sie den Bedarf nach regelmäßigen Auffrischungsimpfungen als Vorwand für die Einsetzung und Ausweitung eines flächendeckenden Gesundheits-Kontrollsystems instrumentalisieren („Gesundheitspass“). [33]

 

Allein diese politischen Gründe waren für die RCIT Anlass genug, sich der Politik des Gesundheitspasses und der Massenimpfung von Anfang an entgegenzustellen.

 

 

 

Warum will man junge und Personen mittleren Alters zur Impfung zwingen?

 

 

 

Wir wiederholen, dass der Fokus dieses Essays nicht auf den politischen und wirtschaftlichen Hintergründen der Massenimpfungskampagne liegt, sondern auf ihren Folgen für die öffentliche Gesundheit. Wie schon gesagt, wir sind nicht imstande, konkrete und wissenschaftliche Aussagen zur Wirksamkeit der momentan verfügbaren Impfstoffe zu machen. Aber das heißt nicht, dass man nicht einige Schlussfolgerungen ziehen kann. Zuerst einmal ist bekannt, dass Impfungen – wie Medizin ganz allgemein – nicht alle Teile der Bevölkerung gleich betreffen. Feministinnen haben auf diese Tatsache schon seit langem hingewiesen, da Pharmafirmen ihre Medikamente immer in Hinsicht auf Männer und deren biologische Spezifika hin entwickelt haben. Ebenso haben Medikamente verschiedene Auswirkungen auf Angehörige unterschiedlicher Altersgruppen, Ethnien und sozialen Klassen (da Menschen unterschiedliche Gesundheitsbedingungen aufgrund unterschiedlicher Lebensbedingungen aufweisen). So ist es z.B. möglich, dass die neuen COVID-Impfstoffe positive Effekte für alte Menschen haben aber nicht für junge und solche mittleren Alters.

 

Das ist auch teilweise relevant für die Frage der Nebenwirkungen der Impfstoffe. Die negativen Nebenwirkungen könnten durch die positiven Effekte bei alten Menschen ausgeglichen werden – aber nicht bei Jüngeren und Menschen mittleren Alters.

 

Um es deutlicher zu sagen: es erscheint uns absurd – einfach mit Blick auf die öffentliche Gesundheit – die gesamte Bevölkerung (also auch jungen Menschen und solche mittleren Alters, die noch viele Jahre und Jahrzehnte an Lebensalter vor sich haben) zu drängen oder sogar zu zwingen, sich impfen zu lassen, wenn doch für diese keine oder nur geringe Gefahr durch das Virus besteht!

 

Umso augenscheinlicher ist diese Absurdität, wenn man bedenkt, dass die Impfstoffe – selbst wenn sie einen gewissen Schutz für ältere Leute darstellen – nicht sonderlich wirksam sind. Wenn jede neue Mutation des Virus den Impfstoff unwirksam macht, kann er nicht besonders gut sein. Und wenn die Konsequenz daraus ist, dass jeder sich alle paar Monate von neuem impfen lassen muss, können wir tatsächlich – vom Standpunkt der öffentlichen Gesundheit aus – von einer desaströsen Entwicklung sprechen.

 

Um es deutlicher zu sagen: noch nie hat es in der modernen Geschichte Impfkampagnen gegeben für Impfstoffe, die nach einer derart kurzen Zeit wirkungslos geworden sind und nie wurde Auffrischungen nach einer so kurzen Zeit (3-4 Monate) verlangt! Es ist doch offensichtlich, dass diese Eingriffe nicht gesund für den menschlichen Körper sein können! Dieses Vorgehen ist vergleichbar mit der Verordnung von Schmerzmitteln gegen Symptome. Beim ersten Mal wirkt das Mittel und der Schmerz verschwindet. Dann gewöhnt sich der Körper und die Dosis muss in kurzen Abständen erhöht werden, während das Mittel weniger und weniger hilft. Und auf lange Sicht besteht das Symptom weiter und der Patient hat Langzeit-Probleme durch die Symptome und noch mehr durch deren „Behandlung“.

 

Zu allen diese Schlussfolgerungen kommt hinzu, dass diese Impfstoffe in von Profitgier getriebener Hast entwickelt worden sind und keine Zeit war für Studien der Langzeit-Nebenwirkungen. Warum nun sollten Menschen all diese Risiken auf sich nehmen und noch dazu gegen ihren Willen?!

 

 

 

Der Vergleich mit Beispielen zur Impfpflicht aus der Vergangenheit ist unangebracht

 

 

 

Aus allen diesen Gründen weisen wir entschieden das Argument der Unterstützer der kapitalistischen Pandemie-Politik zurück, die eine Impfpflicht damit rechtfertigen, indem sie auf ähnliche Beispiele der Vergangenheit verweisen (z.B. die Impfpflicht gegen Pocken oder Tuberkulose). Abgesehen davon, dass es sich dabei um bekannte und sehr gefährliche Krankheiten handelte, die oft die Leben von Kindern und Jugendlichen bedrohte, sind diese Impfstoffe über lange Zeit getestet und erprobt worden, so dass erwiesenermaßen die Vorteile gegenüber möglichem Schaden überwogen.

 

Weiters ist die Impfpflichtkampagne gegen SARS-CoV-2 ganz deutlich motiviert von politischen und wirtschaftlichen Interessen, und nicht von Gesundheitsbelangen. Noch nie zuvor ist eine Gesundheitspolitik so deutlich mit den Geschäftsinteressen einiger weniger Pharmafirmen verbunden gewesen und noch nie zuvor war sie Teil eines politischen Projekts zur Umwandlung von einer (begrenzten) bürgerlichen Demokratie hin zu einem halb-totalitären Regime.

 

Dies wird auch daran offensichtlich, wenn man die drakonischen Reaktionen der kapitalistischen Regierungen gegenüber Kritik aus dem Lager der Wissenschaftler, Ärzte und dem Gesundheitspersonal betrachtet. Prof. Ioannidis und viele andere Wissenschaftler, die die Great Barrington Erklärung unterschrieben haben, sind durch die Unterstützer der kapitalistischen Pandemiepolitik verunglimpft worden. [34] Während wir diese Zeilen schreiben, berichtet die Austria Presse-Agentur, dass 200 ÄrztInnen, die in einem offenen Brief die mRNA Impfungen kritisiert haben – eine mutige Aktion in Anbetracht des massiven Drucks unter dem sie stehen – von den staatlichen Gesundheitsbehörden mit Berufsverbot bedroht wurden! [35] Ähnliche Entwicklungen finden in vielen anderen Ländern statt.

 

Weiterhin ist es allgemein bekannt, dass – trotz hohen Drucks von oben – weite Teile des Gesundheitspersonals sich gegen die Impfpflicht stellen. In Kanadas Provinzen Ontario und Quebeq protestierten Tausende von Gesundheitsbeschäftigten gegen eine Impfpflicht und zwangen letztendlich die Behörden zurückzurudern. [36] Ebenso protestierten viele Gesundheits-ArbeiterInnen in Frankreich und ca. 3000 von ihnen wurden suspendiert. [37] Ähnliche Proteste gab es in Griechenland und vielen anderen Ländern. [38] In Österreich sind rund 30% der 130.000 Gesundheits-ArbeiterInnen nach offiziellen Schätzungen noch nicht geimpft – trotz massiven Drucks der Behörden. [39] Am wichtigsten: vor einigen Wochen hat das Gesundheitspersonal in Martinique and Guadeloupe, zusammen mit der ganzen Bevölkerung einen Generalstreik durchgeführt im Widerstand gegen – unter anderem – eine Impfpflicht für Gesundheitspersonal. [40]

 

Einzig und allein die Tatsache, dass viele Arbeitende im Gesundheitsbereich – das sind immerhin Menschen mit viel Erfahrung in medizinischen Belangen – gegen diese Impfpflicht sind, und zwar trotz des massiven Drucks des kapitalistischen Staats, zeigt am besten, dass diese drakonische Maßnahme keine wissenschaftliche Basis hat.

 

Zusammenfassend stellen wir fest, dass die laufende Impfkampagne ein gigantisches Projekt ist, orchestriert vom kapitalistischen Staat – Hand in Hand mit Big Pharma, den Medien und dem ganzen bürgerlichen Establishment. Gleichzeitig hat diese Attacke Massenproteste überall auf der Welt hervorgerufen. Kein Zweifel, dass es hier um eine grundlegend politische Sache geht, eine Schlüsselfrage des globalen Klassenkampfes von heute. Sie kann keineswegs mit Beispielen von Impfpflicht in der Vergangenheit verglichen werden.

 

 

 

Exkurs: Der Slogan der COVID-Konterrevolution “Vertrau der Wissenschaft“ ist die moderne Version von Amerika’s Maxime „In God we trust“

 

 

 

Die Marktschreier der COVID-Konterrevolution benutzen gegen ihre Kritiker gern den Slogan „trust the science“ „Vertraue der Wissenschaft“. Wir trauen der Wissenschaft ohne Zweifel, aber wir vertrauen nicht jenen Wissenschaftlern, die auf den Gehaltslisten des kapitalistischen Staates und von Big Pharma stehen! Der offizielle Aufruf auf dem Banner der COVID-Konterrevolution „Vertraue der Wissenschaft“ / „trust the science“ ist nur der moderne Aufguss von Amerika’s Leitspruch „In God we trust“ „Wir vertrauen in Gott“.

 

Marxistinnen und Marxisten lehnen aber sowohl das alte wie auch das neue ideologische Leitmotiv der herrschenden Klasse ab! Wie Wissenschaft angewandt wird, welchen Interessen sie dient, zu welchen Themen Wissenschaftler forschen, usw. – all das geschieht nicht unabhängig von den Interessen der Klassen, die in einer Gesellschaft die dominierenden sind. Das heißt, dass die Forschung nicht unabhängig davon ist, auf wessen Geheiß und wonach geforscht wird, wer die Geldgeber sind und ob staatliche Institutionen Druck ausüben und nach bestimmten Ergebnissen verlangen, so wie sich auch die Karriere-Chancen der Wissenschaftler je nach gewünschten Forschungsergebnissen verbessern oder eben nicht.

 

Es ist eines Marxisten unwürdig, diese grundlegenden Wahrheiten zu vergessen. Gerade in Zeiten wie heute müssen wir uns darüber klar sein, dass die große Mehrheit der Wissenschaftler – wie Intellektuelle ganz allgemein – für die Interessen der herrschenden Elite ihres Landes arbeiten. Das war schon immer so – in Ländern, die von faschistischen Kräften regiert wurden, ebenso wie in bürgerlich-demokratischen Systemen, genauso wie im Stalinismus.

 

Die Aufgabe von SozialistInnen ist nicht und kann es niemals sein, den Wissenschaftlern zu „vertrauen“, die auf den Gehaltslisten des kapitalistischen Staates und der Unternehmen stehen. Sie ist vielmehr, die Wissenschaft und die ForscherInnen von den Ketten des staatsmonopolistischen Kapitalismus zu befreien. Wissenschaft muss frei sein!

 

Nur in einer sozialistischen, klassenlosen Gesellschaft kann sich Wissenschaft und Forschung entfalten und Wissenschaftler können frei von den Interessen einer kleinen mächtigen Minderheit arbeiten. Nur unter solchen Bedingungen kann Wissenschaft wirklich zum Wohl der Menschen arbeiten!

 

 

 

Zusammenfassende Thesen

 

 

 

1. In diesem Essay haben wir gezeigt, dass die Sterblichkeitszahlen in Europa für Menschen unter 60 und 70 Jahren im Jahr 2021 im Vergleich zu 2020 – dem „Jahr von Corona“ - angestiegen sind. Dies ist in erster Linie nicht auf COVID zurückzuführen, da das Virus lediglich eine geringfügige Gefahr für Menschen in den Altersgruppen der unter 50- und 60-Jährigen darstellt.

 

2. Weiterhin haben wir gezeigt, dass die offizielle Pandemie-Politik – die durch eine staats-orchestrierte Angst-Kampagne, wiederholte Lockdowns, Einführung eines „Gesundheitspass“ Systems und Massenimpfung gekennzeichnet ist – verheerende Langzeitfolgen für die Bevölkerung hat, insbesondere für jüngere Menschen. Daher nennt die RCIT diese Politik die COVID-Konterrevolution.

 

3. Das alles hat dazu geführt, dass viele Krankheiten unentdeckt oder unbehandelt geblieben sind. Zum Beispiel gibt es nach offiziellen Schätzungen bis zu einer Million nicht-diagnostizierte Krebsfälle in Europa. Dazu kommt, dass psychische Krankheiten – vor allem unter jungen Menschen – dramatisch zugenommen haben. Diese Entwicklung ist ein Skandal, da junge Menschen durch das Virus nicht ernsthaft bedroht sind, nun aber mit Langzeit-Folgen der kapitalistischen COVID Politik zu kämpfen haben.

 

4. Die gegenwärtige offizielle COVID-Politik kann als staatsmonopolistisch-kapitalistische Gesundheitspolitik bezeichnet werden. Sie ist eng verknüpft mit den Profitinteressen der Monopole (Pharma, IT, usw.), mit den politischen Interessen der herrschenden Klasse, den chauvinistisch-bonapartistischen Staatsapparat auszubauen. Wir halten dies für die Schaffung des größten staatsmonopolistisch-kapitalistischen Projekts der modernen Geschichte – zumindest seit der Periode des Faschismus und 2. Weltkrieges.

 

5. Die opportunistische Linke hat sich von Anfang an als unfähig erwiesen, den Charakter dieser reaktionären Politik zu verstehen. Folglich kapitulieren sie vor dieser Politik und handeln als deren „kritische“ Unterstützer – ähnlich den Reformisten während des 1. und des 2. Weltkriegs, die das imperialistische „Vaterland“ verteidigten.

 

6. Die laufende Massenimpfungs-Kampagne wird angetrieben von politischen und wirtschaftlichen Interessen, nicht von Belangen der öffentlichen Gesundheit. Regierungen und Unternehmen haben eine Menge Studien in Auftrag gegeben, die die Wirksamkeit der Impfung beweisen sollen. Es ist schwierig, diesen Gegenstand exakt zu beurteilen, da es ebenso zahlreiche weitere Studien gibt, die auf einen hohen Anteil an geimpften Menschen unter den Hospitalisierten und Toten hinweisen.

 

7. Die RCIT bekämpft die Kampagne für Massenimpfung – und noch mehr die Impfpflicht – vor allem aus politischen Gründen. Diese Kampagne ist ein wesentlicher Teil der anti-demokratischen Offensive der herrschenden Klasse („Gesundheitspass“-System)

 

8. Es gibt zahlreiche Hinweise, die zeigen, dass die Politik der Impfung nicht besonders effektiv ist. Geimpfte Menschen können das Virus ebenso wie ungeimpfte weitergeben. Es gibt auch einen nennenswerten Anteil der geimpften Personen, die an diesem Virus sterben. Und noch dazu verliert sich der mögliche Impfschutz nach wenigen Monaten. Jede neue Mutation des Virus macht die Impfstoffe wirkungslos. Als Resultat all dessen steigen die Infektionszahlen wieder und wieder, sowie die Anzahl der Hospitalisierungen und der Sterbefälle. Die Antwort der herrschenden Klasse – Impfpflicht für alle mit Auffrischung alle paar Monate – eine sehr gefährliche Politik, aus demokratischer Sicht ebenso wie aus gesundheitlicher.

 

9. Der Aufruf der Unterstützer der offiziellen Pandemiepolitik “der Wissenschaft zu vertrauen“ muss energisch zurückgewiesen werden - er ist ebenso irrational wie Amerikas Maxime „In God we trust“. SozialistInnen halten Fortschritte in Wissenschaft und Forschung für überaus wichtig für die Zukunft der Menschheit, aber sie bleiben kritisch gegenüber den Forschungen von Wissenschaftlern, die auf den Gehaltslisten von kapitalistischen Staaten und Unternehmen stehen.

 

10. Die Aufgabe von MarxistInnen ist vielmehr die Wissenschaft und die Forschungsgemeinde von den Fesseln des staatsmonopolistischen Kapitalismus zu befreien. Wissenschaft und Forschung müssen frei sein von Machteinflüssen und Profit! Nur in einer klassenlosen sozialistischen Gesellschaft kann sich Wissenschaft entfalten und sich frei entwickeln und Wissenschaftler können frei von den Interessen einer kleinen mächtigen Minderheit arbeiten.


Anhang

 

 

 

Graphik 1. Wöchentliche Sterbefälle in Deutschland 2016-2021 (inkl. COVID Tote) [41]

 

 

 

 

 

Graphik 2. Übersterblichkeit in Europa nach Altersgruppen 2019, 2020 and 2021 [42]

 

 

 

 

 

Graphik 3: Lebenserwartung nach Geburtsjahr in der EU, 2009-2020 [43]

 

 

 

 

 


 

[1] Die RCIT hat die COVID-Konterrevolution von Anfang an ausführlich analysiert. Seit dem 2. Februar 2020 haben wir knapp 100 Dokumente (inklusive einem Buch) veröffentlicht, die alle auf einer speziellen Unterseite unserer Homepage zusammengefasst sind: https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/collection-of-articles-on-the-2019-corona-virus/ (Kurzlink: https://bit.ly/39L2Vb4 ). Insbesondere verweisen wir unsere LeserInnen auf zwei RCIT-Manifeste: COVID-19: Tarnung für eine große konterrevolutionäre Offensive. Wir stehen an einem Wendepunkt in der Weltlage. Die herrschenden Klassen provozieren eine kriegsähnliche Atmosphäre, um den Aufbau chauvinistischer staats-bonapartistischer Regime zu legitimieren, 21 März 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/home/deutsch/covid-19-und-der-neue-leviathan/; Ebenso verweisen wir unsere Leser auf das RCIT Manifest: “Grüner Pass” & Zwangsimpfungen: eine neue Phase in der COVID-Konterrevolution. 29. Juli 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/green-pass-compulsory-vaccinations-a-new-stage-in-the-covid-counterrevolution/#anker_4. Zusätzlich möchten wir auf das Buch von Michael Pröbsting verweisen: The COVID-19 Global Counterrevolution: What It Is and How to Fight It. A Marxist analysis and strategy for the revolutionary struggle, RCIT Books, April 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/theory/the-covid-19-global-counterrevolution/. Unser erster Artikel zu diesem Thema stammt von Almedina Gunić: Coronavirus: “I am not a Virus”... but WE will be the Cure! The chauvinist campaign behind the “Wuhan Coronavirus” hysteria and the revolutionary answer, 2 Februar 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/wuhan-virus/; Almedina Gunić und Michael Pröbsting: Über einige ideologische Merkmale der COVID-Konterrevolution. Kommentar zu einem interessanten Interview mit einem deutschen liberalen Historiker, 14 November 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/on-some-ideological-features-of-the-covid-counterrevolution/; Siehe auch zahlreiche spanisch-sprachige Artikel unserer argentinischen Genossinnen und Genossen: Juan Giglio: La izquierda de la "Big Pharma", dejó de defender las libertades, 1.10.2021, https://convergenciadecombate.blogspot.com/2021/10/la-izquierda-de-la-big-pharma-dejo-de.html; Juan Giglio: ¿Por qué la izquierda no cuestiona las políticas de la OMS? 8.9.2021, https://convergenciadecombate.blogspot.com/2021/09/por-que-la-izquierda-no-cuestiona-las.html

 

[2] Für eine detailliertere Betrachtungsweise siehe das oben erwähnte Buch von Michael Pröbsting: The COVID-19 Global Counterrevolution: What It Is and How to Fight It. Kapitel II --- https://www.thecommunists.net/theory/the-covid-19-global-counterrevolution/.

 

[3] Siehe dazu Michael Pröbsting: Mass Vaccination Can Make You Rich… at least if you own a pharmaceutical corporation! 22. Juni 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/mass-vaccination-can-make-you-rich/; siehe vom selben Autor: COVID-19: “A Market of up to 23 Billion US-Dollar”. The big corporations in the pharmaceutical industry expect gigantic profits by the vaccine business, 12. Februar 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-a-market-of-up-to-23-billion-us-dollar/; siehe auch vom selben Autor: COVID-19: An Opportunity Too Good to Be Missed by the Lords of Wealth and Money (Part 1). An “official” confirmation of the Marxist analysis that the ruling class utilizes the pandemic for expanding the bonapartist state, 18. Januar 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-an-opportunity-to-good-to-be-missed-by-the-lords-of-wealth-and-money-part-1/; COVID-19: An Opportunity Too Good to Be Missed by the Lords of Wealth and Money (Part 2). A few examples of how the monopoly capitalists rob the workers under the cover of the anti-democratic Lockdown policy, 11. Februar 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-an-opportunity-too-good-to-be-missed-by-the-lords-of-wealth-and-money-part-2/; COVID-19: That Was A Damn Good Year … for the Billionaires in West and East who massively gained from the anti-democratic Lockdown policy, 5. Januar 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-that-was-a-damn-good-year-for-the-billionaires-in-west-and-east/

 

[4] Siehe dazu Michael Pröbsting: The Police and Surveillance State in the Post-Lockdown Phase. A global review of the ruling class’s plans of expanding the bonapartist state machinery amidst the COVID-19 crisis, 21. Mai 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/police-and-surveillance-state-in-post-lockdown-phase/

 

[5] Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis): Sonderauswertung Sterbefälle. Fallzahlen nach Tagen, Wochen, Monaten, Altersgruppen, Geschlecht und Bundesländern für Deutschland 2016 - 2021, veröffentlicht am 7.12.2021, S. 30-32.

 

[6] EuroMomo: Graphs and maps, Exel file for the graphs on excess mortality, https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/ (abgerufen am 14.12.2021) Die Zahlen der Tabellen werden jede Woche neu veröffentlicht. Die Berechnung der Summe ist unsere.

 

[7] Helen Collis: WHO: Europe region ‘epicenter’ of coronavirus pandemic, 4. November 2021, https://www.politico.eu/article/who-europe-region-epicenter-of-coronavirus-pandemic/

 

[8] Number of coronavirus (COVID-19) deaths in Germany in 2021, by gender and age, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1105512/coronavirus-covid-19-deaths-by-gender-germany/ (abgerufen am 15.12.2021)

 

[9] Folkhälsomyndigheten: Antal fall av covid-19 i Sverige, https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/09f821667ce64bf7be6f9f87457ed9aa (erhoben am 15.12.2021)

 

[10] DESTATIS: Sterbefälle und Lebenserwartung Sonderauswertung zu Sterbefallzahlen der Jahre 2020/2021, 7. Dezember 2021, https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Gesellschaft-Umwelt/Bevoelkerung/Sterbefaelle-Lebenserwartung/sterbefallzahlen.html

 

[11] Einige Artikel zu diesem Thema: Gerd Roettig: Politisierte Statistik, https://www.heise.de/tp/features/Politisierte-Statistik-6292579.html?wt_mc=nl.red.telepolis.telepolis-nl.2021-12-11.link.link; Susan Bonath: Wachsende Übersterblichkeit nun auch bei Jüngeren: An Corona kann das nicht liegen, 12. Dezember 2021, https://de.rt.com/meinung/128273-wachsende-uebersterblichkeit-nun-auch-bei-juengeren/

 

[12] Siehe dazu: RSV: Cholera not Omicron should be the major concern for Public Health in Nigeria! 6th December, 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/africa-and-middle-east/cholera-not-omicron-should-be-the-major-concern-for-public-health-in-nigeria/

 

[13] DESTATIS: Sterbefälle und Lebenserwartung Sonderauswertung zu Sterbefallzahlen der Jahre 2020/2021

 

[14] DESTATIS: Corona-Pandemie führt zu Übersterblichkeit in Deutschland, Pressemitteilung Nr. 563 vom 9. Dezember 2021, https://www.destatis.de/DE/Presse/Pressemitteilungen/2021/12/PD21_563_12.html

 

[15] State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10. Dezember 2021, S. 12

 

[16] State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10. Dezember 2021, S. 13

 

[17] Deutsche Welle: Germany's ICU medics expect COVID surge before Christmas, 01.12.2021. https://www.dw.com/en/germanys-icu-medics-expect-covid-surge-before-christmas/a-59985778

 

[18] Siehe dazu, mit den Quellenangaben für die Zitate: Michael Pröbsting: COVID-19 Crisis: Internal Document Reveals Austrian Government Plan to Spread Fear, 28 April 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/europe/covid-19-crisis-internal-document-reveals-austrian-government-plan-to-spread-fear/#_edn1

 

[19] United Nations Children’s Fund: The State of the World’s Children 2021: On My Mind – Promoting, protecting and caring for children’s mental health, UNICEF, New York, October 2021, S. 102

 

[20] OECD: Health at a Glance 2021: OECD Indicators, OECD Publishing, Paris 2021, https://doi.org/10.1787/ae3016b9-en, S. 55 und 57

 

[21] State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10 December 2021, S. 15

 

[22] More than 7 in 10 Gen-Zers report symptoms of depression during pandemic, survey finds, 21 October 2020, https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/21/survey-more-than-7-in-10-gen-zers-report-depression-during-pandemic.html

 

[23] Siehe z.B. John P. A. Ioannidis: Reconciling estimates of global spread and infection fatality rates of COVID-19: An overview of systematic evaluations, in: European Journal of Clinical Investigation, May 2021, Vol. 51(5), doi: 10.1111/eci.13554

 

[24] Cathrine Axfors, John P.A. Ioannidis: Infection fatality rate of COVID-19 in community-dwelling populations with emphasis on the elderly: An overview, 13 July 2021, https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.08.21260210v1.full

 

[25] Siehe das oben erwähnte Buch von Michael Pröbsting: The COVID-19 Global Counterrevolution: What It Is and How to Fight It, S. 43

 

[26] John P.A. Ioannidis: How the Pandemic Is Changing the Norms of Science. Imperatives like skepticism and disinterestedness are being junked to fuel political warfare that has nothing in common with scientific methodology, September 09, 2021, https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/science/articles/pandemic-science

 

[27] John Ioannidis et al: Assessing Mandatory Stay-At-Home and Business Closure Effects on the Spread of COVID-19, in: European Journal of Clinical Investigation, April 2021, Vol. 51(4), doi:10.1111/ECI.13484

 

[28] Siehe dazu z.B. Michael Pröbsting: COVID-19: Sweden's Total Mortality in 2020. Once again, the figures demonstrate that this is a serious but not unprecedented pandemic, 23. Januar 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-sweden-s-total-mortality-in-2020-compared-with-past-years/; vom selben Autor: COVID-19: A Comparison of Historical Data. An analysis of the COVID-19 death figures and those of past pandemics and climate disasters based on data from the World Bank, 19. Januar 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-a-comparison-of-historical-data/

 

[29] Anika Singanayagam, Seran Hakki, Jake Dunning and others: Community transmission and viral load kinetics of the SARS-CoV-2 delta (B.1.617.2) variant in vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals in the UK: a prospective, longitudinal, cohort study, The Lancet, 28 October 2021, https://doi.org/10.1016/ S1473-3099(21)00648-4

 

[30] Phillip P. Salvatore and others: Transmission potential of vaccinated and unvaccinated persons infected with the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in a federal prison, July—August 2021, medRxiv 2021.11.12.21265796; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.11.12.21265796

 

[31] Ralf Streck: Die 2G-Linie aus Brüssel zerbröselt, 16. Dezember 2021, https://www.heise.de/tp/features/Die-2G-Linie-aus-Bruessel-zerbroeselt-6296913.html?wt_mc=nl.red.telepolis.telepolis-nl.2021-12-16.link.link

 

[32] Siehe auch RCIT: “Omicron”: Ein Vorwand für verschärfte Attacken der COVID-Konterrevolution! Keine chauvinistischen Reisebeschränkungen gegen südafrikanische Staaten! Weg mit den Lockdowns und nein zur Zwangsimpfung! 1. Dezember 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/omicron-is-pretext-for-another-attack-of-covid-counterrevolution/#anker_3

 

[33] Zu unserer Analyse des “Gesundheitspass” und die Gegenstrategie siehe auch das oben erwähnte RCIT Manifesto: “Green Pass” & Compulsory Vaccinations: A New Stage in the COVID Counterrevolution

 

[34] Siehe auch z.B. Michael Pröbsting: COVID-19: The Great Barrington Declaration is indeed Great! Numerous medical scientists protest against the reactionary lockdown policy, 11. Oktober 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-the-great-barrington-declaration-is-indeed-great/

 

[35] ORF: ÖGK droht mit Berufsverbot, 16.12.2021, https://orf.at/stories/3240427/

 

[36] Siehe z.B. Jessica Patton: Ontario will not mandate COVID-19 vaccines for hospital workers, Global News, 3 November 2021, https://globalnews.ca/news/8347039/ontario-covid-mandatory-vaccine-hospital-workers/

 

[37] French hospital worker on hunger strike over vaccine mandate, 16. September 2021, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/9/16/french-hospital-worker-on-hunger-strike-over-vaccine-mandate

 

[38] Elena Becatoros: Greek health care workers protest against mandatory vaccines, 26.8.2021, https://apnews.com/article/europe-business-health-coronavirus-pandemic-62c084d0fa59fa730bf8f54632d2097e

 

[39] ORF: Drei von zehn Pflegepersonen sind ungeimpft, 16.12.2021, https://orf.at/stories/3240425/

 

[40] Siehe dazu z.B.. Michael Pröbsting: Martinique & Guadeloupe: A First Victory against the COVID Counterrevolution! Popular uprisings forces the French government to delay the implementation of compulsory vaccination and to offer talks about autonomy, 28. November 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/latin-america/martinique-guadeloupe-popular-uprising-against-the-covid-counterrevolution/#anker_1; vom selben Autor: Martinique & Guadeloupe: General Strike and Popular Uprising against the COVID Counterrevolution! This is the road which the mass protests in Europe should take! 26. November 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/latin-america/martinique-guadeloupe-popular-uprising-against-the-covid-counterrevolution/

 

[41] Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis): https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Querschnitt/Corona/_Grafik/_Interaktiv/woechentliche-sterbefallzahlen-jahre.html?nn=209016 (abgerufen am 16.12.2021)

 

[42] EuroMomo: Graphs and maps, https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/ (abgerufen am 14.12.2021)

 

[43] State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10. Dezember 2021, S. 7

 

코로나19: 초과사망률과 대량 백신접종, 그리고 몇 가지 불유쾌한 사실

유럽의 75 미만 모든 연령층들에서 전년 대비 2021년에 많은 사람이 죽었다. 바이러스 때문이 아니다

 

미하엘 프뢰브스팅, 혁명적 공산주의인터내셔널 동맹 (RCIT) 국제서기, 2021 12 18, www.communists.net

 

 

Download
KOR trans of Excess Mortality.pdf
Adobe Acrobat Document 222.8 KB

 

 

차례

 

1. 들어가며

 

2. 2021 유럽의 초과사망률

 

3. 2021 초과사망률은 코로나 때문인가?

 

4. 이러한 유의미한 초과사망률 증가의 원인은 무엇일 있을까?

 

5. 정신건강 파괴 특히 청소년에게 미치는 결과

 

6. 국가독점자본주의 보건 정책에 관한 노트

 

7. 국가독점자본주의 백신접종 캠페인의 효과는 무엇인가?

 

8. 청장년 연령층이 백신 주사를 맞도록 강요받아야 하나?

 

9. 과거의 의무 백신접종 사례와의 비교는 비교 자체가 잘못됐다

 

10. 코로나 반혁명의 과학을 믿어라 슬로건은 미국 달러에 새긴 "우리가 믿는 하나님 안에서" 표어의 현대판이다

 

11. 맺음말 가지 테제

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

 

1. 들어가며

 

RCIT 2020 코로나 사태 시작 이래로, 세계 자본가 정부의 정책은 공공보건이 아니라 지배계급의 정치·경제적 이익 증진에 맞춰져 있다고 강조해왔다. 들어올 젖는다고, 팬데믹 퇴치를 가장하여 국가기구의 힘을 확장하고 독점자본의 이윤을 늘리는 절호의 기회로 저들이 활용해 것이다.[1]

 

우리는 지배계급의 정책이 경제위기와 민중소요의 시기에 대중 통제를 강화하기 위한 저들의 역사적인 공세를 담고 있다는 점에서 그것을 코로나 반혁명이라고 칭해왔다. 코로나 반혁명은 부르주아 민주주의에서 배외주의적 국가 보나파르트주의로의 전환을 핵심 특징으로 한다. 토마스 홉스라도 없었을 전체주의 리바이어던의 탄생을 보게 상황이다![2]

 

우리가 지배계급의 코로나 정책에서 공중보건은 일차적인 고려사항이 아니라고 말할 , 이것이 보건 문제가 두드러진 역할을 하지 않는다는 뜻은 아니다. 보건 문제는 확실히 지배계급의 코로나 정책에서 전면에 있는 문제다. 그러나 정책은 보건/건강에 대한 특정한, 자본주의적인 접근법을 담고 있다. 보건/건강은 제약기업과 생명공학기업의 관점에서는 특별한 사업기회다.[3] 지배계급은 인민의 보건 문제를 인민에 대한 통제·감시 도구와의 결합 속에서 바라본다.[4]

 

코로나 반혁명의 정치·경제적 측면들에 대해서는 RCIT 다른 많은 문서들에서 자세히 설명해 놓았으므로 여기서는 반복하지 않을 것이다. 글에서는 록다운, 방역패스, 대량/강제 백신접종을 주요 기반으로 하고 있는 공식 팬데믹 정책이 공공보건에 미치는 효과에 초점을 맞출 것이다. 우리는 지난 6-12개월 유럽에서의 초과사망률 추이를 살펴보고 정부와 빅파마 (제약대기업) 조직한 대량 백신접종 캠페인의 효과에 대해 짚어볼 것이다. 이것은 지금껏 조사연구가 제대로 되지 않은 사안이다. 실제로 부르주아 정부와 저들의 호객꾼들인 언론과 전문가들 문제를 무시하는 것으로 인민을 속이려 한다.

 

2. 2021 유럽의 초과사망률

 

우리의 주제와 관련된 수치를 제시하기에 앞서, 글의 모든 표와 그래프는 관련 통계 자료 발표를 담당하는 공식 기관으로부터 인용한 것임을 밝힌다. 자본가 국가의 엄격한 통제를 받고 있으므로 이들 기관이 정부 팬데믹 정책의 위신을 떨어뜨리기 위해 조작된 수치를 발표할 걸로 의심할 이유는 없다.

 

어느 때부터 유럽의 75 이하 모든 연령층에서 초과사망률이 상당히 증가하는 것을 있다. 추세는 2021 초에 시작되는데, 청소년들에게는 여름에 시작되었다. 몇몇 나라에서는 심지어 사망자 수가 증가하는 경향도 있다. 추이는 2021 봄에 끝난 소위 "2 확산"과는 관련이 없다. 이는 16주차(2021 4 중순에 시작된)부터 47주차(11 )까지의 사망률 수치 (최신 데이터) 2020 같은 기간의 수치와 비교해보면 분명해진다.

 

예를 들어, 독일의 경우 16주차에서 47주차 기간 동안 사망자 수가 +4.4% 증가했다. 이러한 증가는 고령층에서 많은 사망자가 발생했기 때문은 아니다 (2020년에도 그랬듯이). 오히려 젊은 연령층의 사망자 수가 늘어난 때문이다. 사망률은 기간에 0-50 연령대에서 +4.7% 증가했다. 0-30세의 연령대만 취하면 수치가 훨씬 높아진다 (+5.85%). (아래 1 부록에 있는 그래프 1 참조).

 

1. 2020/2021 16~47주차 기간 독일의 사망자 [5]

 

2020 2021 2020-21 증가율

 

사망자수 564,649 589,666 +4.4%

 

0-50 사망자수 17,599 18,423 +4.7%

 

0-30 사망자수 4,356 4,611 +5.85%

 

유럽 전체적으로 가지 비슷한 추세들을 있다. 다시 말하지만, 우리는 수치가 2021 봄까지의 “2 확산으로 인한 사망률에 영향을 받지 않도록 16주차 이후 기간을 표본으로 잡았다. 독일과는 달리, 유럽 전체 인구에서 초과 사망률은 2020 (“코로나의 ”) 같은 기간에 비해 감소했다 (-8.4%). 그러나 이러한 감소는 전적으로 75 이상의 연령층 (알려진 바와 같이, 팬데믹에 가장 타격을 받은 연령층인)에서 사망률이 감소한 때문이다. 다른 모든 연령대들에서는 상당한 사망률 증가를 경험했다. 15-44 사이의 연령층들에서는 초과사망률이 +82.1%, 45-64 사이에서는 +67.9% 증가했다. 유일한 차이점은 0-14세의 경우 사망률 증가가 나중에, 37주차에 시작됐다는 것이다. (아래 2 부록의 그래프 2 참조)

 

2. 2020/2021 16~47주차 기간 유럽의 사망자 [6]

 

2020 2021 2020-21 증가율

 

사망자수 7,120,295 6,522,888 -8.4%

 

15-44 사망자수 58,049 105,705 +82.1%

 

45-64 사망자수 541,752 909,575 +67.9%

 

 

 

3. 2021 초과사망률은 코로나 때문인가?

 

언뜻 보면, 이러한 추이는 놀랍다. 2020년은 "코로나의 "였다. 아직 백신접종도 없었다. 백신접종은 2021년에 시작되어 널리 적용되었다. 실제로 서유럽은 백신접종 인구 비율이 가장 높은 대륙이다. 게다가 세계에서 가장 부유한 대륙으로, 다른 지역보다 보건의료 서비스가 상대적으로 낫다고 하는 지역이다. 그럼에도 유럽은 코로나 사망자수가 가장 높다! 유럽은, WHO 유럽지역 대표 한스 클루게의 말을 옮기자면, 세계 팬데믹의 "진앙지".

 

유럽 지역은 지금 글로벌 팬데믹의 진앙지, 겨울 50 명의 추가 사망을 맞을 상황이라고 목요일에 한스 클루게 WHO 유럽지역 대표가 경고했다. 그는 기자회견에서 지난주 유럽과 중앙아시아에서 세계 코로나19 확진 건의 59% 해당하는 180 건의 새로운 사례가 보고됐다고 말했다. 그는 유럽 지역에서 24,000명이 사망했는데 이는 세계 사망자의 48% 해당한다고 말했다. 누적 집계로는, 동남아시아, 동지중해, 서태평양, 아프리카 지역들을 합친 것보다 유럽 지역에서 많은 78백만 건이 보고되었다.”[7]

 

백신접종 문제는 뒤에서 논의하도록 하겠다. 여기서는 젊은 연령층의 사망률 증가가 코로나 때문인지의 문제를 짚어보자. 대답은 확실한 "아니오".

 

독일의 사망률 추이를 보여주는 그래프 1 (아래 부록 참조) 보면 2021년과 2020년의 사망률 격차가 점점 커지는 것을 있다. 그래프 하단에는 코로나로 인한 사망자 수의 추이도 있다. 올해와 지난해의 추이도 비교해 있는데, 거의 차이가 없다. (그래프를 보여주는 웹사이트에 가면 [그래프에 달린 각주에 링크가 있음], 마우스 커서를 직접 선에 대서 움직여 매주 코로나 사망자수에 대한 정확한 수치를 있다).

 

코로나 사망자 50, 또는 60 미만 연령층이 차지하는 비중이 극히 적다는 점을 고려할 때도 이러한 사실은 분명하게 확인된다. 예를 들어 독일의 경우 2021 코로나 사망자 0세에서 49 사이의 연령층들이 점하는 비율은 1,45% 불과하다. 다음 연령대 (50~59) 포함하면 5,13%, 여전히 매우 작은 숫자다. 반면 70 이상은 85.45%, 전체 코로나 사망자의 태반을 이룬다. (아래 3 참조)

 

독일이 예외인 것이 아니다. 스웨덴의 수치를 보면, 정확히 같은 그림을 있다. 2020-21 전체 코로나 사망자 0-49 연령층의 비율은 1,44% 불과하다. 50-59 연령층을 추가하면 4,03% 여전히 비율이 아니다. 반대로 70 이상의 연령층 비율은 85,88% 코로나 사망자수의 대부분을 차지한다. (아래 4 참조)

 

3. 2021 독일의 코로나 사망자 , 연령층별 [8]

 

연령층 사망자 비율

 

0-9 21 0.02%

 

10-19 20 0.02%

 

20-29 112 0.11%

 

30-39 352 0.34%

 

40-49 998 0.96%

 

50-59 3,825 3.68%

 

60-69 9,783 9.42%

 

70-79 21,480 20.68%

 

80-89 45,772 44.06%

 

90 이상 21,516 20.71%

 

103,879 100%

 

 

 

70 이상 비율 85,45%

 

0-49 비율 1,45%

 

0-59 비율 5,13%

 

 

 

4. 2020/21 스웨덴의 코로나 사망자 , 연령층별 [9]

 

연령층 사망자 비율

 

0-9 9 0.06%

 

10-19 5 0.03%

 

20-29 26 0.17%

 

30-39 48 0.32%

 

40-49 126 0.83%

 

50-59 394 2.95%

 

60-69 1,083 7.12%

 

70-79 3,417 22.45%

 

80-89 6,179 40.59%

 

90 이상 3,933 25.84%

 

15,221 100%

 

 

 

70 이상 비율 85,88%

 

0-49 비율 1,44%

 

0-59 비율 4,03%

 

 

 

마지막으로, 우리는 2021년의 사망률 증가에 대해 다음과 같은 조심스런 말로 논평한 독일 연방통계청(DESTATIS) 인용해보겠다. "공식 코로나 사망자 수는 추이를 부분적으로만 설명할 있을 뿐이다."[10]

 

요약하면, 우리는 60 또는 70 미만 연령층들의 사망률 증가가 코로나 때문이 아니라는 결론을 안전하게 내릴 있다. 이러한 우려스런 추이를 야기한 다른 요인이 분명히 있을 것이다.

 

4. 이러한 유의미한 초과사망률 증가의 원인은 무엇일 있을까?

 

그렇다면, 코로나19 젊은 연령층들의 사망률 증가의 원인이 아니라면, 다른 무엇이 이러한 추이를 야기할 있었을까? 안타깝게도 문제에 대한 진지한 연구가 없는 관계로 우리는 가지 있음직한 원인을 찾아낼 있을 뿐이다. 이런 주의 결여는 그리 놀라운 일이 아니다.[11] 코로나 사망자가 모든 사망자 중에서 작은 비율을 점할 뿐이라는 사실에도 불구하고 공식 정치권, 언론, 과학계의 초점은 온통 코로나19 바이러스에 맞춰져 있다. 이유는 명백하다. 거대 비즈니스 프로젝트에 코로나를 이용할 있고, 주민 사이에 공포를 조성하고 경찰·감시 국가기구 확충을 정당화하는 데도 써먹을 있어서다. , 당뇨와 인도의 결핵, 나이지리아의 콜레라[12] 다른, 널리 퍼진 질병들은 (적어도 지금까지는) 그러한 정치·경제적 이익에 유용하지 않아서다.

 

그럼에도 불구하고, 우리는 젊은 연령층에서 증가하는 사망률을 이해하는 도움이 있는 가지 요인을 있다고 생각한다. 이에 앞서, 상기한 독일 연방통계청에서 거명해온 기이한 이유 하나를 언급하고 넘어가겠다. 기관은 보도자료에서 하절기 열파를 가능성 있는 요인으로 지목하고 있다.[13] 유럽이 여름에 더운 것은 사실이지만, 열파가 노인들에게는 위험해도 50 미만의 사람들에게는 위험하지 않다는 통상적인 조건에서는 것을 사람들이 모를 수가 있을까?!

 

그렇다면, 무엇이 75 미만의 연령층들에서 증가하는 사망률을 설명해줄 있을까? 첫째, 코로나가 아닌 다른 질병을 가진 사람들의 병원 방문이 극적으로 감소했다. 연방통계청에 따르면 2020 독일에서 병원 진료 건수는 250 (-13.1%) 감소했다. 병원에서의 수술 건수도 69 (-9.7%) 줄었다.[14]

 

이러한 추이는 독일에 국한된 것이 아니다. "EU 보건 현황: 동반 보고서 2021" 이렇게 말한다. "모든 유럽 나라에서 코로나19 환자에 대한 치료 능력을 높이기 위해 () 응급, 코로나 병원 치료를 늦추거나 일시 중단하는 조치들이 수반됐다. 외래환자 진료도 비슷한 추세를 따랐다."[15]

 

같은 공공보건 붕괴의 극적인 결과를 어디서 찾을 있을까! 같은 참담한 사태를 단적으로 보여주는 하나의 정황이 있다. 많은 발병 환자가 제때에 진단되지 못한 그냥 넘어갔을 것이라는 사실이다. "유럽 전역에서 코로나19 비롯한 보건 시스템 장애로 인해 진단되지 못하고 넘어갔을 환자가 100 명에 이를 것이라는 추정치가 나오고 있다."[16] 알려진 대로 암은 조기에 발견되기만 하면 충분히 성공 가능성을 가지고 치료될 있다.

 

이와 같이 우리는 자본주의 팬데믹 정책이 장기적으로 얼마나 파괴적인 결과를 초래하는 대재앙을 낳고 있는지 있다. 자본가 정부들은 코로나 환자뿐만 아니라 코로나 환자들도 제때에 치료될 있도록 공공보건 부문을 확충해야 함에도 그렇게 하는 실패했다. 아니, 하지 않았다. 오늘까지도 저들은 추가 의료 시설을 구축하는 것도, 과부하가 걸린 의료 인력의 근무 조건을 개선하는 것도, 임금을 높여주는 것도, 의사와 간호사를 충원하는 것도, 신규 인력 양성에 투자하는 것도, 모두 거부해 왔다. 아무것도 없다!

 

오히려 자본가 정부들은 공공보건 서비스를 삭감하기까지 했다. 예를 들어, 독일에는 1 전보다 오늘 가용 중증 병상이 4,000 줄었다.[17] 팬데믹 와중에 공공보건 부문이 이렇게 감축된 것이다! 비슷한 상황이 많은 다른 유럽 나라들에서도 벌어지고 있다.

 

여기에 더해 정부와 언론이 의식적으로 조직한 엄청난 패닉 몰이가 있다. 우리가 지난해 기사에서 보고했듯이, 쿠르츠 오스트리아 총리는 2020 3 정부 자문단과의 내부 회의에서 국민들이 "바이러스의 위험을 충분히 심각하게 받아들이지 않고 있다" 말했다. 회의록에 따르면, "국민들은 감염되는 것을 두려워해야 하며, 부모나 조부모가 사망할 있다는 것을 두려워해야 한다고 쿠르츠 총리가 경고했다." 며칠 쿠르츠는 대국민 연설에서 이렇게 말했다. "코로나 바이러스 때문에 누군가 죽게 것을 모두가 알게 되는 상황이 오스트리아에 것입니다."[18] 다른 모든 나라에서 같은 패닉몰이 수법이 배치되고 있다. 많은 사람들이 병원 가기를 두려워하는 것은 놀라운 일이 아니다!

 

 

 

5. 정신건강 파괴 특히 청소년에게 미치는 결과

 

확실히 사망률 증가에 일조하는 추가 요인들이 있고 앞으로도 계속 있을 것이다. 하나가 자본주의 팬데믹 정책이 정신건강에 미치는 끔찍한 결과들이다. 문제는 특히 청소년들에게 관련이 있다. 연령층이 바이러스에 두려워할 것이 거의 없다는 사실에도 불구하고, 자본가 정부들은 그들의 권리와 발전 조건을 심대하게 침해하는 정책을 시행했다.

 

유엔아동기금이 최근 발표한 조사연구는 다음과 같이 보고한다. "<록다운 봉쇄 속에서의 생활> 보고서와 함께 많은 다른 연구보고서들이 세계에서 제출된 연구결과를 조사했다. 가장 널리 보고된 하나가 2021 8월에 발표된 미국 의학학회 소아과학 저널 (JAMA Pediatrics) 메타분석 연구로, 8 명의 아동과 청소년을 대상으로 세계 29편의 연구결과들을 망라했다. 연구에 따르면, 임상적으로 유의미한 일반 우울증과 불안증 비율이 팬데믹 속에서 배로 늘었는데, 청소년 명이 우울증을, 다섯 명이 불안증을 겪고 있다."[19]

 

다른 연구는 다음과 같이 보고한다. "2020 불안증과 우울증의 유병률은 벨기에, 프랑스, 영국, 미국을 포함한 다수의 나라에서 예년에 관측된 수준의 이상이었다... 일본의 경우, 20-29 연령층의 31% 우울증 증상을 겪고 있었다. 이에 비해 30 이상의 성인에서는 18% 수준을 넘지 않았다. (2020 7월부터의 설문조사를 근거로)."[20]

 

EU 연구도 다음과 같이 보고한다. "코로나19 특히 젊은이들의 정신건강에 영향을 미쳤다. 벨기에에서는 18-29 연령층의 30% 2020 4월에 우울증 증상을 보였는데, 이는 2018년에 비해 3 높은 비율이다. 팬데믹 2 확산으로 상황은 악화되었다. 2021 3 연령층의 40% 우울증 증세를 보였다고 보고되었다.“[21]

 

미국심리학회 조사에 따르면 젊은 성인 (18~23) 10 7 이상이 일반적인 우울증 증상을 경험했다고 답했다.[22]

 

이러한 정신건강 악화가 사망률에 미치는 결과에 대해 계산하는 것은 불가능하지만, 록다운 정책이 강한 영향을 끼친다는 것은 명백하다. 단기적으로도 그렇지만, 장기적으로는 확실하다.

 

실로 낙관을 불허하는 험악한 상황이다. 정부가 방역패스 제도를 강행하면 일단 사람들의 정신건강은 악화될 것이라는 것은 예상해야 한다. 이는 생활의 모든 측면을 통제하고 제한하는 촘촘히 짜여진 포괄적인 시스템이 도입되는 것이다. 이것이 정기적인 의무 백신접종 반복적인 록다운 봉쇄와 결합될 가능성이 다분하다.

 

극히 위선적이고 불순하다. 우리가 거듭 강조했듯이 코로나19 바이러스는 고연령층과 기존 질병이 있는 사람들에게 위험한 것이 사실이다. 그러나 다른 연령층에게는 제한적인 위험만을 가질 뿐이다. 동안 여러 과학 연구들이 코로나19 바이러스의 감염 치사율은 0.15% 수준임을 입증해왔다.[23] 14개국을 대상으로 최근 발표된 연구에 따르면, 50 미만 연령층의 감염 치사율 (중간값) 극히 낮다. (아래 5 참조)

 

 

 

5: 연령층별 감염 치사율 중간값, 0-69 [24]

 

연령층 감염 치사율 중간값

 

0-19 0,0027%

 

20-29 0.014%

 

30-39 0.031%

 

40~49 0.082%

 

50-59 0.27%

 

60-69 0.59%

 

마지막으로 EU OECD 최근 발표한 통계도 주목해보자. 조사연구에 따르면, EU에서 출생시 기대수명은 기존 81.3세에서 2020 80.6세로 0.86% 감소했다. 그러나 같은 그래프는 2015년에도 출생 기대수명이 기존 80.8세에서 80.5세로 0.38% 감소했음을 보여준다. 이유는 유럽이 2014/15 겨울에 혹독한 독감 시즌을 겪은 때문이다. 그러므로 2020년에 기대수명 저하가 2015 때보다 컸지만, 때문에 사회 전체를 끝없는 비상사태 하에 가져다 놓는 것을 정당화 있을 만큼 종말론적인, 전례가 없는 급변사태라고 하기에는 확실히 과장의 요소가 크게 개입되어 있다. (아래 부록의 그래프 3 참조)

 

요약하자면, 국가 주도의 조직된 패닉몰이 캠페인, 반복되는 록다운 봉쇄, “방역패스 도입, 대량 의무 백신접종 등으로 특징지어지는 자본주의 팬데믹 정책이 인민대중에게, 특히 청년/청소년들에게 파괴적인 결과를 가져오고 있다는 결론을 우리는 확실히 내릴 있다. 정책이 2021 유럽에서 주민 대중의 사망률 증가에 결정적인 역할을 했을 가능성이 매우 높다.

 

 

 

6. 국가독점자본주의 보건 정책에 관한 노트

 

글의 초점은 사망률 추이와 사망률 추이가 공식 팬데믹 정책과 어떤 관계냐의 문제인 만큼, 추이의 정치적 배경에 대해서는 길게 논급하지 않을 것이다. 여기서는 자본가 정부들에 의한 대량 백신접종 캠페인이 시기에 벌어지고 있는 역사적인 전환 부르주아민주주의 형태의 자본주의에서 배외주의-보나파트주의 형태의, 보다 전체주의적인 형태의 자본주의로의 전환 핵심 특징이라는 점을 잠시 짚고 넘어가자.

 

2020 4월에 발표한 코로나 반혁명에 관한 책에서 우리는 레닌의 국가독점자본주의 분석을 끌어와서 다음과 같이 설명했다. "20세기를 거치면서 국가와 독점체의 구체적 관계는 세계적·일국적 사태발전에 따라 변할 있고 실제로 변화한다는 것을 보여주었지만, 자본가 국가와 독점체의 긴밀한 협력과 상호유착은 여전히 체제의 주요 특징으로 남아 있다. 자본주의가 깊은 위기에 처하고 쇠퇴·부후화 하고 있는 현재와 같은 시기에는 더욱 그렇다."[25]

 

지난 1 반의 기간은 이러한 평가를 십분 확인해주고 있다. 경제적 차원에서 우리는 자본가 정부 중국에서 미국에 이르기까지 신규 공공부채로 자금을 조달하는 전례 없는 케인스주의 지출 프로그램을 시행하고 있는 것을 보고 있다. 보건정책 분야에서도 정부가 국가 규제 방역패스 대량·강제 백신접종 정책에 의지하는 등의 전례 없는 사태발전을 보고 있다.

 

따라서 우리는 독점기업들 (제약, IT ) 사업적 이해와 (배외주의-보나파르트주의 국가기구를 확충하는) 지배계급의 정치적 이해를 긴밀하게 결합하는 국가독점자본주의 보건정책에 대해 말할 있다. 현재의 거대한 코로나 반혁명 공세를 적어도 파시즘과 2 세계대전 시기 이래의 현대사 최대의 국가독점자본주의 프로젝트 하나로 성격규정 하는 것은 확실히 과장이 아니다.

 

우리는 놀랍게도 기회주의 좌파가 이러한 사태발전을 어떻게 완전히 무시하는지 되풀이해서 지적해왔다. 그들에게 보건정책은 계급사회와 모순을 초월해 있는 존재다. 만약 세계의 지배계급이 사회적 불평등 증대를 가져오는 긴축정책을 시행한다면, 이들 좌파는 그러한 사태발전을 놓치지 않고 파악하여 규탄하는 어려움을 느끼지 않는다. 민영화 경제정책이나 군국주의 군비정책에서도 마찬가지다. 지구상의 모든 지배계급들이 같은 정책을 따르고 있다는 사실에도 불구하고 좌파는 그것에 (옳게) 반대한다.

 

그러나 보건정책에 이르면 기회주의 좌파는 계급적 견지에서 사고하기를 멈춘다. 기회주의 좌파는 록다운 봉쇄와 방역패스 · 대량 백신접종 등의 코로나 정책이 독점 부르주아지의 정치·경제적 이해에 의해 추동되고 있음을 부정한다. 청맹과니들에 따르면, 팬데믹 때의 보건정책은 사회와 인민을 보호할 필요에 의해 동기부여 된다! "모두가" 그렇게 말하고 세계의 모든 정부가 정책을 따르고 있기 때문에 필히 그럴 것이다 이것이 기회주의 좌파에게 합리이고 이성이다.

 

물론 이러한 투항정책이 처음 일어나는 것이 아니라는 것을 맑스주의자들은 알고 있다. 이미 전에 개량주의·중도주의 세력들은 위기 지배계급의 이데올로기 서커스에 동참했었다. 1914년에 그들은 모두 우리나라 인민에게 위험 운위하며 제국주의 조국을 지지했다. 1939-45년에 나치 독일과의 전쟁에서 그들이 ·· 서방 제국주의 열강 밑으로 집결했을 때도 그랬다. 어느 민주주의 조국 계급 중립적인 범주가 되었다. 오늘, 팬데믹과의 싸움에서도 그러하다!

 

 

 

7. 국가독점자본주의 백신접종 캠페인의 효과는 무엇인가?

 

이제 국가 주도 백신접종 캠페인의 효과에 대해 얘기해보자. 여기서도 우리는 자본가 정부 기관들과 독점체들이 현행 백신의 효력을 증명한다는 연구들을 줄줄이 조직하고 있는 것을 있다.

 

물론 우리는 모든 연구들에 대해 판단할 위치에 있지 않다. 그러나 우리는 수백만 명의 목숨을 역시 앗아간 1957-58년의 이른바 "아시아 독감"이나 1968-69년의 이른바 "홍콩 독감" 같은 과거 팬데믹들의 경우와는 대조되는 코로나 정책의 1분부터 극도로 정치화된 성격을 고려하지 않으면 된다. 따라서 사회주의자들에게 아니 생각하는 사람 누구에게든 출발점은 모든 주문 의뢰된 "과학적" 연구에 대한 회의와 불신이어야 한다. 이것은 연구들이 반드시 틀렸다거나 사기라는 의미가 아니다. 많은 부분이 맞거나 적어도 부분적으로 맞을 있다. 그러나 지배계급이 원하는 대로 순진한 믿음으로 연구들에 접근하는 것은 완전히 바보짓이고, 노동자계급과 피억압자를 혼미와 방향감 상실로 이끄는 범죄적 과오로 결과할 있을 뿐이다. 정부 정책 서사를 확인해주는 그러한 연구의 가치에 대해 우리는 신중해야 한다. 자주 인용되는 연구들 많은 것이 이미 가짜임이 입증되어 회수 처분되어야만 했다.

 

저명한 의학자 이오니디스 스탠퍼드대 교수는 지배계급의 압력을 견뎌낸 되는 일급 과학자 명으로서, 문제적 사태에 대해 지적해왔다. 최근 발표한 논문에서 그는 코로나 팬데믹 진행 속에서 과학 기준을 대폭 낮춘 것에 대해 "과학적 방법론과 아무 공통점도 없는 정치적 전쟁을 부채질하기 위한" 것이라고 설명했다. 그는 "누구든 " 문제에 대해 무언가를 발표했음을 보여주는 예들을 제시한다.

 

그는 비꼬는 투로 다음과 같이 지적한다. "팬데믹은 하룻밤 사이에 무서운 신형 과학적 보편주의를 가져왔다. 모두가 코로나19 과학을 하거나 그에 대한 논평을 했다. 2021 8월까지 코로나19 대해 100 명의 각기 다른 저자가 관여된 33 편의 과학 논문이 발표됐다. 우리가 과학으로 알고 있는 174 분과학문 어느 하나 빠짐없이 모든 분과의 과학자들이 코로나19 대해 발표했음을 분석 결과 보여준다. 2020 말까지, 자동차 공학만이 코로나19 대해 발표하는 과학자들을 가지지 못했다. 2021 초에 오면 자동차 공학자들도 발언권을 갖게 됐다."[26]

 

과학자들이 지난 2 동안 이미 증명 것을 상기해보면 같은 의심은 더더욱 정당하다. 첫째, 그들은 록다운 봉쇄가 유용하고 필요하다는 것을 "증명"했다. 전에는 록다운 같은 수단이 팬데믹에 적용된 적이 없음에도 불구하고 말이다. 이뿐만이 아니다. 그러한 공공보건 정책은 2020 코로나 반혁명 시작 전까지는 어떤 과학자에 의해서도 옹호된 적이 없었다! 실제로, 이오니디스 교수와 밖의 과학자들이 입증했듯이, 록다운은 거의 아무 효과가 없다.[27] 중국과 호주 같은 가장 엄격한 록다운 봉쇄 정책이 시행된 나라들조차도 바이러스를 근절할 없었고, 거듭 되풀이해서 수백, 수천만 명의 사람들에게 통금령을 부과해야 했다.

 

, 자본가 국가와 기업으로부터 연구 용역 대한 보수를 받는 "과학자들" 록다운 도입을 거부한 되는 나라 하나인 스웨덴을 비난했다. 스웨덴의 팬데믹 정책이 얼마나 소위 파멸적인지를 보여주는 "연구" 발표한 수많은 과학자들을 상기해보라! 실제로는, 스웨덴은 유럽 대부분의 나라들보다 팬데믹 대응을 훨씬 해냈다.[28] 오늘, 비판적인 "전문가"들은 문제에 대해 침묵으로 바뀌었고, 그들 일부는 북유럽 나라가 "그렇게 나쁘지 않게" 해냈다고 인정할 수밖에 없다.

 

다시, 자본가 정부들은 정부 정책을 지지하고 그에 대한 "과학적" 자격증명을 발급해주는 많은 "전문가들" 얻었다. 그러나 다시 , 그들이 틀렸다는 것이 증명되었다. 의학 저널 란셋(The Lancet) 발표된 연구는 백신 완전접종자에 노출된 가구 접촉자에게서의 2 공격률이 비접종자에 노출된 가구 접촉자에게서의 그것과 비슷하다는 (접종 25%, 비접종 23%) 것을 보여주었다.[29]

 

미국 질병통제예방센터(CDC) 대규모 과학자 팀이 발표한 다른 연구는 기본적으로 백신 접종자와 비접종자 간에 바이러스 전염에서 의미 있는 차이가 없다는 결론에 도달했다. "임상의들과 공중보건 의사들은 코로나19 감염된 백신 접종자를 접종자 못지않게 감염성이 있는 것으로 간주해야 한다."[30]

 

한편, 포르투갈과 이탈리아 몇몇 나라 정부들은 입국 외국인들에 대한 그들이 백신접종 완료자라 하더라도 의무 검사를 실시하고 있으므로 간접적으로 사실을 인정하지 않을 없다.[31]

 

정부와 정부를 위해 봉사하는 과학자들은 백신접종으로 사람들은 이상 록다운 봉쇄나 밖의 제한을 받지 않게 것이라고 말했다. 글쎄, 이러한 주장에 무슨 일이 일어났는지 알잖아!

 

백신접종이 효력 있다고 주장하는 수많은 연구들이 있다. 그러나 감염자 중에 백신접종자의 비율이 높다는 연구결과와 보고서도 늘고 있다.

 

그러자 이제 백신접종 캠페인의 많은 지지자들은, 그것이 사실일 수도 있지만 입원하거나 사망한 사람들 백신접종자 비율이 낮은 백신 주사가 효과 있다고 강조하는 쪽으로 몰려갔다. 그러나 여기서도 다시 이런 주장을 반박하는 보고가 점점 많아지고 있다.

 

이에 대해 백신접종 캠페인 지지자들은 백신이 듣지 않는 신종 변이 바이러스(“델타”) 출현했기 때문이라고 주장한다. 이로부터 그들은 "3 부스터" 접종이 필요하다고 결론 지었고, 다시 정부는 사람들에게 백신접종을 받도록 강요하기 위해 열심히 뛴다.

 

그러나 모두가 알고 있듯이, 사이에 다른 변종 바이러스 (“오미크론”) 출현했으며, 벌써 전문가들은 바이러스에 기존 부스터는 효과가 없을 수도 있다고 경고한다.[32] 해결책이요? 4 부스터 맞으시죠!

 

, 이것이 결국 무엇을 뜻하는지는 명백하다. 달마다 새로운 변종 바이러스가 나타난다. 사람들은 다시 주사를 맞아야 한다. 그러한 백신접종 정책이 제약회사들한테 엄청난 이윤을 가져다준다는 것을 이해하는 데는 많은 상상력이 필요치 않다! 이러한 정책을 시행하는 정부의 관심이 매우 높다는 것도 분명하다. 첫째, 정부는 제약기업과 긴밀하게 연결되어 있으며 장기적이고 수익성 높은 계약을 그들과 맺고 있다. 둘째로, 정부는 종합 건강관리 시스템 ("방역 패스") 시행하고 확대하기 위한 구실로 정기적인 부스터 접종 필요를 정치적으로 활용할 있다.[33] 이러한 정치적 이유들만으로도 RCIT 시작 시점부터 방역패스와 대량 백신접종 정책에 반대할 충분한 이유가 됐다.

 

 

 

8. 청장년 연령층이 백신 주사를 맞도록 강요받아야 하나?

 

그러나 우리는 글에서 대량 백신접종 캠페인의 정치적·경제적 배경 보다는 그것이 공공보건에 미치는 결과에 초점을 맞추고 있음을 다시 밝힌다. 실제로 이미 말했듯이, 현행 백신의 효능에 대해 우리가 구체적이고 과학적인 평가를 있는 위치에 있지 않다. 그렇다고 해서 어떤 결론도 끌어낼 없다는 뜻은 아니다.

 

첫째, 백신은 의약품 일반처럼 모든 주민 층에 동일하게 영향을 미치지 않는다는 것은 알려진 사실이다. 페미니스트들도 오래전부터 이러한 사실을 지적해왔는데, 제약기업들이 보통 남성과 그들의 생물학적 특수성에 초점을 맞춰 약을 설계해왔기 때문이다. 약물의 효과는 연령층에 따라, 인종에 따라, 사회계급에 따라 (생활조건이 달라 건강상태가 다른 경우가 많다) 다르다. 예를 들어, 새로운 코로나 백신이 노년층에게는 긍정적인 효과가 있지만, 청장년층에게는 그렇지 않을 있다. 이들 백신의 부작용 문제와 관련하여 특히 그러하다. 노년층의 경우 긍정적 효과가 부정적 부작용보다 있지만 청장년층의 경우 그렇지 않다.

 

강하게 표현하자면, 바이러스에 의한 특별한 위험에 처해 있지 않은데도 주민 대중에게 ( 아직 날이 수십 년이나 있는 청장년층에게) 백신접종을 받으라고 떠미는, 심지어는 의무화 하는 것은 우리가 단순히 공공보건 관점에서 터무니없는 일이다!

 

백신이 특별히 효과적이지 않다는 노년층에게 어떤 긍정적 영향이 있다 하더라도 점을 고려한다면 모든 것은 더더욱 사실이다. 새로운 돌연변이 때마다 백신이 효력 없게 된다면, 백신이 그리 좋은 것일 없다. 그리고 결과가 달마다 백신접종을 받아야 하는 것이라면, 우리는 공공보건의 관점에서 처참한 사태발전에 대해 분명히 말할 있다!

 

분명히 하자. 같은 짧은 시간 만에 백신이 효과가 없어지고 사람들이 달마다 반복적으로 주사를 맞아야 하는 백신접종 캠페인은 현대사에서 있었던 적이 없다! 이것이 인체에 건강한 영향을 미칠 없다는 것은 자명하다! “잘해야 통증에 약을 여러 복용하는 것과 같다. 처음에는 약이 듣지만, 나중에는 몸이 익숙해지면서 약효가 점점 떨어진다. 그리고 결국 그러한 요법은 장기적으로 인체에 나쁜 영향을 끼친다.

 

모든 고려사항들에 더해, 백신은 이윤 몰이에 추동되어 서둘러 개발되었고 장기적 부작용에 대한 시험을 거치지 않았다는, 널리 알려진 사실을 추가해야 한다. 사람들이 자신의 의지에 반하여 모든 위험을 감수해야 하는가?!

 

 

 

9. 과거의 의무 백신접종 사례와의 비교는 비교 자체가 잘못됐다

 

이러한 이유로 우리는 과거의 유사 사례 (예를 들어 천연두나 결핵) 들어 의무 접종을 정당화하는 자본주의 팬데믹 정책 지지자들의 주장을 강하게 거부한다. 첫째, 질병들은 아동과 청소년의 생명을 위협하는, 알려져 있고 특히 위험한 질병들이다. 둘째, 그러한 질병들에 대한 백신은 시험을 거쳤고, 장점이 잠재적인 유해성보다 크다는 것이 증명되었다.

 

그리고 셋째, 코로나19 백신접종 의무화 캠페인은 건강에 대한 고려가 아닌 정치적·경제적 이해에 의해 추동되었다는 것이 매우 분명하다. 보건 정책이 소수의 제약기업들의 사업 이익과 그렇게 직접적으로 연결된 적도, 부르주아 민주주의를 ()전체주의 체제로 대체하는 정치적 프로젝트의 일부였던 적도 없었다.

 

과학자들, 의사들, 보건의료 노동자들로부터 나오는 비판에 대한 자본가 정부의 계엄령 대응을 보면 점은 특히 명백하다. 유명한 그레이트 배링턴 선언에 서명한 이오니디스 교수를 비롯한 많은 과학자들이 자본주의 팬데믹 정책 지지자들에 의해 비방 받아왔다.[34] 시론을 쓰는 중에도 오스트리아의 공영 뉴스 방송국은 mRNA 백신접종을 비판하는 공개서한을 발표한 의사 200명이 그들이 직면해 있는 대대적인 압력을 감안할 용기 있는 행동이다 국가 보건 당국에 의해 면허 금지 위협을 받고 있다고 보도했다![35] 비슷한 상황이 다른 많은 나라에서도 일어나고 있다.

 

나아가 많은 보건의료 노동자들이 당국으로부터 엄청난 압력에도 불구하고, 백신접종 의무화에 반대하고 있다. 캐나다 온타리오주와 퀘벡주에서는 수천 명의 보건의료 노동자들이 백신접종 의무화에 반대하는 시위를 벌여 마침내 당국이 철회하지 않을 없게 했다.[36] 프랑스에서도 많은 보건의료 노동자들이 시위를 벌여, 그들 3,000명이 정직을 맞았다.[37] 그리스 많은 다른 나라에서도 비슷한 시위가 일어났다.[38] 오스트리아에서는 당국으로부터 엄청난 압력에도 불구하고, 13 명의 보건의료 노동자 30% 여전히 백신접종을 하지 않고 있다.[39] 가장 중요한 것으로, 불과 마르티니크와 과들루프의 보건의료 노동자들이 인민대중과 함께 백신접종 의무화에 반대하는 총파업과 봉기를 감행했다.[40]

 

많은 보건의료 노동자들 보건의료 사안들에서 경험이 많은 사람들인 백신접종 의무화에 (그것도 자본가 국가로부터 엄청난 압력에도 불구하고) 반대하고 있다는 바로 사실이 그러한 계엄령 조치의 과학적 근거 없음을 말해준다.

 

요약하자면, 백신접종 캠페인은 자본가 국가가 파마 (제약대기업), 언론, 그리고 전체 부르주아 제도권과 손잡고 조직한 거대 프로젝트라는 사실이다. 동시에 공격은 세계적으로 대규모 시위를 불러일으켰다. 문제가 근본적으로 정치적 문제라는 , 오늘 글로벌 계급투쟁의 핵심 문제라는 것은 의심의 여지가 없다. 어떤 기준으로도 과거의 의무 백신접종 사례들과 비교할 없다.

 

 

 

10. 코로나 반혁명의 과학을 믿어라 슬로건은 미국 달러에 새긴 "우리가 믿는 하나님 안에서" 표어의 현대판이다

 

코로나 반혁명의 호객꾼들은 비판자들을 향해 "과학을 믿어야 한다" 선포하길 좋아한다. 우리는 물론 과학을 신뢰하지만, 자본가 국가와 빅파마에게 보수를 받는 과학자들을 믿지 않는다! 실제로 코로나 반혁명의 공식 배너인 "과학을 믿어라!" 아메리카 금언 "우리가 믿는 하나님 안에서" 현대 버전 이상도 이하도 아니다.

 

맑스주의자들은 지배계급의 이데올로기 깃발도, 기존 이데올로기 깃발도 모두 거부한다! 과학이 어떻게 어떤 방식으로 적용되는지, 어느 이익에 봉사하는지, 어느 사안들에 대해 과학자들이 연구하고 있는지 , 모든 문제는 사회의 지배적인 계급과 독립적으로 존재하지 않는다. 구체적으로, 모든 것은 과학자들이 기업의 의뢰로 연구하는지, 그들이 고용된 대학이 재정적으로 기업들의 기부금에 의존하는지, 국가 당국이 공공기관의 과학자들에게 압력을 가하는지, 그리고 해당 과학자가 경력 관리와 출세에 관심을 두고 이러한 목적에 자신의 연구결과를 맞추는 등의 문제와 밀접한 관련이 있다.

 

모든 기본 진실을 망각하는 것은 맑스주의자들에게 어울리지 않는 일이다. 특히 오늘 같은 시절에, 우리는 대다수의 과학자들이 지식인 일반처럼 자국 지배 엘리트의 이익을 위해 일한다는 것을 우리 스스로에게 상기시킬 필요가 있다. 이것은 항상 그래왔다. 파시스트 세력이 지배하는 나라에서나, 부르주아 민주주의 체제에서나, 스탈린주의 하에서나 !

 

사회주의자의 임무가 결코 자본가 국가와 기업의 보수를 받는 "과학자들을 믿는" 것일 수는 없다. 사회주의자의 임무는 반대로 과학과 과학계를 국가독점자본주의의 족쇄에서 해방시키는 것이다. 과학은 권력과 이윤으로부터 자유로워야 한다!

 

계급이 없는 사회주의 사회에서만이 과학이 번성할 있고 과학자들이 소수 권력자의 이익으로부터 자유롭게 일할 것이다. 오직 이러한 조건하에서만 과학이 진정으로 인민에게 봉사할 것이다!

 

 

 

11. 맺음말 가지 테제

 

1. 시론에서 우리는 유럽의 60 미만, 70 미만 연령층의 사망률이 2020 "코로나의 " 비교하여 2021년에 증가했음을 보여주었다. 이러한 사망률 증가의 원인은 코로나19 아닌데, 왜냐하면 코로나 바이러스는 60 이상의 (최대로 잡아도 50 이상의) 연령층에게만 무시할 없는 위험성을 가지고 있기 때문이다.

 

2. 나아가 우리는 국가 지휘 공포 캠페인, 반복되는 록다운 봉쇄, 집회·시위 금지/ 이동·통행 금지, “방역패스 도입, 대량 백신접종 등으로 대표되는 공식 팬데믹 정책은 인민대중에게, 특히 청소년을 비롯한 젊은 층에게 파괴적인 결과를 초래한다는 것을 보여주었다. RCIT 이러한 정책, 이러한 반민주 공격을 코로나 반혁명이라고 부르는 이유다.

 

3. 이러한 공식 팬데믹 정책으로 많은 질병들이 발견되지 못하고 치료되지 못한 채로 남아 있게 되는 상황이 초래됐다. 예를 들어 공식 추산에 따르면, 유럽에 최대 백만 명의 진단 잠재적 환자가 있다. 이에 더해 정신 질환이 - 특히 젊은 사이에서 - 극적으로 증가했다. 이러한 증가세는 젊은 사람들이 바이러스에 의해 위중한 위험에 처하는 것이 아니라 자본주의 코로나 정책으로 인해 지금 장기적인 대미지에 직면해 있다는 점에서 참담하고 괘씸한 사태다.

 

4. 공식 팬데믹 정책은 독점체들 (제약, IT ) 사업적 이익을 지배계급의 정치적 이익 (배외주의-보나파르트주의 국가기구 확충) 긴밀하게 결합하는 국가독점자본주의 보건 정책으로 성격규정 있다. 우리는 그것이 적어도 파시즘과 2 세계대전 이후 현대사 최대의 국가독점자본주의 프로젝트라고 생각한다.

 

5. 기회주의 좌파는 반동 정책의 성격을 시작 시점 이래로 내내 이해할 능력과 의지가 없음을 보여 왔다. 결과, 그들은 제국주의 조국 방어한 1 세계대전 당시의 개량주의자들과 비슷하게 정책의 "비판적" 지지자로 복무하고 있다.

 

6. 대량 백신접종 캠페인은 공중보건에 대한 고려가 아닌 주로 정치적·경제적 이익에 의해 추동되고 있다. 정부와 기업은 백신접종의 효능을 보여준다고 하는 일련의 연구들을 조직해 왔다. 입원하거나 사망한 사람들 백신접종자의 높은 비율을 보여주는 여러 연구들도 존재한다는 점에서 백신 효능 문제에 대해 정확한 판단을 내리기는 어렵다.

 

7. RCIT 무엇보다도 일차적으로 정치적인 이유로 대량 백신접종 캠페인에 그리고 백신접종 의무화에는 더욱이 반대한다. 캠페인은 지배계급 반민주 공세의 중대한 일부다.

 

8. 백신접종 정책이 특별히 효과적이지 않다는 것을 보여주는 다양한 증좌가 있다. 백신 접종자가 접종자와 비슷한 정도로 바이러스를 옮길 있다. 또한 바이러스로 사망하는 백신 접종자가 규모로 존재한다. 더군다나 백신접종은 지나면 보호력을 잃는다. 매번 새로운 바이러스 돌연변이가 나올 때마다 기존 백신접종은 이상 효력이 없어진다. 이에 감염자 수는 물론 입원 환자, 사망자 수도 다시 는다. 지배계급의 답은, 모든 사람에게 달마다 부스터 샷으로 백신접종 의무화를 지우는 해법 민주적 관점에서나 공공보건 관점에서나 극히 위험한 정책이다.

 

9. “과학을 믿어야 한다 말하는 공식 팬데믹 정책 지지자들로부터의 비판은 강하게 거부되어야 한다. 실제로 슬로건은 미국 금언 우리가 믿는 하나님 안에서 현대적 버전 이상도 이하도 아니다. 사회주의자들은 과학의 진보를 인류의 미래를 위해 필수적이라고 여기지만, 자본가 국가와 기업의 보수를 받는 과학자들의 연구를 향해서는 비판적으로 남아 있어야 한다.

 

10. 맑스주의자들의 임무는 반대로 과학과 과학계를 국가독점자본주의 족쇄에서 해방시키는 있다. 과학은 권력과 이윤으로부터 자유로워야 한다! 계급이 없는 사회주의 사회에서만 과학은 번영할 있고, 과학자들은 소수 권력자의 이익에서 자유롭게 일할 있다.

 

 

 

부록

 

그래프 1. 2016-2021 독일 주간 사망자 (코로나 사망자 포함) [41]

 

https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Querschnitt/Corona/_Grafik/_Interaktiv/woechentliche-sterbefallzahlen-jahre.html?nn=209016

 

 

 

그래프 2. 2019, 2020, 2021 연령층별 유럽 초과사망률 [42]

 

,https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/

 

 

 

그래프 3. 2009-2020 EU 출생 기대수명 [43]

 

State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10 December 2021, p. 7

 

 

 

 

 

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[1] RCIT 코로나19 반혁명을 시작 이래로 광범위하게 분석해왔다. 2020 2월부터 시작해서 우리는 100 넘게 팜플렛과 시론, 성명, 논설, 그리고 단행본 책을 냈다. 다음의 우리 웹사이트 별도 하위 페이지에서 이것들을 있다. https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/collection-of-articles-on-the-2019-corona-virus/. 특히 다음을 보라. RCIT Manifesto: COVID-19: A Cover for a Major Global Counterrevolutionary Offensive. We are at a turning point in the world situation as the ruling classes provoke a war-like atmosphere in order to legitimize the build-up of chauvinist state-bonapartist regimes, 21 March 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-a-cover-for-a-major-global-counterrevolutionary-offensive/. [<코로나19: 글로벌 반혁명 공세를 가리는 덮개> https://www.thecommunists.net/home/%ED%95%9C%EA%B5%AD%EC%96%B4/covid-19-cover-for-major-global-counterrevolutionary-offensive/] 다음의 RCIT 2 시국선언도 보라. Manifesto: “Green Pass” & Compulsory Vaccinations: A New Stage in the COVID Counterrevolution. Down with the chauvinist-bonapartist police & surveillance state defend democratic rights! No to health policy in the service of the capitalist monopolies expand the public health sector under workers and popular control! 29 July 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/green-pass-compulsory-vaccinations-a-new-stage-in-the-covid-counterrevolution/ [<“백신여권” & 백신접종 의무화: 코로나 반혁명의 새로운 단계> https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/green-pass-compulsory-vaccinations-a-new-stage-in-the-covid-counterrevolution/#anker_3]; 다음도 보라. Michael Pröbsting: The COVID-19 Global Counterrevolution: What It Is and How to Fight It. A Marxist analysis and strategy for the revolutionary struggle, RCIT Books, April 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/theory/the-covid-19-global-counterrevolution/. [<<코로나19 글로벌 반혁명>> https://www.thecommunists.net/home/%ED%95%9C%EA%B5%AD%EC%96%B4/book-the-covid-19-global-counterrevolution/] 문제에 대한 다음 우리의 기사도 보라. Almedina Gunić: Coronavirus: "I am not a Virus"... but WE will be the Cure! The chauvinist campaign behind the “Wuhan Coronavirus” hysteria and the revolutionary answer, 2 February 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/wuhan-virus/ [<코로나바이러스: “우한 바이러스히스테리 뒤에 숨은 배외주의 캠페인> https://www.thecommunists.net/home/%ED%95%9C%EA%B5%AD%EC%96%B4/wuhan-virus/]; Almedina Gunić and Michael Pröbsting: On Some Ideological Features of the COVID Counterrevolution. Comments on an interesting interview with a German liberal historian, 14 November 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/on-some-ideological-features-of-the-covid-counterrevolution/; RCIT 아르헨티나 동지들의 다음 스페인어 기사들도 보라. Juan Giglio: La izquierda de la "Big Pharma", dejó de defender las libertades, 1.10.2021, https://convergenciadecombate.blogspot.com/2021/10/la-izquierda-de-la-big-pharma-dejo-de.html; Juan Giglio: ¿Por qué la izquierda no cuestiona las políticas de la OMS? 8.9.2021, https://convergenciadecombate.blogspot.com/2021/09/por-que-la-izquierda-no-cuestiona-las.html

 

[2] 문제에 대한 자세한 설명으로는, 위에서 언급한 다음을 책을 보라. Michael Pröbsting: The COVID-19 Global Counterrevolution: What It Is and How to Fight It. (Chapter II)

 

[3] 이에 대해서는 다음을 보라. Michael Pröbsting: Mass Vaccination Can Make You Rich at least if you own a pharmaceutical corporation! 22 June 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/mass-vaccination-can-make-you-rich/ {<대량 백신접종이 당신을 억만장자로 만들어줄 있다... 적어도 당신이 제약회사를 소유하고 있다면!> https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/mass-vaccination-can-make-you-rich/#anker_2]; 다음을 보라. 같은 저자: COVID-19: “A Market of up to 23 Billion US-Dollar”. The big corporations in the pharmaceutical industry expect gigantic profits by the vaccine business, 12 February 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-a-market-of-up-to-23-billion-us-dollar/; 다음도 보라. 같은 저자: COVID-19: An Opportunity Too Good to Be Missed by the Lords of Wealth and Money (Part 1). An “official” confirmation of the Marxist analysis that the ruling class utilizes the pandemic for expanding the bonapartist state, 18 January 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-an-opportunity-to-good-to-be-missed-by-the-lords-of-wealth-and-money-part-1/; COVID-19: An Opportunity Too Good to Be Missed by the Lords of Wealth and Money (Part 2). A few examples of how the monopoly capitalists rob the workers under the cover of the anti-democratic Lockdown policy, 11 February 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-an-opportunity-too-good-to-be-missed-by-the-lords-of-wealth-and-money-part-2/; COVID-19: That Was A Damn Good Year for the Billionaires in West and East who massively gained from the anti-democratic Lockdown policy, 5 January 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-that-was-a-damn-good-year-for-the-billionaires-in-west-and-east/

 

[4] 이에 대해서는 다음을 보라. Michael Pröbsting: The Police and Surveillance State in the Post-Lockdown Phase. A global review of the ruling class’s plans of expanding the bonapartist state machinery amidst the COVID-19 crisis, 21 May 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/police-and-surveillance-state-in-post-lockdown-phase/

 

[5] Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis): Sonderauswertung Sterbefälle. Fallzahlen nach Tagen, Wochen, Monaten, Altersgruppen, Geschlecht und Bundesländern für Deutschland 2016 - 2021, published on 7.12.2021, pp. 30-32. 표의 숫자는 매주 분리해서 열거해 놓은 것이다. 총계는 필자.

 

[6] EuroMomo: Graphs and maps, Exel file for the graphs on excess mortality, https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/ (accessed on 14.12.2021) 표의 숫자는 매주 분리해서 열거해 놓은 것이다. 총계는 필자.

 

[7] Helen Collis: WHO: Europe region ‘epicenter’ of coronavirus pandemic, 4 November 2021, https://www.politico.eu/article/who-europe-region-epicenter-of-coronavirus-pandemic/

 

[8] Number of coronavirus (COVID-19) deaths in Germany in 2021, by gender and age, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1105512/coronavirus-covid-19-deaths-by-gender-germany/ (accessed on 15.12.2021)

 

[9] Folkhälsomyndigheten: Antal fall av covid-19 i Sverige, https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/09f821667ce64bf7be6f9f87457ed9aa (accessed on 15.12.2021)

 

[10] DESTATIS: Sterbefälle und Lebenserwartung Sonderauswertung zu Sterbefallzahlen der Jahre 2020/2021, 7. December 2021, https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Gesellschaft-Umwelt/Bevoelkerung/Sterbefaelle-Lebenserwartung/sterbefallzahlen.html

 

[11] 문제에 대해 논의하고 있는 기사도 있다. Gerd Roettig: Politisierte Statistik, https://www.heise.de/tp/features/Politisierte-Statistik-6292579.html?wt_mc=nl.red.telepolis.telepolis-nl.2021-12-11.link.link; Susan Bonath: Wachsende Übersterblichkeit nun auch bei Jüngeren: An Corona kann das nicht liegen, 12 December 2021, https://de.rt.com/meinung/128273-wachsende-uebersterblichkeit-nun-auch-bei-juengeren/

 

[12] 이에 대해서는 다음을 보라. RSV: Cholera not Omicron should be the major concern for Public Health in Nigeria! 6th December, 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/africa-and-middle-east/cholera-not-omicron-should-be-the-major-concern-for-public-health-in-nigeria/

 

[13] DESTATIS: Sterbefälle und Lebenserwartung Sonderauswertung zu Sterbefallzahlen der Jahre 2020/2021

 

[14] DESTATIS: Corona-Pandemie führt zu Übersterblichkeit in Deutschland, Pressemitteilung Nr. 563 vom 9. Dezember 2021, https://www.destatis.de/DE/Presse/Pressemitteilungen/2021/12/PD21_563_12.html

 

[15] State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10 December 2021, p. 12

 

[16] State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10 December 2021, p. 13

 

[17] Deutsche Welle: Germany's ICU medics expect COVID surge before Christmas, 01.12.2021. https://www.dw.com/en/germanys-icu-medics-expect-covid-surge-before-christmas/a-59985778

 

[18] 이에 대해서는, 인용문들의 전거와 함께 다음을 보라. Michael Pröbsting: COVID-19 Crisis: Internal Document Reveals Austrian Government Plan to Spread Fear, 28 April 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/europe/covid-19-crisis-internal-document-reveals-austrian-government-plan-to-spread-fear/#_edn1

 

[19] United Nations Children’s Fund: The State of the World’s Children 2021: On My Mind Promoting, protecting and caring for children’s mental health, UNICEF, New York, October 2021, p. 102

 

[20] OECD: Health at a Glance 2021: OECD Indicators, OECD Publishing, Paris 2021, https://doi.org/10.1787/ae3016b9-en, p. 55 and 57

 

[21] State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10 December 2021, p. 15

 

[22] More than 7 in 10 Gen-Zers report symptoms of depression during pandemic, survey finds, 21 October 2020, https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/21/survey-more-than-7-in-10-gen-zers-report-depression-during-pandemic.html

 

[23] 다음을 보라. John P. A. Ioannidis: Reconciling estimates of global spread and infection fatality rates of COVID-19: An overview of systematic evaluations, in: European Journal of Clinical Investigation, May 2021, Vol. 51(5), doi: 10.1111/eci.13554

 

[24] Cathrine Axfors, John P.A. Ioannidis: Infection fatality rate of COVID-19 in community-dwelling populations with emphasis on the elderly: An overview, 13 July 2021, https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.08.21260210v1.full

 

[25] 이에 대해서는 상기한 다음 책을 보라. Michael Pröbsting: The COVID-19 Global Counterrevolution: What It Is and How to Fight It, p. 43

 

[26] John P.A. Ioannidis: How the Pandemic Is Changing the Norms of Science. Imperatives like skepticism and disinterestedness are being junked to fuel political warfare that has nothing in common with scientific methodology, September 09, 2021, https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/science/articles/pandemic-science

 

[27] John Ioannidis et al: Assessing Mandatory Stay-At-Home and Business Closure Effects on the Spread of COVID-19, in: European Journal of Clinical Investigation, April 2021, Vol. 51(4), doi:10.1111/ECI.13484

 

[28] 이에 대해서는 다음을 보라. Michael Pröbsting: COVID-19: Sweden's Total Mortality in 2020. Once again, the figures demonstrate that this is a serious but not unprecedented pandemic, 23 January 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-sweden-s-total-mortality-in-2020-compared-with-past-years/; 같은 저자: COVID-19: A Comparison of Historical Data. An analysis of the COVID-19 death figures and those of past pandemics and climate disasters based on data from the World Bank, 19 January 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-a-comparison-of-historical-data/

 

[29] Anika Singanayagam, Seran Hakki, Jake Dunning and others: Community transmission and viral load kinetics of the SARS-CoV-2 delta (B.1.617.2) variant in vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals in the UK: a prospective, longitudinal, cohort study, The Lancet, 28 October 2021, https://doi.org/10.1016/ S1473-3099(21)00648-4

 

[30] Phillip P. Salvatore and others: Transmission potential of vaccinated and unvaccinated persons infected with the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in a federal prison, JulyAugust 2021, medRxiv 2021.11.12.21265796; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.11.12.21265796

 

[31] Ralf Streck: Die 2G-Linie aus Brüssel zerbröselt, 16. Dezember 2021, https://www.heise.de/tp/features/Die-2G-Linie-aus-Bruessel-zerbroeselt-6296913.html?wt_mc=nl.red.telepolis.telepolis-nl.2021-12-16.link.link

 

[32] 다음을 보라. RCIT: “Omicron”: A Pretext for Exacerbated Attacks of the COVID Counterrevolution. Down with chauvinist travel bans against Southern African countries! No to Lockdowns and compulsory vaccination! 1 December 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/omicron-is-pretext-for-another-attack-of-covid-counterrevolution/ [<“오미크론”: 코로나 반혁명 공격을 세차게 몰아치기 위한 구실> https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/omicron-is-pretext-for-another-attack-of-covid-counterrevolution/#anker_1]

 

[33] “방역패스 대한 우리의 분석과 전략에 대해서는 다음을 보라. RCIT Manifesto: “Green Pass” & Compulsory Vaccinations: A New Stage in the COVID Counterrevolution

 

[34] 이에 대해서는 다음을 보라. Michael Pröbsting: COVID-19: The Great Barrington Declaration is indeed Great! Numerous medical scientists protest against the reactionary lockdown policy, 11 October 2020, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/global/covid-19-the-great-barrington-declaration-is-indeed-great/

 

[35] ORF: ÖGK droht mit Berufsverbot, 16.12. 2021, https://orf.at/stories/3240427/

 

[36] 다음을 보라. Jessica Patton: Ontario will not mandate COVID-19 vaccines for hospital workers, Global News, 3 November 2021, https://globalnews.ca/news/8347039/ontario-covid-mandatory-vaccine-hospital-workers/

 

[37] French hospital worker on hunger strike over vaccine mandate, 16 September 2021, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/9/16/french-hospital-worker-on-hunger-strike-over-vaccine-mandate

 

[38] Elena Becatoros: Greek health care workers protest against mandatory vaccines, 26.8.2021, https://apnews.com/article/europe-business-health-coronavirus-pandemic-62c084d0fa59fa730bf8f54632d2097e

 

[39] ORF: Drei von zehn Pflegepersonen sind ungeimpft, 16.12.2021, https://orf.at/stories/3240425/

 

[40] 이에 대해서는 다음을 보라. Michael Pröbsting: Martinique & Guadeloupe: A First Victory against the COVID Counterrevolution! Popular uprisings forces the French government to delay the implementation of compulsory vaccination and to offer talks about autonomy, 28 November 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/latin-america/martinique-guadeloupe-popular-uprising-against-the-covid-counterrevolution/#anker_1 [<마르티니크 & 과들루프: 코로나 반혁명에 대한 승리]> https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/latin-america/martinique-guadeloupe-popular-uprising-against-the-covid-counterrevolution/#anker_7; 같은 저자: Martinique & Guadeloupe: General Strike and Popular Uprising against the COVID Counterrevolution! This is the road which the mass protests in Europe should take! 26 November 2021, https://www.thecommunists.net/worldwide/latin-america/martinique-guadeloupe-popular-uprising-against-the-covid-counterrevolution/

 

[41] Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis): https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Querschnitt/Corona/_Grafik/_Interaktiv/woechentliche-sterbefallzahlen-jahre.html?nn=209016 (accessed in 16.12.2021)

 

[42] EuroMomo: Graphs and maps, https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/ (accessed on 14.12.2021)

 

[43] State of Health in the EU: Companion Report 2021, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2021) 389 final, Brussels, 10 December 2021, p. 7